Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e9f90013e95857677e3b6d313a99eb6e282df6fbb68876a54e8c7c8a95cd88f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $162,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $178,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 56c | 14,181$7,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,968.41 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 12c | 12,237$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,727.43 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e9…f1bcbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 9,998$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,833.76 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa4…9fb6backed Yes | 12c | 8,555$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,528.38 | 59 | 5.1%3 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 13c | 8,100$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,041 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 12c | 5,034$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,429.78 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 12c | 4,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520 | 215 | 42.8%92 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked Yes | 41c | 3,968$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,341.5 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…c5cebacked Yes | 50c | 3,643$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.85 | 224 | 37.1%83 W · 141 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 12c | 3,143$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,765.51 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09dd…7e13backed Yes | 12c | 2,020$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.59 | 379 | 44.1%167 W · 212 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 28c | 2,009$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.46 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Yes | 11c | 2,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 72c | 1,691$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.54 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…cc3abacked Yes | 60c | 1,383$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.69 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…4a4abacked No | 4c | 1,285$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.42 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 11cpaid | +154.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc220…5012backed Yes | 12c | 1,125$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 296 | 36.1%107 W · 189 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 74c | 1,075$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.93 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,050$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.5 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e3…43f7backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 232 | 30.2%70 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 41c | 987.38$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.53 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8e…c2bbbacked Yes | 53c | 938.21$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.21 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 13c | 917$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.79 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 38c | 886.66$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.2 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5415…f764backed Yes | 29c | 862.07$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.07 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 56c | 846.06$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.4 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…66adbacked Yes | 64c | 754.89$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.76 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 52c | 668.62$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.77 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…77f3backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Yes | 11c | 653.65$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.56 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 31c | 589.01$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.28 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4f…7852backed Yes | 49c | 585.71$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.71 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 36c | 570$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.8 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…4997backed Yes | 12c | 545.08$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.67 | 235 | 13.2%31 W · 204 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 11c | 539.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.59 | 456 | 27.9%127 W · 329 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 69c | 523.33$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.53 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 65c | 517.94$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.74 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb368…202bbacked Yes | 50c | 510.25$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.1 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe785…1ccdbacked Yes | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 154 | 20.8%32 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d41…e3ddbacked Yes | 49c | 469.9$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.65 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 48c | 415.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.63 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 25c | 386.91$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.23 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…64a1backed Yes | 13c | 368$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.82 | 177 | 32.2%57 W · 120 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f02…e581backed Yes | 63c | 363.03$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.32 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b04…b1bfbacked Yes | 28c | 355.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.62 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…111ebacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x414c…80c7backed Yes | 10c | 318.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.51 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…2e70backed Yes | 63c | 315.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.15 | 198 | 17.2%34 W · 164 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes | 38c | 300$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 270 | 34.4%93 W · 177 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…35bfbacked Yes | 43c | 300$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 228 | 25.4%58 W · 170 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf269…b117backed Yes | 43c | 280.04$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.04 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…18cdbacked Yes | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…695bbacked No | 79c | 252.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 320 | 46.6%149 W · 171 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed No | 62c | 250$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 6c | 249.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.77 | 223 | 37.2%83 W · 140 L | +20.1wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…f72ebacked Yes | 13c | 223.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.08 | 250 | 18.4%46 W · 204 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 41c | 213.53$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.54 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2e…34cbbacked No | 46c | 204.08$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.89 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcab2…94b9backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cda…de81backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 67c | 203.82$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.78 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…a736backed Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c33…db62backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…943ebacked Yes | 63c | 190$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6869…ececbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…6412backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 365 | 30.7%112 W · 253 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087a…bb87backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 139 | 30.9%43 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9251…e6b9backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 11c | 153.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.47 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…51afbacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7921…bbc3backed Yes | 59c | 137.21$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 12c | 133.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.33 | 373 | 23.1%86 W · 287 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3c…2bc2backed Yes | 64c | 125.54$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0788…c287backed Yes | 13c | 120$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 184 | 17.4%32 W · 152 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 13c | 116.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.89 | 200 | 14.5%29 W · 171 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…4781backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +10.1wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…c02fbacked Yes | 42c | 102.38$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 71 | 16.9%12 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…4e2fbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -44%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…4d4ebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf81…43e6backed Yes | 49c | 97.18$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x139f…bb2fbacked Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf7…b7e6backed Yes | 13c | 92.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.31 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.15per pick | 34cpaid | +32%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0da9backed Yes | 13c | 92.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.31 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ff…4f98backed Yes | 58c | 86.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1f…0d9dbacked No | 54c | 84.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…131ebacked Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…1fc7backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 60c | 75.13$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2180…f0a2backed Yes | 29c | 67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 45c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3930…eaa0backed Yes | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…3034backed Yes | 32c | 60.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 51c | 60.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…c34fbacked Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?this page
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 2 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 3 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 3 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 3 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 0 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 2 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 3 Sweden?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.