TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-04-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$119,003
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$134,790

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,003 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes24c32,757$7,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,985.5318352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No21c31,261$6,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,61931349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Yes79c11,141$8,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,385.72166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes73c8,320$6,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,213.31,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No77c5,159$3,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,951.5342962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No8c4,434$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.4430841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No77c4,117$3,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,153.13,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No76c4,000$3,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,04024855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No76c3,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,28013059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes79c2,606$2,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.3557157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No36c2,070$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.241,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No76c1,750$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,33016558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No76c1,500$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14024053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No24c1,396$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.625,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed No76c986.84$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7503240.6%13 W · 19 L-5.3wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No76c985.6$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.0623057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f9…0eaabacked No20c952$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.42330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes76c951.88$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.458447.6%40 W · 44 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c624.18$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.992,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No14c617.98$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4250746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No24c609.68$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.231,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No79c600$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47484943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes21c597.34$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.8316534.5%57 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ba…0bc3backed No21c581.23$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.17650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+29.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No76c500$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3801,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No76c500$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3802,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No76c500$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38018358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No76c500$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38028851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No76c500$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38023056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No76c476.91$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.461,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed7…e114backed Yes80c466.13$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.23580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+59.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No76c461$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.3630754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No76c450$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34224956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No76c400$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30421358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No76c400$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30416559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No76c400$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30415857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes24c397.66$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.2231745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5428…e46abacked Yes77c384.23$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.371560%9 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed No8c377.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.227748.1%37 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed No80c370.5$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.418543.2%80 W · 105 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed No76c334.57$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.2714540%58 W · 87 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No79c323.4$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.998261%50 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb844…8cf6backed No22c283.85$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.85933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No76c250$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19021657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No76c250$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19020360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No77c245.94$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.447758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No24c222.66$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5613828.3%39 W · 99 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Yes19c212.36$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.012552%13 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No76c210$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.64850%24 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No77c210$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.74452.3%23 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed No13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2648922.9%112 W · 377 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No79c200$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.2518452.2%96 W · 88 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No77c190.39$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.647756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No77c190.39$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.641256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No76c185$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.64254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4cad…0303backed Yes44c163.08$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.321643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No77c162.35$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.471,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c5f…8eadbacked No19c151.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.541250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No76c150$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11422058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No76c150$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11415560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes76c129.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1211657.8%67 W · 49 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b6e…b509backed Yes78c126.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a4c…1940backed No80c119.31$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.458858%51 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed No25c114.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.653956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ed8…3affbacked Yes78c113.86$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+79.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No40c107.97$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.121,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7624257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7618959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f94…af9cbacked Yes21c90.72$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+109.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No74c86.02$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.571,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b35…7e1dbacked No76c75$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No76c75$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5717960.3%108 W · 71 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No76c75$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5713557%77 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a85…e543backed Yes75c74.43$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.554355.8%24 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x96e4…e5ffbacked Yes77c73.97$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf759…0221backed Yes21c73.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.69333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+58.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Yes77c71.4$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4811863.6%75 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b95…6907backed Yes77c70.98$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No76c70$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.28045%36 W · 44 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes53c69.31$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.756043.3%26 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed No50c67.96$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.297460.8%45 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x328e…2a49backed Yes76c64.44$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.15366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bb6…5154backed Yes77c64.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.733100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No77c63$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.512,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No76c60$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.613465.7%88 W · 46 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Yes80c56.32$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2610564.8%68 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a68…22dfbacked Yes21c53.51$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.056415.6%10 W · 54 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed No77c52.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2211858.5%69 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes21c47.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6313839.9%55 W · 83 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72b4…7eebbacked Yes43c44.92$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Yes76c41.36$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.93666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No68c37.01$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.012,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes77c33.92$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.88560%51 W · 34 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked No76c33.46$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5828665%186 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x827f…8027backed Yes44c33.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes42c28.98$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8171619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x48c1…07f7backed Yes79c28.27$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07fc…b495backed Yes76c27.07$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Yes75c26.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6729362.5%183 W · 110 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a01…c0f7backed No77c25.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.711457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.