Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd55eb35fdc9c1fa7869a9fa0a07ae2404d262e980aef65150d1b7ef3c221896
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 70c | 14,632$10,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,389.54 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 73c | 9,284$6,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.02 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 30c | 8,166$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.8 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 30c | 7,369$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.65 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 6,451$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.31 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…9d33backed Yes | 31c | 3,345$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8519…f4e1backed Yes | 12c | 1,973$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 69c | 1,615$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.51 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 69c | 1,552$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.06 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Yes | 13c | 1,462$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.56 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 11c | 1,330$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.98 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed Yes | 10c | 1,211$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Yes | 30c | 1,100$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e6…b9f9backed Yes | 31c | 1,005$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 16c | 810.19$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.7 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…1211backed Yes | 11c | 800$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Yes | 19c | 712.58$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 31c | 609.67$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 31c | 558.63$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.54 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e30…5629backed Yes | 11c | 538.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes | 31c | 463.84$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.79 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 31c | 463.84$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.79 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a44…8985backed Yes | 31c | 463.84$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf50f…0586backed Yes | 31c | 454.56$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 11c | 430.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 12c | 402.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…f034backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 19c | 396.77$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.53 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9c6bbacked Yes | 13c | 388.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4424…4cc6backed Yes | 11c | 383.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 15c | 377.46$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…d969backed Yes | 8c | 366.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 13c | 364.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 13c | 351.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 70c | 331.04$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.31 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 23c | 327.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Yes | 31c | 317.54$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…ef33backed Yes | 31c | 311.55$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 31c | 309.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…1475backed Yes | 31c | 309.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 31c | 309.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 31c | 309.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…3b43backed Yes | 29c | 293.82$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 31c | 287.58$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.15 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 79c | 212.34$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 30c | 198.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.65 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Yes | 12c | 197.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d47…3d24backed Yes | 13c | 196.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 21c | 178.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f87…f334backed No | 70c | 160.36$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 69c | 146.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.01 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…b28bbacked Yes | 10c | 141.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8408…5dcabacked Yes | 10c | 141.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Yes | 31c | 136.46$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f0…f1b2backed No | 70c | 134.9$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…53f2backed No | 70c | 133.33$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 123.44$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Yes | 23c | 118.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked No | 70c | 107.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 31c | 107.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes | 31c | 104.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0a…e440backed Yes | 31c | 100.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 30c | 99.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 71c | 99.8$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 31c | 98.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 80c | 98.64$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 80c | 98.64$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 80c | 98.64$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…fb90backed Yes | 26c | 98.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…68f2backed No | 70c | 96.8$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 30c | 96.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 80c | 94.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 80c | 94.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 80c | 94.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…22dfbacked Yes | 11c | 93.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 31c | 92.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 31c | 92.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x975e…f875backed Yes | 31c | 92.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 30c | 85.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c34…a10dbacked Yes | 13c | 85.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…b7bebacked Yes | 12c | 84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Yes | 31c | 77.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…55a6backed Yes | 31c | 75.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 31c | 74.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed No | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 69.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…9b0bbacked Yes | 31c | 61.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…8fb9backed Yes | 31c | 61.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…0736backed Yes | 31c | 61.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 75c | 59.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 79c | 59.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c72…8eb4backed No | 70c | 58.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 22c | 58.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-16?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.