TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-04-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,723
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,409

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,723 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4956…e2c7backed No21c6,925$1,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.257950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31cb…a34bbacked No25c5,426$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.42842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-40.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No45c3,731$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,668.512,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed No52c3,600$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,888.058337.3%31 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes70c3,043$2,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.155,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes50c2,310$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.6884943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Yes79c2,000$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No51c1,979$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.056355.6%35 W · 28 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes50c1,960$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.047170.4%50 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No28c1,923$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.38,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Yes35c1,373$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.973560%21 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes79c1,279$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.223,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes59c1,097$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.8110155.4%56 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Yes28c1,044$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.368740.2%35 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No24c1,002$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.5143618.8%82 W · 354 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes77c963.63$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.6414540%58 W · 87 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Yes66c881.68$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.1918543.2%80 W · 105 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cfc…7f6bbacked No4c830.6$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.01825%2 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+91.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes59c827.9$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.447047.1%33 W · 37 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb61e…a10bbacked No39c661.85$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.412871.4%20 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+24.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No20c655$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13113545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes80c654.87$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.221,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bea…038ebacked No4c640.09$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.242528%7 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+68.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes80c606.69$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.421,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f59…21cbbacked Yes24c595.22$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.95560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick29cpaid+192.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No77c591.72$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.6210667.9%72 W · 34 L+15.7wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+42.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes50c582$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2913650%18 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes61c530.82$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.2299259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa55a…75a6backed Yes76c499.28$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.831580%12 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53fa…83f9backed No71c498.34$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.515062%31 W · 19 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb2ad…795fbacked No8c469.84$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.19520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4178…8b48backed Yes53c459.65$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.164158.5%24 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes20c422.9$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.115326.1%40 W · 113 L+0.7wins0.00per pick26cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No34c398.14$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.235042%21 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf76…d969backed Yes11c344.22$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked No23c333.63$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.334042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Yes49c324.83$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.772548%12 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No24c312.51$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.091,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No52c311.5$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.365844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x974e…8703backed No39c296.98$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.682740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce22…5704backed Yes44c238.74$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.65560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+43%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Yes79c238.08$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6217560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes76c209.98$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.281,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes29c208.51$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.4513451.5%69 W · 65 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No67c203.71$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.6314443.1%62 W · 82 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No34c198.74$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.081,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes72c186.56$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7944843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x25cf…d9a0backed Yes59c182.21$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.41338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0335…caf1backed No28c170.86$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.84616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-66%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No23c168.7$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7594848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee38…5417backed Yes76c163.52$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes63c157.54$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2920059.5%119 W · 81 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No22c155.95$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.641,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes29c150.58$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1771619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No20c138.38$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6829053.8%156 W · 134 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed Yes80c113.62$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.726369.8%44 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick75cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes80c112$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.41,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Yes28c105.25$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.7819050.5%96 W · 94 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes32c100.97$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.042,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No21c96.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.221345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Yes29c95.74$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.984332.6%14 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No19c95.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0851654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed No62c94.57$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.636142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No23c92.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.383,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No20c89.76$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.95478.5%4 W · 43 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-60.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bca…05d8backed No16c89.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed No35c83.71$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.278155.6%45 W · 36 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f4c…a6a1backed No24c80.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.09425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-49%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Yes35c78.6$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.431764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked No28c74.81$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7515768.2%107 W · 50 L+21.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes33c70.89$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.216838.2%26 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb611…188fbacked Yes73c68.84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.492259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes61c66.46$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.786352.4%33 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No29c60.63$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.541,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes55c59.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2719963.8%127 W · 72 L+19.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes49c59.4$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.318535.3%30 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Yes66c59.34$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.189763.9%62 W · 35 L+13.3wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+47.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes44c58.26$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8318140.3%73 W · 108 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed No50c58.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.18246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No76c57.16$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4520665%134 W · 72 L+24.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x722a…d6edbacked Yes50c50.61$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.316762.7%42 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes74c50.54$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.170055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Yes48c50.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.249344.1%41 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked No41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.56529.2%19 W · 46 L-8.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-45.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5f0b…855ebacked Yes70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes49c49.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.225226.9%14 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-43.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Yes75c48.38$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.111863.6%75 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf768…7831backed Yes65c45.21$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Yes59c41.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9517261%105 W · 67 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x165b…711cbacked Yes55c40.92$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.292646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed No34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.64425%11 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Yes37c39.57$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1213023.1%30 W · 100 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95ad…4eebbacked Yes76c37.74$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0610767.3%72 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No49c37.48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.371,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x108c…122dbacked Yes32c32.7$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.24862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked No76c31.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1629245.2%132 W · 160 L-24.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2920…a1d3backed Yes52c29.88$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.343060%18 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Yes52c29.72$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1625147.8%120 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44cb…feb2backed No53c27.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.581650%8 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+39.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bea…c1f3backed Yes73c26.84$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.