Asian League · resolved market
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-04-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4110ab42884bb711d3dd763e35e3d7af03509a2f5009f96c4f62a8e010f294c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed No | 39c | 19,870$7,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,747.34 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.27per pick | 48cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 61c | 9,174$5,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,583.02 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed No | 0c | 3,200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Yes | 64c | 2,496$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.06 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 65c | 2,172$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.3 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 25c | 1,664$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.61 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…e62abacked No | 36c | 1,314$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 40c | 1,270$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.3 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 20c | 1,200$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.3 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked No | 40c | 999.8$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.82 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 61c | 978$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.1 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 62c | 902.45$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.82 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 5c | 829.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 61c | 708$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.2 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 61c | 708$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.2 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 61c | 656.34$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.37 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 37c | 540.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 36c | 521.1$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.6 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 61c | 480$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 61c | 326.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.75 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 29c | 300.43$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.52 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Yes | 58c | 283.83$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 61c | 189.17$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.77 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 61c | 162.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.81 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Yes | 61c | 147.03$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 61c | 141$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Yes | 61c | 134.24$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed No | 19c | 131.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes | 80c | 131.44$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…7543backed Yes | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 61c | 106$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 21c | 90.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed No | 19c | 86.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 37c | 86.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Yes | 80c | 84.58$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 62c | 81.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 62c | 80.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 67c | 79$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 21c | 75.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0796…8264backed Yes | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes | 63c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x550c…e093backed Yes | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Yes | 62c | 67.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed7…e114backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1948…9f98backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Yes | 61c | 49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc251…a5d3backed Yes | 63c | 41.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Yes | 78c | 39.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 38c | 38.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Yes | 61c | 34.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a01…c0f7backed Yes | 61c | 32.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…b2a6backed Yes | 63c | 31.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 59c | 31.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 37c | 31.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Yes | 72c | 28.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed Yes | 73c | 27.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Yes | 53c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Yes | 57c | 26.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Yes | 79c | 25.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e71…57a3backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47cc…6aa7backed Yes | 62c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…dc7cbacked Yes | 61c | 17.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-04-19?this page
- Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-04-19?No won
- Will Ulsan HD FC vs. Gwangju FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.