MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb17d08eb7e24005d5e1b6ad6b1a803cad178a3019a463a1e1f60dbb34b721c88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Cincinnati Reds, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $202,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2562…c15fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 62,723$27,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,124.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Texas Rangers | 49c | 24,043$11,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,884.08 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas Rangers | 40c | 16,163$6,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,391.64 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Texas Rangers | 37c | 14,590$5,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,456.1 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Texas Rangers | 18c | 10,492$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 6,993$4,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,014.78 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 6,697$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750.32 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 70c | 5,318$3,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.92 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 78c | 4,393$3,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.53 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 4,280$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.67 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 3,961$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,258.04 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 3,401$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.62 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Texas Rangers | 56c | 3,108$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.01 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas Rangers | 25c | 2,354$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.19 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…9504backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 2,325$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.25 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Texas Rangers | 12c | 2,046$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.51 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Texas Rangers | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Texas Rangers | 36c | 1,981$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.98 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Texas Rangers | 21c | 1,854$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.11 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Texas Rangers | 7c | 1,700$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.68 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Texas Rangers | 25c | 1,577$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.24 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Texas Rangers | 6c | 1,449$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.95 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…66bbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 73c | 1,375$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.24 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Texas Rangers | 24c | 1,345$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.03 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Texas Rangers | 12c | 1,196$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.53 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 1,184$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.47 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 76c | 990.21$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.07 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Texas Rangers | 58c | 957.99$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.64 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Cincinnati Reds | 79c | 957.25$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.87 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 78c | 932.38$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.71 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Cincinnati Reds | 77c | 918.12$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.12 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Texas Rangers | 16c | 894.78$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.76 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 856$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.35 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Cincinnati Reds | 68c | 800.58$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.23 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Texas Rangers | 23c | 755.65$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.79 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Cincinnati Reds | 77c | 742.37$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.65 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Texas Rangers | 28c | 691.8$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.33 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 599.98$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.99 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 579.98$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.59 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Cincinnati Reds | 80c | 561$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.59 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Texas Rangers | 57c | 493.94$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.54 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cincinnati Reds | 68c | 485.45$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.58 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Cincinnati Reds | 77c | 465.49$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.32 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 70c | 440.93$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.48 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Texas Rangers | 57c | 427.28$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.55 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 427.28$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.55 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 399.99$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Texas Rangers | 31c | 377.61$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.42 | 790 | 49.2%389 W · 401 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834f…266ebacked Texas Rangers | 7c | 335.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Cincinnati Reds | 73c | 323.85$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.7 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 314.1$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Texas Rangers | 24c | 311.71$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.98 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Texas Rangers | 34c | 310.77$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.03 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 308.95$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.19 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 294.32$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.82 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Texas Rangers | 24c | 284.39$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 264.16$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.02 | 816 | 57.1%466 W · 350 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 255.57$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.01 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cincinnati Reds | 79c | 225.35$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 79c | 222.96$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 222.13$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.62 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 220.65$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.49 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Texas Rangers | 7c | 218.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Cincinnati Reds | 73c | 176.15$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Texas Rangers | 40c | 160.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea0…865dbacked Texas Rangers | 58c | 156.3$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.66 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Texas Rangers | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.37 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Texas Rangers | 13c | 127.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Texas Rangers | 23c | 124.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…50c4backed Texas Rangers | 12c | 123.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 119.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 118.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 63c | 111.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Texas Rangers | 43c | 110.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 484 | 45.9%222 W · 262 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 105.15$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 102.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 754 | 53.2%401 W · 353 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Texas Rangers | 14c | 99.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Cincinnati Reds | 75c | 98.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Cincinnati Reds | 63c | 96.33$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 90.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Texas Rangers | 57c | 89.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 85.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 85.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 81.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 926 | 45.9%425 W · 501 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x960d…4629backed Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 80.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a66…a5d7backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 68.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149b…0ca8backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 64.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 176 | 49.4%87 W · 89 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Texas Rangers | 38c | 63.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…f135backed Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 62.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 62.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Texas Rangers | 22c | 61.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 61.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangersthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.