NHL · resolved market
KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb68a180ab92890b5925ed49669b21b9ac0d62ef86235832941ab43b8bb1a6901
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avangard Omskof Avangard Omsk, Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Avangard Omsk | 38c | 727.5$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.21 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 45c | 465.26$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.14 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 22c | 399.15$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.81 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 54c | 336.82$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.25 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Avangard Omsk | 61c | 317.46$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.04 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 55c | 316.49$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.38 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Avangard Omsk | 39c | 296.16$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.69 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 25c | 292.91$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.85 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Avangard Omsk | 45c | 279.52$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.7 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66d8…4164backed Avangard Omsk | 78c | 254.23$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 70c | 191.38$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.83 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfde…258abacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 40c | 186.11$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 62c | 158.73$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 46c | 142.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.11 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 29c | 139.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Avangard Omsk | 76c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked Avangard Omsk | 71c | 109.51$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Avangard Omsk | 42c | 109.21$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.88 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 57c | 105.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.34 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Avangard Omsk | 76c | 99.86$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Avangard Omsk | 69c | 99.31$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +10.8wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Avangard Omsk | 56c | 99.19$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…c59fbacked Avangard Omsk | 78c | 97.41$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 75cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 24c | 97.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 49c | 90.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 40c | 79.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Avangard Omsk | 63c | 75.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b1…cf86backed Avangard Omsk | 76c | 64.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…0e08backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 31c | 61.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…20a5backed Avangard Omsk | 77c | 51.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Avangard Omsk | 78c | 50.61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Avangard Omsk | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1d…0064backed Avangard Omsk | 78c | 48.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…e467backed Avangard Omsk | 74c | 46.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Avangard Omsk | 75c | 45.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed Avangard Omsk | 52c | 44.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Avangard Omsk | 52c | 42.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 32c | 40.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Avangard Omsk | 71c | 39.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…522fbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 47c | 31.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Avangard Omsk | 75c | 31.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed Avangard Omsk | 60c | 28.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77c…61cabacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 38c | 28.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 43c | 27.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 54c | 27.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bea…c1f3backed Avangard Omsk | 79c | 26.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed Avangard Omsk | 78c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Avangard Omsk | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Avangard Omsk | 75c | 23.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Avangard Omsk | 55c | 22.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.