TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x25cf…d9a0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 60 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT4146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.69
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.69
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.23
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.21
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$28.99
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.14
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+87.9%+$178.42
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+102.3%+$213.58
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.14
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$83.28
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.53
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+203%+$107.94
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+202.9%+$53.89
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.75
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.33
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.24
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+112%+$121.96
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$30.86
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$20.01
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.9
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$85.71
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will CD Tolima win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.56
Will CR Flamengo vs. Independiente Medellín end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.11
Will Club Blooming win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.07
Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. Club Blooming end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.13
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+69%+$74.4
Will CS Cristal win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will SE Palmeiras vs. CS Cristal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.11
Will CF América win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Club Blooming vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$19.68
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.05
Will Independiente Medellín vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$11.53
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT120%0 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.23
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.21
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.29
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.76
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.71
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.31
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.36
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$35.45
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.08
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$44.76
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.86
Will Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.18
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.27
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.42
Will CA Osasuna vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+135.2%+$33.93
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.39
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.32per pick38cpaid+100.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+273.4%+$60.14
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.15
Will Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$26.77
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.63
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+416.4%+$101.07
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$51.64
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+263.6%+$60.77
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$23.16
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.42
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-35.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.92
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+180.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+180.2%+$31.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.