Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc145b57f17e99c73335d7300ef5f79fad4c231c4044043d41ba3b84957943fab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,059,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,086,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,059,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 436 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes | 41c | 571,069$234,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336,221.78 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…266ebacked No | 59c | 200,189$118,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118,111.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 69,352$34,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,871.41 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 58c | 40,660$23,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,754.09 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 58c | 29,955$17,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,373.81 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 59c | 28,777$16,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,843.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 57c | 28,353$16,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,148.33 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 40c | 27,447$11,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,338.38 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 59c | 20,807$12,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,262.95 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 58c | 20,002$11,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,601.16 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 19,396$6,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,777.12 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 29c | 17,277$4,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,992.49 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 59c | 16,174$9,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,537.28 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…91e7backed No | 60c | 15,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 58c | 14,580$8,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,456.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 59c | 14,411$8,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,502.49 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…2bb7backed No | 58c | 12,967$7,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,520.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Yes | 40c | 10,604$4,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,362.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…da98backed No | 60c | 9,707$5,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,824.44 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 21c | 8,722$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.74 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 13c | 8,255$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.2 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 59c | 7,439$4,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,389.3 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked No | 61c | 7,380$4,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,501.77 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 59c | 6,669$3,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,918.1 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed No | 61c | 6,638$4,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,049.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes | 42c | 5,955$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,453.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 62c | 4,788$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,968.73 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…a640backed Yes | 42c | 4,729$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,743.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 14c | 4,697$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.97 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 59c | 4,620$2,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,719.19 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddd…bea6backed Yes | 42c | 4,596$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,665.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked No | 58c | 4,202$2,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 40c | 4,096$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.78 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.9wins | +0.31per pick | 42cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 60c | 4,069$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.92 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 60c | 4,069$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.92 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 59c | 3,842$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,255.11 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Yes | 40c | 3,615$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 59c | 3,493$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.87 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 3c | 3,220$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.87 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…f8a2backed No | 3c | 3,169$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.1 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 5c | 3,036$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.75 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 60c | 2,765$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.24 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes | 41c | 2,558$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.21 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.79 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed No | 60c | 2,442$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.96 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…c9b2backed No | 55c | 2,417$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 19c | 2,293$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.94 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe271…1570backed Yes | 39c | 2,240$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 59c | 2,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 15c | 1,960$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.95 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 55c | 1,783$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.81 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 59c | 1,750$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.5 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 40c | 1,675$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.98 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 16c | 1,654$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.44 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc68d…a9c8backed No | 62c | 1,604$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed No | 59c | 1,567$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.65 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63fa…7ea4backed Yes | 40c | 1,516$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 13c | 1,399$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.9 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked No | 59c | 1,326$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.26 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 60c | 1,306$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.95 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 20c | 1,294$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.76 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7630…5275backed No | 59c | 1,270$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb8…5a18backed Yes | 75c | 1,257$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.37 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x271c…6a19backed No | 59c | 1,218$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 59c | 1,200$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed No | 58c | 1,179$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.8 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 42c | 1,158$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.78 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 42c | 1,108$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 44c | 1,106$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.07 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Yes | 42c | 1,101$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +175.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x046b…340dbacked Yes | 42c | 1,045$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.07 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed No | 58c | 1,010$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed No | 60c | 1,005$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.04 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6732…d7f0backed No | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Yes | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 41c | 999.98$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.99 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced3…10d1backed Yes | 38c | 997.94$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed No | 59c | 991.93$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 13c | 987.63$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.15 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 58c | 974.8$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.38 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 41c | 964.6$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.11 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 59c | 904.62$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.58 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 32c | 881.95$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.23 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 59c | 855.46$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.71 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 58c | 850.03$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.01 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked No | 59c | 834.94$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked No | 59c | 826.61$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 60c | 815.84$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.92 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…5a9fbacked No | 61c | 800.49$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.3 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…6931backed Yes | 69c | 681.96$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed No | 58c | 672.28$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.92 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-16?this page
- Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-16?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.