TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8f87…f334

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovicbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.98
Geneva Open, Qualification: Sebastian Ofner vs Kilian Feldbauschbacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.74
Cordoba: Guido Justo vs Franco Roncadellibacked Guido Justo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.21
Bordeaux: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin Dammbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,986Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$934.65
Oeiras 4: Petr Brunclik vs Jaime Fariabacked Petr Brunclik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Valencia: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Zizou Bergsbacked Roberto Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.83
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.19
Aix en Provence: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$983Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$797.39
Abidjan: Karim Bennani vs Paul Jubbbacked Paul Jubb · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,164Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,163.69
Madrid Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Martin Dammbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$475.22
Madrid Open: Terence Atmane vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.83
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Gabriel Diallobacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.65
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Elise Mertensbacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+108.2%+$340.41
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.25
BMW Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$203.63
Barcelona Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.97
Wuning 2: Omar Jasika vs Maximus Jonesbacked Omar Jasika · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.13
BMW Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Joao Fonsecabacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.97
Barcelona Open: Arthur Fils vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.92
Tallahassee: Daniil Glinka vs Stefan Dostanicbacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$65.44
BMW Open: Zizou Bergs vs Marko Topobacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$24.99
Busan: Marat Sharipov vs Yasutaka Uchiyamabacked Yasutaka Uchiyama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.93
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$123.14
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Daria Kasatkina vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104.89
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$88.16
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick10cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 3 Algeria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Iraq?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.75
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 2 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 0 IR Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 2 Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.37
Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 1 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$525
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Australia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Korea Republic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.99
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 0 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$1,111.82
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-48.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$110.6
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$27.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,769Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,768.83
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$32.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$48.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$379.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$23.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.