Asian League · resolved market
Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x814fbb36e52aa9432a99e7fde16153d663786f046f0ef1b0f46173eff86807c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,163 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 1,769$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.94 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 35c | 1,475$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.72 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Yes | 46c | 1,312$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.39 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 6c | 1,044$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.58 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 69c | 890.83$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.74 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 78c | 567.56$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.02 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 9c | 556.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -9.6wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 54c | 549.46$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.4 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 9c | 408.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 53c | 367.9$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.18 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Yes | 59c | 272.63$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebc…8b41backed Yes | 47c | 257.26$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 10c | 240$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 6c | 222.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…1f08backed Yes | 14c | 198.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 55c | 198$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.58 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…9bacbacked Yes | 65c | 179.19$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 58c | 157$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 49c | 155$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 52c | 146.03$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.01 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…ab57backed No | 53c | 139.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 11c | 137$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 427 | 25.8%110 W · 317 L | -34.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 64c | 130.81$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.01 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 40c | 125.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076e…a6a4backed Yes | 67c | 124.48$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 64c | 123$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked No | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 54c | 107$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked No | 41c | 105$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 48c | 95.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 32c | 91.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 45c | 61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 284 | 64.8%184 W · 100 L | +29.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 42c | 59.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.37 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 51c | 51.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…0901backed No | 55c | 50.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 49c | 50.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 376 | 62.5%235 W · 141 L | +61.2wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…e905backed No | 56c | 34.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 79c | 32.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 51c | 30.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bea…c1f3backed Yes | 70c | 28.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed No | 80c | 25.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…1dd8backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…4f8ebacked No | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…1e75backed No | 70c | 17.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-03-22?No won
- Will Pohang Steelers FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.