TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Austria?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,897
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,257

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,897 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes5c11,063$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.528,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c18…926abacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103112.9%4 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-79.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes5c2,889$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.4329017.6%51 W · 239 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Yes7c2,766$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022441.5%93 W · 131 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes4c2,665$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.6135424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9183…0598backed Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009426.6%25 W · 69 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f1…b052backed Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015930.2%48 W · 111 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes5c1,800$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9026618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52c8…9b69backed Yes5c1,400$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.447321.6%102 W · 371 L-2.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes4c1,078$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1240515.3%62 W · 343 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf874…7c71backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504920.4%10 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd2…21ebbacked Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501035.8%6 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-66%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d3a…d724backed Yes5c800$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4021227.8%59 W · 153 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc959…c37fbacked Yes5c769$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9936023.6%85 W · 275 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes5c731.15$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5635514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889d…e705backed Yes7c659.56$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.085820.7%12 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Yes4c630$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.237350.1%187 W · 186 L+45.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+28%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4b4d…5f4abacked Yes5c580$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298121%17 W · 64 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22a7…1e87backed Yes5c430.6$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.53130%0 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x671e…2536backed Yes6c403.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510734.6%37 W · 70 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda47…c2e9backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010022%22 W · 78 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9c…2aeebacked Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205529.1%16 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bfc…5943backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205225%13 W · 39 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x868b…2106backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020626.2%54 W · 152 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfde8…1eb3backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203923.1%9 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-40.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bf8…fc8ebacked Yes5c396.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf88a…11debacked Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510829.6%32 W · 76 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfd…038bbacked Yes4c299.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1236423.6%86 W · 278 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ae…ed5dbacked Yes5c220$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115320.8%11 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-21%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64dc…d7efbacked Yes5c211.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12c1…ddd6backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1019932.2%64 W · 135 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2cc…3352backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+33.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa80e…9fd6backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022216.2%36 W · 186 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+59.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103417.6%6 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-57.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe217…76bdbacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108140.7%33 W · 48 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c05…a796backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick13cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.