Asian League · resolved market
Will Pohang Steelers FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7e689848743439c2c28e152476167ee6a9f4620458bb4c5a2e835e1ce775487
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,675 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7333…ca16backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 48c | 759.23$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.56 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 29c | 720.07$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.39 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 44c | 671.59$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.21 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 55c | 527.24$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.33 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 46c | 510.58$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.9 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 71c | 466.07$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.6 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 71c | 397.57$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.31 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc862…e047backed Yes | 69c | 360.71$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 59c | 349.83$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.19 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 14c | 299.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked No | 36c | 280$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…5e69backed Yes | 40c | 270$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 19c | 261.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 39c | 255.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.32 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -9.6wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed No | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 58c | 138.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 70c | 130.41$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.05 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…20a5backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Yes | 40c | 99.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.62 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 48c | 89.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 79.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.43 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 33c | 76.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 30c | 72.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.83 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 64.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…033dbacked No | 23c | 64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 52c | 58.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 57c | 51.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 70c | 43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 67c | 43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 32c | 37.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e69…6e36backed Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba6…13a3backed Yes | 69c | 29.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 73c | 26.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pohang Steelers FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?this page
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-03-22?No won
- Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.