NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x982b435c47eb55bec825ad62d79156a0d07e34e4700a89f374b579fd6d516632
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $559,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $560,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $559,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 46c | 457,480$211,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246,126.55 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 54c | 176,055$95,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,089.03 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 55c | 108,578$59,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,805.62 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 54c | 88,721$47,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,909.82 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 53c | 68,483$36,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,295.75 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Over | 44c | 31,208$13,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,476.28 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Under | 54c | 20,000$10,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,729.94 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Over | 46c | 8,338$3,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,474.99 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,240 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 53c | 7,915$4,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,208.07 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 6,741$3,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,587.58 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 54c | 4,759$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,569.8 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 55c | 3,815$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.95 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 3,227$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.73 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 3,100$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.68 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 47c | 2,819$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.51 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 47c | 2,713$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.71 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 56c | 2,484$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.04 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 46c | 2,195$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.86 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Under | 54c | 2,069$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.26 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 53c | 1,835$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.13 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Under | 54c | 1,390$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.8 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 54c | 950$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 54c | 862.58$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.79 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Under | 57c | 776.74$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.83 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 54c | 700$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 46c | 638.43$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.75 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 54c | 529.82$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.94 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 53c | 526.98$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.3 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…8616backed Under | 54c | 462.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.52 | 173 | 43.4%75 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 58c | 422.47$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.88 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 41c | 379.09$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.02 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbd…1312backed Under | 54c | 362.23$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58fb…1f65backed Over | 34c | 362.06$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.22 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b09…2a9bbacked Under | 54c | 361.98$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc979…7bacbacked Under | 54c | 359.98$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3321…2522backed Under | 54c | 358.35$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…a5f7backed Over | 47c | 356.03$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42a…0e35backed Over | 47c | 355.95$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa827…4c38backed Under | 54c | 354.45$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…f24dbacked Over | 47c | 352.77$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e9…13c1backed Over | 47c | 349.84$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9b…b74dbacked Over | 47c | 345.39$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 46c | 325$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.9 | 152 | 57.9%88 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 46c | 301$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.54 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 53c | 283$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 45c | 239.58$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.77 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 55c | 235.24$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.02 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 63c | 222.18$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.91 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Over | 46c | 207.8$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.37 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d91…7781backed Under | 69c | 207.75$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Under | 54c | 196.3$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb409…03e9backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 52c | 172.24$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 151.01$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.23 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 49c | 135$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 49c | 125.1$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.42 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 55c | 121.54$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 52c | 116.22$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Over | 46c | 110.22$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9044…c2f5backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 54c | 103.22$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.74 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0b…94d1backed Under | 55c | 101.95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…b5b9backed Over | 46c | 97.28$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…09edbacked Over | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Under | 55c | 95.16$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed Under | 55c | 90.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f2…2c56backed Under | 55c | 85.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6ba6backed Under | 55c | 77.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Under | 53c | 74.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed Under | 56c | 72.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 45c | 70.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 39c | 69.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 55c | 68.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 47c | 68.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda29…7907backed Over | 47c | 68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6da7…762abacked Over | 45c | 66.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 47c | 66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Under | 57c | 64.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 57c | 59.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe97f…9337backed Over | 45c | 55.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 54c | 55.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 54c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9643…6fc6backed Over | 46c | 53.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…e6bbbacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Under | 54c | 52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Under | 55c | 51.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 54c | 50.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 54c | 50.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5this page
- Capitals vs. Golden KnightsCapitals won
- Capitals vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Over won
- Capitals vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Over won
- Capitals vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.