Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Sweden?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2becce8d03f01962a30c50b216068fc9095eaa46c4c73933962d652b1b16566d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $375,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $371,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $375,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 99,309$12,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,212.62 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 12c | 26,150$3,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,138 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Yes | 14c | 20,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.97 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Yes | 11c | 10,416$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.1 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 12c | 8,783$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…fe92backed Yes | 9c | 5,814$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.96 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 12c | 5,519$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.28 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Yes | 12c | 4,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…2b5ebacked Yes | 14c | 2,901$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ff…479fbacked Yes | 13c | 2,780$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.97 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,018$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.78 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 12c | 2,010$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.41 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ec…267dbacked Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 278 | 45.7%127 W · 151 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04a…fa0dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,949$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1134…572abacked Yes | 14c | 1,906$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe9…7aaabacked Yes | 12c | 1,835$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.22 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed Yes | 12c | 1,700$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf381…40c2backed Yes | 12c | 1,668$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.16 | 180 | 27.8%50 W · 130 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…73a8backed Yes | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 272 | 36%98 W · 174 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…3af8backed Yes | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 172 | 11%19 W · 153 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…bfd5backed Yes | 12c | 1,608$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 173 | 9.2%16 W · 157 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…7e0dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,461$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.28 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 12c | 1,445$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.14 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef2…c543backed Yes | 12c | 1,430$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.61 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…c02fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,267$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 71 | 16.9%12 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…bfd0backed Yes | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…5ed8backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…0303backed Yes | 12c | 1,167$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 79 | 27.8%22 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…5861backed Yes | 12c | 1,125$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…7386backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…bd50backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 117 | 32.5%38 W · 79 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6b…8115backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 229 | 14%32 W · 197 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…bfbbbacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 12c | 991.67$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 181 | 28.2%51 W · 130 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 12c | 933.96$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.2 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…f649backed Yes | 12c | 900$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes | 11c | 900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 255 | 37.6%96 W · 159 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…bf88backed Yes | 11c | 899.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 193 | 32.6%63 W · 130 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf81…43e6backed Yes | 12c | 841.83$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.02 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8a…112bbacked Yes | 12c | 840$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 81 | 17.3%14 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 12.6%16 W · 111 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d4…e175backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +11.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f61…8687backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 11.1%15 W · 120 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ed…0cfabacked Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 36.2%47 W · 83 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c78…57e2backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd753…6053backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 302 | 19.9%60 W · 242 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef33…6be3backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 32.6%30 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 12c | 830$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4c…37f5backed Yes | 12c | 804$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0728…40f4backed Yes | 12c | 800$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 162 | 25.9%42 W · 120 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51cf…106cbacked Yes | 12c | 761.92$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.43 | 153 | 21.6%33 W · 120 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4830…f86bbacked Yes | 14c | 750$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a2…feedbacked Yes | 9c | 746.95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.64 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes | 12c | 725$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 181 | 28.7%52 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…23abbacked Yes | 12c | 700$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 10c | 617.65$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd060…ce4fbacked Yes | 12c | 583.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 158 | 36.7%58 W · 100 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x806e…2e52backed Yes | 14c | 571.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cf…4228backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…5a84backed Yes | 12c | 495.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 118 | 28.8%34 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…41debacked Yes | 11c | 472.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…8ac0backed Yes | 14c | 469.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.66 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Yes | 12c | 458.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.07 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -43%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Yes | 12c | 450$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 4c | 425.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a0…aee2backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…33d5backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…5187backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 510 | 45.3%231 W · 279 L | +21.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf310…9f74backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15c2…345abacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe560…74a2backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc81…11cdbacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff8d…c814backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d58…3728backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…67e2backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…b2a1backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…90febacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…ef32backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3b…ab63backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…1857backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd201…005fbacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8b…11d7backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…a0d3backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 279 | 9.7%27 W · 252 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…dbf2backed Yes | 12c | 402$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 32cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…4ef3backed Yes | 12c | 401.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Yes | 12c | 398.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 389 | 48.8%190 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f4…6137backed Yes | 12c | 383.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…6b9abacked Yes | 14c | 378.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 101 | 32.7%33 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf248…c699backed Yes | 12c | 375$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 91 | 16.5%15 W · 76 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…bbcabacked Yes | 15c | 366.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Yes | 12c | 359$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 154 | 24.7%38 W · 116 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14dc…40c5backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Sweden?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 2 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 3 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 3 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 3 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 0 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 2 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 3 Sweden?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.