TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,903
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,123

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,903 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes29c3,356$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.47933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No58c2,464$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.112,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No71c2,395$1,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.152,13045.8%975 W · 1,155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No79c2,236$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.555,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8105…3287backed Yes5c1,822$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.31333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No55c1,426$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.2194043.7%411 W · 529 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fa…2b82backed No74c953.66$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes26c881.55$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.222,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes47c758.06$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35592043.4%399 W · 521 L-4.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x076a…7fc1backed Yes28c683.39$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.35333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-41.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce72…cbefbacked Yes28c683.16$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.281030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84e5…6d71backed Yes28c632.17$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.011060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No72c615.62$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.8923348.1%112 W · 121 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No29c586.83$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.4951140.9%209 W · 302 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed Yes50c540.18$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.092050%10 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+37.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes29c496.41$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.611822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No60c494.06$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.2418659.7%111 W · 75 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa573…f034backed Yes4c471.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.85333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+85.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbef8…7445backed No74c462.81$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes26c419.42$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.052,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked No71c416.96$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.062123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-61.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No58c405.94$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.0498653.2%525 W · 461 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10013573.3%99 W · 36 L+24.7wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+40.2%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes27c396.77$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.136454.7%35 W · 29 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes44c394.86$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.6722542.7%96 W · 129 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes17c390.25$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.868125.9%21 W · 60 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes28c372.17$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.275020%10 W · 40 L-5.9wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-37.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5f59…3d18backed Yes27c354.15$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.621338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-34.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No73c346.32$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.5118743.9%82 W · 105 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5eb…93bfbacked Yes59c332.78$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes59c330.64$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.083354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+33.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Yes74c328.02$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.745160.8%31 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No18c309.9$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.071450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+88.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes32c302.82$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.97435.1%26 W · 48 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…d922backed No14c299.8$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick12cpaid+376.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x69b5…f7ebbacked No53c295.24$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.186100%6 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed No72c294.96$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.598067.5%54 W · 26 L+9.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes28c267.56$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.337423%17 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-15.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Yes29c252.13$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1280%0 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No46c241.91$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.4923347.2%110 W · 123 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes51c236.45$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5964143.4%278 W · 363 L+1.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed Yes60c213.7$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.971050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes27c206.52$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7619954.3%108 W · 91 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadd6…78efbacked No77c194.8$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No53c187.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.553652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Yes16c183.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0770%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf932…1e21backed Yes30c176.57$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed9…bbd3backed No70c171$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.32142.9%9 W · 12 L-5.2wins-0.25per pick67cpaid-35.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Yes28c170.86$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.84333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes26c162.96$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3785250.4%429 W · 423 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddbc…28c3backed Yes61c160.1$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd243…56e5backed Yes56c157.38$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.923644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No73c149.95$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4930646.7%143 W · 163 L-1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e5b…292bbacked Yes28c133.78$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.46862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes34c129.68$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4971533.8%242 W · 473 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No73c126.67$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.212261.5%75 W · 47 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Yes27c123.95$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4710461.5%64 W · 40 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes27c113.24$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.589437.2%35 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…3134backed Yes66c111.06$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick74cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2099…4a6fbacked Yes26c104.4$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.141118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick42cpaid-62.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe3ca…5ed4backed Yes28c102.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2753655.2%296 W · 240 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes29c99.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.724751.1%24 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8006…94dcbacked Yes29c99.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e30…5629backed Yes64c97.84$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.621520%3 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-47.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ed7…e114backed Yes53c97.02$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes28c95.68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7993845.4%426 W · 512 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Yes27c95.62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c69…e671backed No64c92.43$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes68c92.33$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.931,28250.2%644 W · 638 L-25.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x497d…c4eebacked Yes45c89.58$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x061d…b355backed Yes28c85.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.921643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No72c84.5$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6611657.8%67 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Yes29c82.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.946453.1%34 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes15c78.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.412254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes45c73.44$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.798948.3%43 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes27c73.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.541,11351%568 W · 545 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No72c71.43$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2042347.8%202 W · 221 L+1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fc0…b994backed Yes28c68.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.14425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa469…4985backed Yes28c68.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.141241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Yes28c68.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.146322.2%14 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes28c68.21$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.14934.7%17 W · 32 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No34c59.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0358320.1%117 W · 466 L-37.7wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95a0…e80bbacked Yes28c57.41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.071450%7 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25cf…d9a0backed Yes57c51.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.23560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa233…dfe8backed Yes23c50.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.584551.1%23 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6b…52a5backed Yes64c47.94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No72c46.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1610121.8%22 W · 79 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes24c46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0438147.5%181 W · 200 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c2f…e7fcbacked No53c43.85$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e0b…89cfbacked No56c43.68$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadf3…7916backed Yes27c42.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No72c40.71$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2267348.1%324 W · 349 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes27c38.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5229244.9%131 W · 161 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcda0…9f86backed No53c37.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No77c37.25$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5713542.2%57 W · 78 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5965…33b5backed No74c34.59$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.99862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No72c33.66$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.431,24039.2%486 W · 754 L-35.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x453c…ae42backed Yes43c33.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Yes57c31.68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0613864.5%89 W · 49 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.