TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2ed7…e114

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.53
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+95%+$18.46
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.48
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$40.77
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.03
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$38.65
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.43
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$115.27
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$29.31
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.06
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.18
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.39
Madrid Open: Daria Snigur vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.11
Madrid Open: Paula Badosa vs Julia Grabherbacked Julia Grabher · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$14.47
Madrid Open, Qualification: Nikola Bartunkova vs Alina Charaevabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.68
Oeiras 4: Greet Minnen vs Carole Monnetbacked Greet Minnen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.31
Madrid Open, Qualification: Otto Virtanen vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+103.3%+$45.59
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Leylah Fernandez vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.52
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Liam Draxlbacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$12.76
Bucharest Open, Qualification: George Loffhagen vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Jurij Rodionov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Mariana Higuitabacked Mariana Higuita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+59.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+102.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+70.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$14.79
Will Belarus win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+238.6%+$26.24
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.56
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Capitals vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.41
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.23
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.