Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Sweden?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d086536019d062bac9293f79cad168c4434f4b97be2b9bca51f67209db6bdc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 6c | 28,704$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.77 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…e8b7backed Yes | 7c | 6,889$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.22 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc08…7b80backed Yes | 7c | 6,575$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 7c | 4,286$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 156 | 16%25 W · 131 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 5c | 3,178$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.81 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…972bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,916$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.98 | 218 | 7.3%16 W · 202 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 7c | 1,874$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.2 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…fe92backed Yes | 6c | 1,670$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f61…8687backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 11.1%15 W · 120 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4d…81a7backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c2…198cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…67e2backed Yes | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5c…d8debacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…2053backed Yes | 4c | 1,335$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf381…40c2backed Yes | 7c | 1,072$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 180 | 27.8%50 W · 130 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6b…8115backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 229 | 14%32 W · 197 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2618…aecfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd00a…8126backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…bfd5backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 9.2%16 W · 157 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…4665backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…b2a1backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…0078backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 19.8%23 W · 93 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc876…9903backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 30.6%38 W · 86 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 360 | 23.6%85 W · 275 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee6…d412backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4953…bd5ebacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 19.8%16 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…f598backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 5%5 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 5c | 419.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…0303backed Yes | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 79 | 27.8%22 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5daa…d619backed Yes | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 188 | 29.3%55 W · 133 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…43abbacked Yes | 6c | 309.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 191 | 18.8%36 W · 155 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…8568backed Yes | 6c | 303.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…bf88backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 193 | 32.6%63 W · 130 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb221…a639backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 20%25 W · 100 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…846dbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…975abacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00dd…5215backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 136 | 15.4%21 W · 115 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f4…6137backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Yes | 6c | 244.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 6c | 217.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f74…f047backed Yes | 6c | 216.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d93…4f26backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…5266backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…825cbacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…8232backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 255 | 10.6%27 W · 228 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c80…6ff1backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 284 | 39.1%111 W · 173 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x286a…7136backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa674…36a2backed Yes | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9200…eaaabacked Yes | 6c | 189.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…e792backed Yes | 6c | 183.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…95a9backed Yes | 6c | 183.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…9f09backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 180 | 2.8%5 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Sweden?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 2 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 3 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 3 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 3 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 0 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 2 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 3 Sweden?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.