Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Austria?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb44eb54f6c98f82553c236e2e0f5101eec3e2bf614d7bb4ef4501176790babdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $415,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $388,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $415,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 10c | 71,520$7,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,305.04 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Yes | 11c | 50,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 11c | 30,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 11c | 10,094$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.4 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…0d3cbacked Yes | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Yes | 11c | 9,500$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…be02backed Yes | 11c | 8,191$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 11c | 5,229$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.19 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e7a2backed Yes | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cb…8414backed Yes | 11c | 4,642$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.62 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…5861backed Yes | 11c | 4,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed Yes | 11c | 2,727$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde90…d417backed Yes | 11c | 2,727$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 11c | 2,727$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 11c | 2,500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 262 | 16%42 W · 220 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5c…9353backed Yes | 11c | 2,500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea2…0f20backed Yes | 13c | 2,307$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.84 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 11c | 2,291$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.96 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes | 11c | 2,287$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.71 | 539 | 20.6%111 W · 428 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09dd…7e13backed Yes | 10c | 2,263$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.05 | 379 | 44.1%167 W · 212 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…9404backed Yes | 11c | 1,864$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 157 | 19.1%30 W · 127 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…3af8backed Yes | 11c | 1,824$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 172 | 11%19 W · 153 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 156 | 16%25 W · 131 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x580e…38cdbacked Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…eeb9backed Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…3271backed Yes | 10c | 1,737$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.73 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…63efbacked Yes | 11c | 1,658$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.33 | 98 | 17.3%17 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,584$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.53 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…c20ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 7.1%8 W · 105 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 11c | 1,422$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.46 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x673e…3186backed Yes | 11c | 1,417$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…f46dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,389$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 8cpaid | +172.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…66adbacked Yes | 11c | 1,364$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53de…409abacked Yes | 11c | 1,336$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 12c | 1,195$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…a0d3backed Yes | 11c | 1,145$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 279 | 9.7%27 W · 252 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…fd23backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 11c | 999.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x394e…450fbacked Yes | 10c | 999.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…fe92backed Yes | 11c | 910$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…26aebacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f87…f334backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…bd50backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 32.5%38 W · 79 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabef…1819backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7e…916fbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -70%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd2…68b0backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13dc…5150backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…e406backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 18.3%20 W · 89 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…a99abacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5c…d8debacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…5bb2backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -48%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 11c | 909$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…f649backed Yes | 11c | 900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf7…e64cbacked Yes | 11c | 876.82$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b77…b4e1backed Yes | 11c | 863.64$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 11c | 863.64$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…3463backed Yes | 11c | 862$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.82 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b1…e789backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +14.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 12c | 778$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.68 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…b646backed Yes | 13c | 768.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 21.9%49 W · 175 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfc…92ffbacked Yes | 11c | 756$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 11c | 750$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 11c | 750$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…ac14backed Yes | 13c | 730.77$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7997…5e4bbacked Yes | 14c | 690$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 224 | 52.2%117 W · 107 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…99c2backed Yes | 11c | 680$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Yes | 12c | 649.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 360 | 23.6%85 W · 275 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe00…e985backed Yes | 11c | 636.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac5…e675backed Yes | 11c | 636.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cf…4228backed Yes | 11c | 636.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89f7…f073backed Yes | 11c | 572.73$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa053…130fbacked Yes | 11c | 545.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 311 | 29.6%92 W · 219 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…6412backed Yes | 11c | 545.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 365 | 30.7%112 W · 253 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 9c | 540.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 10c | 522.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee8…432fbacked Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7169…aaf5backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 26.7%28 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fed…c228backed Yes | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 11c | 497.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 456 | 27.9%127 W · 329 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9f…164dbacked Yes | 13c | 484.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 11c | 455$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a0…aee2backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a64…3c0abacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 28.2%51 W · 130 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d2…aab6backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ba…a64bbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…e8e6backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x488e…ab99backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 17.6%13 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…4997backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 235 | 13.2%31 W · 204 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51a…7e42backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…63f4backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0728…40f4backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 162 | 25.9%42 W · 120 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f99…e0d5backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 20.1%32 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Austria?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Austria?Yes won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Austria?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.