South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. Club Blooming end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb10b7c957f37805b44d502747b2169c4e1e8526acca83a731f808f0b28ff4a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 20c | 2,247$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.41 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 15c | 1,811$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.61 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,555$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.21 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 33c | 1,004$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e6…d6cabacked Yes | 66c | 739.52$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked Yes | 3c | 647.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 644.54$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.7 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 14c | 622.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.21 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfc…7f6bbacked Yes | 4c | 563.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…af95backed Yes | 5c | 538.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 68c | 491.45$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.05 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 15c | 396.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…d969backed Yes | 27c | 354.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Yes | 65c | 320$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.4 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 72c | 308.02$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.94 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 34c | 282.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 45c | 276.38$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.51 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 33c | 273.15$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.01 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 70c | 265.96$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.79 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4f…6e10backed Yes | 65c | 262.47$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 15c | 189.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25cf…d9a0backed Yes | 32c | 181.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb078…289ebacked Yes | 38c | 135.23$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 15c | 120.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 17c | 111.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 79c | 98.84$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…f0efbacked No | 55c | 92.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 31c | 88.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 71c | 88.28$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Yes | 30c | 86.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes | 72c | 77.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081f…d5c0backed Yes | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561a…7be2backed Yes | 45c | 64.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 22c | 61.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 20c | 57.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 42c | 55.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…3ec7backed Yes | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…1ad5backed No | 47c | 39.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Yes | 29c | 35.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 71c | 34.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 40c | 34.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 40c | 32.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…f642backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce22…5704backed No | 54c | 24.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. Club Blooming end in a draw?this page
- Will Club Blooming win on 2026-04-16?No won
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-04-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.