South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Blooming win on 2026-04-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bf963b9de9b4c3a77eac1507be31965f849970af3dc4446a890de3f85c3ae9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 43c | 9,147$3,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,902.05 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Yes | 10c | 5,150$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.02 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 6c | 3,331$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.49 | 145 | 40%58 W · 87 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 2,467$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.73 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 7c | 2,189$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.82 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 2,138$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.21 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,848$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.59 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 9c | 1,588$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 36c | 1,082$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.6 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,020$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.66 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 79c | 930.69$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.05 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 50c | 880.91$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.71 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 8c | 775.15$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…defdbacked Yes | 42c | 720.24$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.94 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 8c | 679.63$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe50…618abacked Yes | 10c | 500$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +176.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78fc…8c88backed Yes | 10c | 499.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +341.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57f7…ae57backed Yes | 10c | 499.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +125%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82b6…57bebacked Yes | 10c | 473.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 65c | 453.11$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.67 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53fa…83f9backed Yes | 38c | 400$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 7c | 377.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 9c | 307.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 10c | 289.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 19c | 276.09$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes | 10c | 274.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 12c | 246.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7108…32d4backed Yes | 13c | 218.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec71…35dcbacked Yes | 7c | 218.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa9…8b89backed Yes | 9c | 211.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 9c | 204.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 6c | 194.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 185.5$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed No | 55c | 173.36$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.91 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 23c | 170.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 20c | 153.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…22dfbacked Yes | 9c | 152.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 24c | 151.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…8b48backed Yes | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 55c | 138.25$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 20c | 120.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 10c | 106.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 49c | 100.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 11c | 97.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4584…5473backed Yes | 12c | 89.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed Yes | 65c | 75.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Yes | 65c | 75.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 32c | 70.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 20c | 62.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…0c64backed No | 37c | 54.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25cf…d9a0backed Yes | 37c | 51.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f8…6ef8backed Yes | 48c | 50.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e8…2137backed Yes | 65c | 45.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 35c | 44.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 43c | 40.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…3ec7backed Yes | 64c | 30.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 67c | 27.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…d45bbacked Yes | 63c | 16.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Blooming win on 2026-04-16?this page
- Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. Club Blooming end in a draw?No won
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-04-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.