TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Austria?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$415,585
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$388,730

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $415,585 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes10c71,520$7,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,305.048,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Yes11c50,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,500147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick25cpaid-86.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes11c30,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30030214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes11c10,094$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.42,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Yes11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10013639%53 W · 83 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9938817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad4…6866backed Yes11c9,500$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0458435.7%30 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x072f…be02backed Yes11c8,191$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9011010%1 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes11c5,229$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.1956410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x442f…e7a2backed Yes11c5,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55011038.2%42 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3cb…8414backed Yes11c4,642$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.62120%0 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed Yes11c4,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49517636.4%64 W · 112 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…9e88backed Yes11c2,727$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005324.5%13 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid+21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde90…d417backed Yes11c2,727$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes11c2,727$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Yes11c2,500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27529018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f5c…9353backed Yes11c2,500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27516540.6%67 W · 98 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcea2…0f20backed Yes13c2,307$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.842718.5%5 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Yes11c2,291$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.9644524.9%111 W · 334 L-1.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes11c2,287$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.7153920.6%111 W · 428 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Yes10c2,263$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.0537944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x935d…9404backed Yes11c1,864$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20515719.1%30 W · 127 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9254…3af8backed Yes11c1,824$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017211%19 W · 153 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015616%25 W · 131 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x580e…38cdbacked Yes11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016739.5%66 W · 101 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c41…eeb9backed Yes11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008026.3%21 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe7d9…3271backed Yes10c1,737$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.7311723.1%27 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+69.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43a8…63efbacked Yes11c1,658$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.339817.3%17 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick17cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes7c1,584$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.532,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes11c1,500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16536024.4%88 W · 272 L-0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfae3…c20ebacked Yes1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201137.1%8 W · 105 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes11c1,422$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.4635514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x673e…3186backed Yes11c1,417$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-55%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f96…f46dbacked Yes7c1,389$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.143917.9%7 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick8cpaid+172.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Yes11c1,364$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017518.3%32 W · 143 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53de…409abacked Yes11c1,336$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1477939.2%31 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes12c1,195$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1406266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8da1…a0d3backed Yes11c1,145$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1262799.7%27 W · 252 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1107237.5%27 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x207a…fd23backed Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11060%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes11c999.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11052522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x394e…450fbacked Yes10c999.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002119%4 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-54.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Yes11c910$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.124626%64 W · 182 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…26aebacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004129.3%12 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f87…f334backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick10cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010542.9%45 W · 60 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3944…bd50backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011732.5%38 W · 79 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabef…1819backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008225.6%21 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7e…916fbacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-70%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfd2…68b0backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007115.5%11 W · 60 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13dc…5150backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-2.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x41f0…e406backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010918.3%20 W · 89 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032739.1%128 W · 199 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5748…a99abacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008711.5%10 W · 77 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick13cpaid+12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f5c…d8debacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006311.1%7 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick11cpaid-36.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x092c…5bb2backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001020%2 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-48%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes11c909$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9935110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb143…f649backed Yes11c900$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999242.4%39 W · 53 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bf7…e64cbacked Yes11c876.82$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.453710.8%4 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-76.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b77…b4e1backed Yes11c863.64$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957424.3%18 W · 56 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes11c863.64$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9553514.6%78 W · 457 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02a6…3463backed Yes11c862$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8211723.1%27 W · 90 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b1…e789backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017053.5%91 W · 79 L+14.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52c8…9b69backed Yes12c778$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6847321.6%102 W · 371 L-2.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4a2…b646backed Yes13c768.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022421.9%49 W · 175 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbfc…92ffbacked Yes11c756$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.162825%7 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+118.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes11c750$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.535229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes11c750$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.541429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0cb…ac14backed Yes13c730.77$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955022%11 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-42.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7997…5e4bbacked Yes14c690$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.622452.2%117 W · 107 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddbf…99c2backed Yes11c680$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.813045.4%59 W · 71 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc959…c37fbacked Yes12c649.35$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8036023.6%85 W · 275 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe00…e985backed Yes11c636.36$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7017950.3%90 W · 89 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ac5…e675backed Yes11c636.36$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705933.9%20 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6cf…4228backed Yes11c636.36$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7016448.2%79 W · 85 L+10.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x89f7…f073backed Yes11c572.73$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6313638.2%52 W · 84 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa053…130fbacked Yes11c545.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6031129.6%92 W · 219 L+0.7wins0.00per pick29cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45ff…6412backed Yes11c545.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6036530.7%112 W · 253 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes9c540.53$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6540515.3%62 W · 343 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes10c522.65$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1322226.6%59 W · 163 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ee8…432fbacked Yes11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5512538.4%48 W · 77 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7169…aaf5backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010526.7%28 W · 77 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fed…c228backed Yes10c499.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506529.2%19 W · 46 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes11c497.5$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7345627.9%127 W · 329 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e9f…164dbacked Yes13c484.62$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636637.9%25 W · 41 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes11c455$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0538817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a0…aee2backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012140.5%49 W · 72 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a64…3c0abacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504425%11 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018128.2%51 W · 130 L+0.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506134.4%21 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2d2…aab6backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504040%16 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ba…a64bbacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502630.8%8 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x831a…e8e6backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509036.7%33 W · 57 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x488e…ab99backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507417.6%13 W · 61 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d6f…4997backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023513.2%31 W · 204 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+52%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf51a…7e42backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505012%6 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa416…63f4backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012452.4%65 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0728…40f4backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016225.9%42 W · 120 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f99…e0d5backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.