Tennis · resolved market
Monza: Luca Nardi vs Valentin Royer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9648838d979ef6762e202ee8190a8d6bc0e18d800fc4a5a5bb07c6dc3ea63629
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valentin Royerof Luca Nardi, Valentin Royer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Luca Nardi | 51c | 15,389$7,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,848.16 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Valentin Royer | 76c | 13,970$10,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,338.25 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Luca Nardi | 39c | 6,280$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.76 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Valentin Royer | 50c | 3,595$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.57 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Luca Nardi | 29c | 2,653$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.46 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Luca Nardi | 30c | 2,477$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.66 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…d3febacked Luca Nardi | 42c | 1,935$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.77 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…d322backed Luca Nardi | 50c | 1,296$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.95 | 120 | 66.7%80 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c0…62fabacked Luca Nardi | 23c | 1,244$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.14 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Valentin Royer | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…1702backed Valentin Royer | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.99 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Valentin Royer | 50c | 994.91$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.46 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Luca Nardi | 35c | 992.25$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.91 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Luca Nardi | 26c | 857.82$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.13 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Valentin Royer | 51c | 822.18$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.87 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Luca Nardi | 5c | 748$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Valentin Royer | 75c | 747$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.75 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Valentin Royer | 57c | 684.86$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.84 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Valentin Royer | 62c | 627.89$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.26 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Valentin Royer | 74c | 613.34$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.41 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Luca Nardi | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Valentin Royer | 58c | 539.39$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.47 | 501 | 56.1%281 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked Luca Nardi | 29c | 529.59$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.69 | 331 | 49.2%163 W · 168 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Valentin Royer | 57c | 526.06$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.35 | 617 | 52.5%324 W · 293 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Valentin Royer | 57c | 525.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.35 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Valentin Royer | 57c | 524.14$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.69 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Valentin Royer | 57c | 524.14$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.69 | 768 | 53%407 W · 361 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Valentin Royer | 57c | 524.14$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.69 | 484 | 53.7%260 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Valentin Royer | 57c | 524.14$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.69 | 191 | 53.4%102 W · 89 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Valentin Royer | 68c | 518$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.18 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Valentin Royer | 58c | 515.69$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.19 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Valentin Royer | 58c | 515.69$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.19 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Valentin Royer | 58c | 485.3$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.35 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Valentin Royer | 72c | 436.75$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.76 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Valentin Royer | 59c | 428.01$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.11 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Luca Nardi | 14c | 385.41$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Valentin Royer | 64c | 384.47$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.56 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Valentin Royer | 58c | 367.95$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.91 | 296 | 52.4%155 W · 141 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Luca Nardi | 27c | 354.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Valentin Royer | 52c | 342.83$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.56 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Luca Nardi | 37c | 302.39$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.42 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Luca Nardi | 35c | 297.08$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.59 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…7debbacked Valentin Royer | 76c | 259.37$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 145 | 64.1%93 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Luca Nardi | 45c | 258$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.22 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Valentin Royer | 64c | 229.74$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Luca Nardi | 45c | 215.52$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Valentin Royer | 56c | 212.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.55 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Valentin Royer | 58c | 201.44$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.76 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77c…61cabacked Luca Nardi | 34c | 198.8$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Valentin Royer | 59c | 196.67$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.16 | 305 | 55.4%169 W · 136 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Valentin Royer | 59c | 196.67$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.16 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Luca Nardi | 43c | 187.31$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.54 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +9.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac55…51a3backed Luca Nardi | 6c | 176.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Valentin Royer | 57c | 175.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.73 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Valentin Royer | 54c | 161.27$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.74 | 402 | 64.4%259 W · 143 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Valentin Royer | 69c | 158.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Luca Nardi | 39c | 155.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.83 | 257 | 56%144 W · 113 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Valentin Royer | 66c | 146.94$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 389 | 55.3%215 W · 174 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Valentin Royer | 53c | 145.94$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.69 | 292 | 30.5%89 W · 203 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Luca Nardi | 42c | 143.29$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…26f2backed Luca Nardi | 49c | 143.03$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.09 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked Valentin Royer | 69c | 137$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Valentin Royer | 56c | 135.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.22 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Valentin Royer | 58c | 134.52$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Valentin Royer | 52c | 134.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.45 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Valentin Royer | 62c | 131.95$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Luca Nardi | 36c | 127.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76d…6a8ebacked Luca Nardi | 28c | 125.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Valentin Royer | 77c | 120.16$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Luca Nardi | 43c | 119.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Valentin Royer | 61c | 118.36$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 570 | 52.6%300 W · 270 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Luca Nardi | 21c | 113.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Valentin Royer | 60c | 112.69$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.01 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Luca Nardi | 35c | 108.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd82…4068backed Luca Nardi | 40c | 104.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Valentin Royer | 52c | 104.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2b…0b89backed Luca Nardi | 32c | 103.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Luca Nardi | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 514 | 45.5%234 W · 280 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Valentin Royer | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Valentin Royer | 67c | 99.45$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Luca Nardi | 51c | 98.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Luca Nardi | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Luca Nardi | 43c | 94.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Luca Nardi | 38c | 91.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 584 | 53.1%310 W · 274 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Valentin Royer | 54c | 90.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Luca Nardi | 23c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Luca Nardi | 25c | 88.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 579 | 53.7%311 W · 268 L | +19.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Valentin Royer | 56c | 88.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 335 | 57%191 W · 144 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Luca Nardi | 33c | 88.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Valentin Royer | 66c | 88.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 272 | 47.4%129 W · 143 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Valentin Royer | 64c | 88.47$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Valentin Royer | 61c | 86.61$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 298 | 51%152 W · 146 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Valentin Royer | 57c | 85.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ed…72efbacked Luca Nardi | 46c | 79.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 387 | 54.3%210 W · 177 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed Valentin Royer | 65c | 75.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Luca Nardi | 35c | 71.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 502 | 59%296 W · 206 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Valentin Royer | 61c | 71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Luca Nardi | 45c | 70.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c2…7291backed Luca Nardi | 21c | 67.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Luca Nardi | 33c | 66.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 801 | 53.1%425 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Monza: Luca Nardi vs Valentin Royerthis page
- Luca Nardi vs. Valentin Royer: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Nardi vs. Royer: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Nardi vs. Royer: Match O/U 23.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.