TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Sweden?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$255,043
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$259,257

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,043 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe9a6…627bbacked Yes12c83,333$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00011645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes12c49,833$5,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,996.248,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17d6…f1e2backed Yes12c16,671$1,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,980.864930.6%15 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes12c10,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20017416.1%28 W · 146 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-37.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes12c6,947$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.6935514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x899e…e8b7backed Yes12c4,167$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-82.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e18…1c85backed Yes12c3,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42070%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes11c3,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33040515.3%62 W · 343 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015616%25 W · 131 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22038817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes12c1,763$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.66729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes12c1,660$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.226216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa04a…fa0dbacked Yes12c1,583$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1907732.5%25 W · 52 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1134…572abacked Yes10c1,542$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010416.3%17 W · 87 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf381…40c2backed Yes12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018027.8%50 W · 130 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1982…5ed8backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005228.8%15 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ee8…432fbacked Yes12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012538.4%48 W · 77 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82a1…569cbacked Yes12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011245.5%51 W · 61 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b4d…81a7backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003318.2%6 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c78…57e2backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd88c…5235backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005935.6%21 W · 38 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c2…198cbacked Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100567.1%4 W · 52 L-6.1wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-74.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xef33…6be3backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009232.6%30 W · 62 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes7c646.08$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.11,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18de…c02fbacked Yes12c616.67$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747116.9%12 W · 59 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-41.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5af6…842ebacked Yes8c456.43$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.515525.5%14 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Yes12c438.1$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5740240%161 W · 241 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a8b…11d7backed Yes12c425$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5117518.3%32 W · 143 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e5…67e2backed Yes12c425$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513411.8%4 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd742…79e4backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010234.3%35 W · 67 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc2d…7108backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014137.6%53 W · 88 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d93…4f26backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502544%11 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x019a…264dbacked Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012035%42 W · 78 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97cb…bec8backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503321.2%7 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54c8…b2a1backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5080%0 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9918…2255backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015531%48 W · 107 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20e5…c62cbacked Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020630.1%62 W · 144 L+0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea96…693abacked Yes12c402$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2414940.3%60 W · 89 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ca…02d5backed Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506630.3%20 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505550.9%28 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x505f…8814backed Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508341%34 W · 49 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43a8…63efbacked Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509817.3%17 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick17cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Yes12c334$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0815424.7%38 W · 116 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad37…dbd6backed Yes12c319.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick17cpaid-81.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes13c300.11$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0110815.7%17 W · 91 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x868b…2106backed Yes12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3620626.2%54 W · 152 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes8c299.34$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.951,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bfb…cf44backed Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018723.5%44 W · 143 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc959…c37fbacked Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3036023.6%85 W · 275 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018632.8%61 W · 125 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4de9…41debacked Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304415.9%7 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72fb…e19abacked Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308731%27 W · 60 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bfc…f71dbacked Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016827.4%46 W · 122 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes12c242.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2936634.4%126 W · 240 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x15fc…e2b0backed Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3045932.5%149 W · 310 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc93a…ecbbbacked Yes12c210$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.22128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-45.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6d5…4b0abacked Yes12c208$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.968432.1%27 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9200…eaaabacked Yes12c201.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.233839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfd…038bbacked Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2236423.6%86 W · 278 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c80…6ff1backed Yes12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2428439.1%111 W · 173 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15c8…23fdbacked Yes12c196.01$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.523030%9 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+38.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7263…d771backed Yes12c191.67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2315638.5%60 W · 96 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc4e…7e1dbacked Yes8c187.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-67.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6189…8f69backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206738.8%26 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb221…a639backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012520%25 W · 100 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ad7…d95dbacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8826…4773backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014941.6%62 W · 87 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9648…846dbacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207529.3%22 W · 53 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d58…3728backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d7c…1dabbacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202913.8%4 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-55.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e48…e8e6backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207324.7%18 W · 55 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51f4…238abacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017820.8%37 W · 141 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac42…6aafbacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4f5…9ed6backed Yes12c164.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.728354.2%45 W · 38 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xab4c…37f5backed Yes12c160.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.291723.5%4 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick16cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72ef…f569backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209012.2%11 W · 79 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34b2…735ebacked Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208845.5%40 W · 48 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1feb…92b7backed Yes12c150$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181225%3 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42a2…dcaabacked Yes12c150$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1812152.9%64 W · 57 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1575630.4%230 W · 526 L-1.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x323a…876fbacked Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512035%42 W · 78 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb88e…cb19backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011658.6%68 W · 48 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x075b…835cbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5fe…1471backed Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514818.9%28 W · 120 L-0.4wins0.00per pick19cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdd0…9466backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109540%38 W · 57 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1563229.3%185 W · 447 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d8f…2c27backed Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-54.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08d4…f492backed Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151650%8 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7450…bd47backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9f4…84d3backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca4d…5b1dbacked Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158116%13 W · 68 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe182…9f09backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101802.8%5 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e97…1815backed Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152313%3 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-47.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0e4…fe5bbacked Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155927.1%16 W · 43 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4745…99eabacked Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153625%9 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a61…e6d8backed Yes13c121.46$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7910548.6%51 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yes12c120.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4392732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f1f…00a7backed Yes13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159125.3%23 W · 68 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf95b…af91backed Yes13c111.31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.47395.1%2 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick15cpaid-71.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.