TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 0 Sweden?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$153,972
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$149,467

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,972 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes11c27,249$2,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,883.368,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes10c11,406$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1176729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes16c6,436$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.582,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes17c4,383$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.144,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes17c3,272$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.531,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7655…2b5ebacked Yes16c3,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500387.9%3 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes17c3,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5106719.4%13 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+63.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes17c2,952$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.8778317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e8e…c2bbbacked Yes15c2,596$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9254…3af8backed Yes6c2,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017211%19 W · 153 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes14c2,009$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.3412432.3%40 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Yes7c1,932$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.0833843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d9…ffa1backed Yes18c1,697$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006643.9%29 W · 37 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x662b…73a8backed Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027236%98 W · 174 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7c0…f389backed Yes19c1,615$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.7950%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab4c…37f5backed Yes6c1,605$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.321723.5%4 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick16cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No80c1,587$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.532,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes1c1,181$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8198134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1ac…7a86backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc3a…bfbbbacked Yes13c999.94$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.991717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a36…2450backed Yes15c966.44$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.973729.7%11 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-43.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a67…e411backed Yes10c915$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd475…825dbacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004314%6 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbba9…2e70backed Yes6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019817.2%34 W · 164 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc096…9e8dbacked Yes6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011335.4%40 W · 73 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97cb…bec8backed Yes19c776.83$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503321.2%7 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52a7…70a0backed Yes26c766.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001020%2 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3ca…02d5backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006630.3%20 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde27…92c0backed Yes15c650$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.38944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-38.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15c8…23fdbacked Yes15c610$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.53030%9 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+38.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18de…c02fbacked Yes16c589.85$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.517116.9%12 W · 59 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-41.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c67…a0e0backed Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016537.6%62 W · 103 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e1…ed2abacked Yes6c533.33$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick28cpaid-28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes17c522$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7458530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3c…2bc2backed Yes14c521.36$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.991947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+42.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9513933.8%47 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fed…c228backed Yes13c499.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656529.2%19 W · 46 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa286…b3babacked Yes22c461.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005334%18 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8aaf…8ac0backed Yes10c444$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.45230.8%16 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked Yes15c437.39$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659540%38 W · 57 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8da1…a0d3backed Yes6c433.33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262799.7%27 W · 252 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes6c416.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x846b…9e4abacked Yes17c400$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-41.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6082…3323backed Yes17c382.35$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6517945.3%81 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc959…c37fbacked Yes14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036023.6%85 W · 275 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes14c335.71$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4733915.9%54 W · 285 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4765…ca11backed Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011612.9%15 W · 101 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038924.4%95 W · 294 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a9…5a84backed Yes18c333.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011828.8%34 W · 84 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Yes17c329$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9346230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe756…9bd0backed Yes6c317.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.041233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x536f…ca28backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x286a…7136backed Yes14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423821.1%8 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe71a…cdc1backed Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512828.9%37 W · 91 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-7.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4fdf…1c2ebacked Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…9e02backed Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-85.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes17c235.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406833.8%23 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb031…a324backed Yes17c228.08$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.64520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-70.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f89…2140backed Yes17c225$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.253716.2%6 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5daa…d619backed Yes10c220$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2218829.3%55 W · 133 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Yes16c209.42$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9344524.9%111 W · 334 L-1.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c71…a716backed Yes17c205.88$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357218.1%13 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3037320.9%78 W · 295 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b9…8e05backed Yes17c191.51$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.891915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x827a…a12bbacked Yes6c183.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118326.5%22 W · 61 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ae7…087fbacked Yes14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259023.3%21 W · 69 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x151a…7889backed Yes17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-59.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ce3…2317backed Yes17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308334.9%29 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yes11c174$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1492732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0b8…5278backed Yes15c169.33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264843.8%21 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf67…6842backed Yes9c166.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510628.3%30 W · 76 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7586…6490backed Yes14c155.36$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.751010%1 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick27cpaid-49.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc20…8ed3backed No80c151.25$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.259659.4%57 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc84e…2d9bbacked Yes10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153312.1%4 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x848b…648abacked Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08d4…f492backed Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201650%8 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe63e…4e5abacked Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b66…3b4abacked Yes10c128.4$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb197…9a01backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe182…9f09backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101802.8%5 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No78c118$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.322,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1b…9876backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2032733%108 W · 219 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x680c…799bbacked Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaff7…f598backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201005%5 W · 95 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-50.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5313…f0b8backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207432.4%24 W · 50 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5238…1786backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201225%3 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-48.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…9a30backed Yes14c108.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1528127.8%78 W · 203 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d95…54efbacked Yes17c107.42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.266124.6%15 W · 46 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-52.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x672b…4439backed Yes17c105.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182941.4%12 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x545f…bedebacked Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011430.7%35 W · 79 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa625…fac6backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7239043.6%170 W · 220 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…f50ebacked Yes17c102.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4440%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b8f…3b86backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid+40%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x946e…1225backed Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179315.1%14 W · 79 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514641.8%61 W · 85 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1530…79a8backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9af…40c4backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1623218.1%42 W · 190 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb1…9319backed Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18529.6%5 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-58.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x853c…08e5backed Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718f…1dc3backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516342.3%69 W · 94 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.