NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Golden Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa44867be8210197d50720a175ffbfbacd0f8f6606ad023a3da8ca5c9fec36130
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Capitals, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,191,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,214,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,191,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 732 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Capitals | 41c | 338,996$138,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200,018.89 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Golden Knights | 58c | 272,045$156,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156,826.41 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Golden Knights | 60c | 86,249$51,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,517.32 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Capitals | 43c | 59,784$25,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,092.91 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Capitals | 48c | 55,014$26,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,696.3 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Capitals | 40c | 37,263$14,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,357.5 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Golden Knights | 57c | 35,489$20,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,228.62 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Golden Knights | 47c | 32,176$15,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,064.12 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Capitals | 48c | 29,434$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,433.67 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Golden Knights | 52c | 24,668$12,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,762.78 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Capitals | 46c | 22,090$10,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,902.08 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Golden Knights | 36c | 21,614$7,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,741.76 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Golden Knights | 53c | 18,888$9,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,955.03 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x871f…5ac9backed Capitals | 48c | 17,028$8,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,921.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Capitals | 43c | 16,256$6,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,265.81 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Capitals | 41c | 14,762$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,661.89 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Capitals | 41c | 14,416$5,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,460.73 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Capitals | 43c | 14,295$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,094.93 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Golden Knights | 41c | 13,264$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.6wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Golden Knights | 59c | 12,731$7,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,482.06 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Golden Knights | 60c | 12,043$7,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,204 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 12,000$6,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,839.98 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdb…3629backed Golden Knights | 41c | 11,570$4,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,776.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Golden Knights | 49c | 11,049$5,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,415.31 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Capitals | 42c | 10,562$4,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,091.42 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Capitals | 40c | 9,961$3,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,978.52 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden Knights | 54c | 9,590$5,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,177.95 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Golden Knights | 57c | 9,076$5,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,174.03 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Capitals | 59c | 8,750$5,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,587.5 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…6bc7backed Capitals | 46c | 8,692$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,691.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Golden Knights | 38c | 8,002$3,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,073.64 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…7642backed Golden Knights | 64c | 8,000$5,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,093.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Capitals | 59c | 7,800$4,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,197.99 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Golden Knights | 59c | 7,154$4,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,221 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Golden Knights | 57c | 7,063$4,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,026.71 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Capitals | 41c | 7,029$2,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,171.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Capitals | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Capitals | 61c | 6,644$4,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616.23 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Golden Knights | 56c | 6,630$3,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,687.38 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Golden Knights | 54c | 6,510$3,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,515.4 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59f0…6ca0backed Golden Knights | 59c | 6,100$3,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Golden Knights | 57c | 6,087$3,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,469.76 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Golden Knights | 47c | 6,068$2,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,834.27 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Golden Knights | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Golden Knights | 19c | 5,866$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.6 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Golden Knights | 52c | 5,791$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,030 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Golden Knights | 56c | 5,745$3,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,218.29 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 5,700$3,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,248.77 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Capitals | 40c | 5,692$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,415.3 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Golden Knights | 56c | 5,650$3,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,161.44 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Golden Knights | 58c | 5,340$3,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,105.5 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Golden Knights | 58c | 5,329$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…8e9dbacked Capitals | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Capitals | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Capitals | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.9 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Golden Knights | 52c | 4,425$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.14 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Golden Knights | 43c | 4,359$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.8 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Golden Knights | 57c | 4,356$2,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478.78 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Capitals | 79c | 4,307$3,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.59 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Golden Knights | 58c | 4,250$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475.47 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…30d5backed Golden Knights | 58c | 4,226$2,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.72 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Golden Knights | 57c | 4,019$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.83 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Golden Knights | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Capitals | 43c | 3,800$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Golden Knights | 53c | 3,579$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.92 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Golden Knights | 58c | 3,384$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.52 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed Capitals | 79c | 3,248$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.31 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Golden Knights | 36c | 3,006$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.8 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Capitals | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Capitals | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.98 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Capitals | 50c | 2,918$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.84 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…f93bbacked Golden Knights | 27c | 2,883$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Golden Knights | 58c | 2,871$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.28 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Capitals | 63c | 2,740$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.93 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Golden Knights | 35c | 2,660$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.82 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Capitals | 42c | 2,653$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.84 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Capitals | 59c | 2,450$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.5 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…a9bebacked Golden Knights | 58c | 2,439$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Capitals | 42c | 2,388$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.43 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Golden Knights | 58c | 2,293$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Golden Knights | 59c | 2,267$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.74 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…10f1backed Golden Knights | 58c | 2,076$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Golden Knights | 37c | 2,069$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.35 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…d0f1backed Capitals | 49c | 2,016$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.01 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Golden Knights | 56c | 2,003$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…dfe7backed Capitals | 41c | 2,000$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.98 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Golden Knights | 60c | 1,890$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.08 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca4…51cebacked Golden Knights | 64c | 1,722$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Golden Knights | 41c | 1,658$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.14 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Golden Knights | 19c | 1,627$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.87 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Golden Knights | 56c | 1,619$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.21 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Golden Knights | 50c | 1,608$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.54 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Capitals | 59c | 1,600$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.46 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Golden Knights | 56c | 1,586$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.79 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a84…e271backed Capitals | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Capitals | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Golden Knights | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Golden Knights | 46c | 1,480$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.26 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Golden Knights | 42c | 1,424$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.67 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Golden Knightsthis page
- Capitals vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Over won
- Capitals vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Over won
- Capitals vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Over won
- Capitals vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.