TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$435,370

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $435,370 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 274 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed No38c92,719$34,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,763.461741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No36c62,410$22,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,635.939159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes65c42,585$27,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,809.781,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes64c38,811$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0004139%16 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes63c20,920$13,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,228.7671140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No37c14,939$5,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,411.622466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes62c12,520$7,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,762.5837638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes65c10,416$6,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,743.054841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Yes63c9,000$5,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,669.992853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No35c8,034$2,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,221.8521144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes63c7,303$4,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,580.7915455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes64c7,000$4,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,48012839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes62c6,881$4,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,285.3287344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No36c6,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,839.985156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes63c5,362$3,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,378.0621143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Yes64c5,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.71637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes63c4,274$2,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,671.4352550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes63c3,200$2,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,01131049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No35c3,000$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9506553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No43c2,926$1,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,667.9815048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No36c2,564$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.129949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03a1…8f46backed Yes62c2,258$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes73c2,174$1,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,577.3762648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes63c2,025$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.7517043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2401010%1 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick28cpaid-82.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2607549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed No36c1,840$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.916141%25 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No10c1,800$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,620.13910.3%4 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No36c1,540$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.9538056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes63c1,442$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.34746.8%22 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes64c1,404$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.5527748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No54c1,202$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.8635650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c08…95dbbacked No37c1,200$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Yes44c1,026$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes64c1,016$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6506349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Yes51c1,015$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.91060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6205745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b8…3c6abacked No37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.12100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+127.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed No57c972.21$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.051266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No36c955.67$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.6312957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes51c829.65$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.12757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Yes62c813$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.062548%12 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1267…d0afbacked Yes65c800$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Yes64c780$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.064755.3%26 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes65c749.73$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.5833148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes64c739.06$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47323250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes63c700$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44110545.7%48 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bff…8168backed Yes65c700$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbce6…8098backed Yes64c700$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.852737%10 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No24c526.7$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.8848649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8b7…e1b2backed No14c500$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4301233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes64c478$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.924151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed Yes61c428.58$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-59%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes64c415.88$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.8320150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8980…1a49backed No37c394.61$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b1a…30d8backed Yes51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcca9…af95backed Yes5c386.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed No37c357.02$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.023256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+34.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9c29…fc39backed No37c351.28$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes48c339.01$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.092626.9%7 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Yes64c327.95$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.89944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d96…8a6bbacked Yes62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick57cpaid-71.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No36c300.02$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.0114045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes64c300$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37ef…56f2backed Yes65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1952867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked No37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.154751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19210838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes64c290$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.62944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes65c274.49$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.4227049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes66c257.19$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.7817251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked No39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4112039.2%47 W · 73 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes63c253.97$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1609846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Yes55c248$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.091241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf96d…0b59backed Yes44c237.68$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes13c236.05$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.045322.6%12 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-58%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed No37c236$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.68771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+47.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ea9…484fbacked Yes63c234.76$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.9425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f40…af55backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+78.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes53c217$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.443644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes52c216.92$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.887138%27 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes62c210$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.835747.4%27 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c9f…b8cebacked No37c202$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.351533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc527…773dbacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x835a…530abacked Yes48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed No47c199.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.991258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea64…dcebbacked Yes63c198.41$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006530.8%20 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Yes64c195.55$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d6…d0c0backed Yes64c184.76$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No35c180$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11711250.9%57 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec48…83a2backed Yes64c179.63$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked No36c172$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.081060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+48.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed No38c170.74$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.376368.3%43 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x71b1…29abbacked No37c169.52$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+37.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b1c…8895backed No37c167.42$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.622100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+120.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No23c161.98$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.9245233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc490…6507backed Yes63c160$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.81741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.