TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xac55…51a3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst Cricket at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT4751.1%24 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Luciano Darderibacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.19
Busan: Yi Zhou vs Pavel Kotovbacked Pavel Kotov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.38
Barcelona Open: Pedro Martinez vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.33
BMW Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+90.7%+$36.05
BMW Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.61
Busan: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Leandro Riedibacked Soon-Woo Kwon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.16
Busan: Marat Sharipov vs Yasutaka Uchiyamabacked Yasutaka Uchiyama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Busan: Ilya Ivashka vs Dane Sweenybacked Ilya Ivashka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$40.36
Busan: James Kent Trotter vs Jake Delaneybacked Jake Delaney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.39
Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Stefano Napolitanobacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+205.2%+$140.64
Barcelona Open: Jaume Munar vs Rafael Jodarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.9
BMW Open: Alexander Blockx vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+86.7%+$110.2
Barcelona Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jack Draperbacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$34.27
BMW Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Vitaliy Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
BMW Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+29%+$36.18
Sarasota: Yibing Wu vs Stefan Dostanicbacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$29.19
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$67.66
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Hamad Medjedovic vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Monza: Raphael Collignon vs Dino Prizmicbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$61.13
Wuning: Fajing Sun vs Pavel Kotovbacked Pavel Kotov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$26.22
Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Beibit Zhukayevbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$31.98
Sarasota: Hugo Dellien vs Darwin Blanchbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.68
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.4
Monza: Stefano Travaglia vs Mattia Belluccibacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.47
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.04
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.8
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.