Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 2 Sweden?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3af7f1207ba58e051e4690d660586ec48dfd5d7db766323806307f6038e7efaa

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $213,022
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $212,230

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,022 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x94d7…bef5backed Yes	5c	71,387$3,415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,414.98	263	20.5%54 W · 209 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	6c	25,608$1,488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,488.3	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes	4c	7,400$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.8	388	17.5%68 W · 320 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes	5c	4,286$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	266	18%48 W · 218 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes	5c	3,931$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	672	9.2%62 W · 610 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x662b…73a8backed Yes	8c	2,601$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.27	272	36%98 W · 174 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ad…7e0dbacked Yes	4c	2,381$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f87…f334backed Yes	5c	2,201$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.37	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f61…8687backed Yes	5c	2,041$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	135	11.1%15 W · 120 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51cf…106cbacked Yes	5c	2,041$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	153	21.6%33 W · 120 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes	5c	2,020$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.98	351	10.8%38 W · 313 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes	6c	2,009$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.55	124	32.3%40 W · 84 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Yes	5c	2,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.04	228	13.2%30 W · 198 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Yes	5c	1,980$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.02	635	44.4%282 W · 353 L	-18.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb03c…eec4backed Yes	5c	1,834$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.18	80	17.5%14 W · 66 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-15%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes	4c	1,602$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.5	427	10.3%44 W · 383 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e5…1bc7backed Yes	4c	1,190$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86c8…1fc7backed Yes	5c	1,064$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	105	36.2%38 W · 67 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfae3…c20ebacked Yes	3c	1,062$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.35	113	7.1%8 W · 105 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+90.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1318…69afbacked Yes	5c	1,020$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	180	28.3%51 W · 129 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe560…74a2backed Yes	5c	1,020$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-2.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcba9…f812backed Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	79	13.9%11 W · 68 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x338b…bf88backed Yes	5c	1,000$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.8	193	32.6%63 W · 130 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Yes	4c	999.99$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	463	19.9%92 W · 371 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes	5c	932.56$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	315	20.3%64 W · 251 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e47…b3d0backed Yes	5c	922.71$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	208	19.7%41 W · 167 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0788…c287backed Yes	5c	780$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.65	184	17.4%32 W · 152 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaff7…f598backed Yes	5c	761.29$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	100	5%5 W · 95 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebf6…eca4backed Yes	5c	724.83$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	66	19.7%13 W · 53 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Yes	5c	670.2$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	445	24.9%111 W · 334 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes	5c	612.24$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	479	35.1%168 W · 311 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf555…3608backed Yes	5c	604.08$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.6	169	47.3%80 W · 89 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Yes	5c	531.91$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	494	26.7%132 W · 362 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes	5c	510.2$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	303	21.5%65 W · 238 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f82…efe0backed Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	+3.3wins	+0.11per pick	33cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x87f0…0303backed Yes	6c	482.63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	79	27.8%22 W · 57 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72ef…f569backed Yes	4c	444.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	90	12.2%11 W · 79 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc876…9903backed Yes	4c	444.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	124	30.6%38 W · 86 L	-10.3wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8da1…a0d3backed Yes	4c	428.57$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	279	9.7%27 W · 252 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb241…902cbacked Yes	5c	408.16$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	72	23.6%17 W · 55 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0107…8c74backed Yes	5c	408.16$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	68	27.9%19 W · 49 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabb2…f51fbacked Yes	5c	408.16$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	+6.0wins	+0.13per pick	34cpaid	+37.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8e89…5ec5backed Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	169	35.5%60 W · 109 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c6…1462backed Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	311	19.3%60 W · 251 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51f3…2e03backed Yes	5c	378.37$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.54	77	11.7%9 W · 68 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf219…76bbbacked Yes	5c	346.94$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	48	20.8%10 W · 38 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc475…17bfbacked Yes	5c	319.15$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb276…3b11backed Yes	5c	319.15$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bfb…cf44backed Yes	5c	312.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	187	23.5%44 W · 143 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes	4c	312.36$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.74	1,063	31.7%337 W · 726 L	-33.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4740…fa66backed Yes	5c	309.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.46	203	25.6%52 W · 151 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd671…634cbacked Yes	5c	306.12$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	25	0%0 W · 25 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes	5c	306.12$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	300	11.3%34 W · 266 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12c1…ddd6backed Yes	5c	304.08$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	199	32.2%64 W · 135 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72e0…08eebacked Yes	5c	301.84$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.79	262	43.1%113 W · 149 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes	5c	299.54$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.68	335	10.1%34 W · 301 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf648…8d02backed Yes	5c	288.57$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.14	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	6c	279.6$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.89	535	14.6%78 W · 457 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17ad…eb9cbacked Yes	7c	270.27$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	67	25.4%17 W · 50 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89f2…0da9backed Yes	5c	250$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	54	38.9%21 W · 33 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbf…2e5ebacked Yes	4c	243.9$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d66…e2e5backed Yes	4c	238.1$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1439…eacbbacked Yes	4c	238.1$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ca…7e4bbacked Yes	4c	238.1$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	110	34.5%38 W · 72 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Yes	5c	224.49$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	92	37%34 W · 58 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34d5…131ebacked Yes	5c	210$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.29	75	6.7%5 W · 70 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b0b…6644backed Yes	6c	207.17$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0060…5dd4backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	173	12.7%22 W · 151 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a45…4ff7backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	54	35.2%19 W · 35 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7393…751abacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	200	3%6 W · 194 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a33…0ddbbacked Yes	6c	190$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.45	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69b5…7b80backed Yes	6c	183.33$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	11cpaid	+32.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa329…4e0abacked Yes	6c	157.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…165cbacked Yes	6c	156.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	41	22%9 W · 32 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23bc…e684backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-2.7wins	-0.13per pick	27cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 2 Sweden?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 2 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 3 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 3 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 3 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 0 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 3 Sweden?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 2 Sweden?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event