TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Austria?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$182,106
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$171,072

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,106 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfecb…19babacked Yes12c38,412$4,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,609.48147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick25cpaid-86.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes12c36,313$4,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,248.338,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes12c6,689$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.6817416.1%28 W · 146 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-37.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9706…bc33backed Yes12c3,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40022626.5%60 W · 166 L+0.9wins0.00per pick26cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes11c3,191$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3516729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes11c3,048$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.8235514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes11c2,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.9952522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34e7…0558backed Yes11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7d9…3271backed Yes10c1,678$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.3111723.1%27 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+69.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Yes13c1,467$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.8144524.9%111 W · 334 L-1.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6496…09d0backed Yes13c1,353$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.896637.9%25 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d3a…d724backed Yes11c1,182$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13021227.8%59 W · 153 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes5c1,063$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5245528.4%129 W · 326 L-1.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf15f…4497backed Yes11c1,009$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11112754.3%69 W · 58 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes10c999.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013933.8%47 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e47…b3d0backed Yes11c954.55$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520819.7%41 W · 167 L+0.3wins0.00per pick20cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe10f…1a87backed Yes13c951.05$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120606.7%4 W · 56 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-75.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabef…1819backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008225.6%21 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9183…0598backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009426.6%25 W · 69 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…b4b5backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004835.4%17 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd88c…5235backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005935.6%21 W · 38 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b97…8d88backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2c6…3947backed Yes11c900$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9915722.9%36 W · 121 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-39.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6bf7…e64cbacked Yes11c876.82$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.453710.8%4 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-76.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b77…b4e1backed Yes11c863.64$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957424.3%18 W · 56 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92eb…642cbacked Yes14c857.14$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209322.6%21 W · 72 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42f1…f53fbacked Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004942.9%21 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a64…3c0abacked Yes11c826$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.864425%11 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes12c790.59$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.235612.6%45 W · 311 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes12c781.95$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5830214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a99…e614backed Yes13c780.36$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.458025%20 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2958…007dbacked Yes13c760.17$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.872015%3 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+223.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes12c750$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9041429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e48…e8e6backed Yes14c735.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007324.7%18 W · 55 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa6…bfd5backed Yes6c706.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401739.2%16 W · 157 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82a1…569cbacked Yes12c600$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7211245.5%51 W · 61 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd23f…7777backed Yes13c507.69$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes11c455$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0538817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ce…7166backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503040%12 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95ff…f2bebacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023929.7%71 W · 168 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae68…de08backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012416.1%20 W · 104 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdee9…9bccbacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011538.3%44 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1654…d6eabacked Yes12c449.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542619.2%5 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick13cpaid+81.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes11c445.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4933915.9%54 W · 285 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024616.3%40 W · 206 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ac5…e675backed Yes11c372.73$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415933.9%20 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ee8…432fbacked Yes13c372.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012538.4%48 W · 77 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc959…c37fbacked Yes11c363.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4036023.6%85 W · 275 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa148…f851backed Yes11c363.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015541.9%65 W · 90 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0faf…fd5ebacked Yes14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506229%18 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0aa…fd22backed Yes14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010623.6%25 W · 81 L+0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ff1…4e4dbacked Yes14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504926.5%13 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfd…038bbacked Yes10c350$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.536423.6%86 W · 278 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Yes12c340$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.825528.6%73 W · 182 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x45d5…17fcbacked Yes12c333.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409730.9%30 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5797…8636backed Yes12c333.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011232.1%36 W · 76 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c16…04f7backed Yes14c333$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6215621.8%34 W · 122 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72ef…cd31backed Yes12c321$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5220511.7%24 W · 181 L-0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid+20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc6b…8115backed Yes12c320$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3822914%32 W · 197 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Yes15c319.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4840912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes11c310.61$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3530011.3%34 W · 266 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf76a…71e6backed Yes11c309.09$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3419520%39 W · 156 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd099…6ad3backed Yes12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367030%21 W · 49 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+45.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9227…7348backed Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+41.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5fe…1471backed Yes11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3314818.9%28 W · 120 L-0.4wins0.00per pick19cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…6bf6backed Yes12c299.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec41…1134backed Yes13c299.08$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.883138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Yes11c281.82$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3163229.3%185 W · 447 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf275…01cbbacked Yes14c277.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.81456.7%3 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa053…130fbacked Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3031129.6%92 W · 219 L+0.7wins0.00per pick29cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ef7…e891backed Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305510.9%6 W · 49 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcd…9293backed Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013531.9%43 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018632.8%61 W · 125 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4cc…6135backed Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016428.7%47 W · 117 L+9.9wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x78a2…9d46backed Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304216.7%7 W · 35 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-48%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xeaef…cd2abacked Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x095e…5062backed Yes11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258833%29 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530215.2%46 W · 256 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a7…1e87backed Yes14c227.1$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.83130%0 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb9a…c7aabacked Yes12c213.56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.533020%6 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb27e…4b74backed Yes13c207.69$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272429.2%7 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf81a…719abacked Yes12c201$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1213623.5%32 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34b2…735ebacked Yes11c189.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.98845.5%40 W · 48 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes12c188.65$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0522226.6%59 W · 163 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e3e…4781backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206550.8%33 W · 32 L+10.1wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+42.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf9fd…b710backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2033040%132 W · 198 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02d3…5554backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034524.1%83 W · 262 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0c…5034backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011634.5%40 W · 76 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec12…fd9dbacked Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015519.4%30 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ba1…6d1dbacked Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204136.6%15 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0a5…0f5abacked Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209436.2%34 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd879…2f44backed Yes13c180$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.420224.3%49 W · 153 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…3769backed Yes14c179.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259041.1%37 W · 53 L+6.9wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes12c167.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1645627.9%127 W · 329 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ae…34d8backed Yes14c167.22$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb553…457bbacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014216.2%23 W · 119 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2766…bd13backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201625%4 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbeb3…4fbcbacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207332.9%24 W · 49 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.