Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Sweden?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd31c50244057a7d7dad405e9075e1b68a42cc6a877387a34036f835f6564a3b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $236,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 77,845$6,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,405.12 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 10c | 6,545$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34a…78c7backed Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 137 | 21.2%29 W · 108 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…2b5ebacked Yes | 16c | 3,154$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,600$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Yes | 15c | 2,199$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.49 | 462 | 30.1%139 W · 323 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 15c | 2,009$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.35 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf381…40c2backed Yes | 8c | 1,875$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 180 | 27.8%50 W · 130 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 8c | 1,813$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.02 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27e0…b09bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,525$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…73a8backed Yes | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 272 | 36%98 W · 174 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ca…02d5backed Yes | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5a…a7b7backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -80%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…3af8backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 11%19 W · 153 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8a…112bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 17.3%14 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 13c | 1,112$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.93 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,001$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.52 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…08d7backed Yes | 8c | 963.13$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.05 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…f598backed Yes | 11c | 960.71$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 100 | 5%5 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…abe7backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 10.1%8 W · 71 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5589…c00bbacked Yes | 11c | 870.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…5861backed Yes | 15c | 834.79$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.22 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…0303backed Yes | 9c | 791.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 79 | 27.8%22 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa698…db5ebacked Yes | 8c | 761$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…2e70backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 198 | 17.2%34 W · 164 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd742…79e4backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…69afbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 28.3%51 W · 129 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6745…232abacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…5ed8backed Yes | 15c | 670$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4830…f86bbacked Yes | 15c | 626.4$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.96 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a0…aee2backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…33d5backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff8d…c814backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…90febacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…e406backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 18.3%20 W · 89 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3b…ab63backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…1857backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea96…693abacked Yes | 8c | 602.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab4c…37f5backed Yes | 8c | 602.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…bf88backed Yes | 7c | 600$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 193 | 32.6%63 W · 130 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Yes | 7c | 514.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 175 | 27.4%48 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Yes | 7c | 499.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 154 | 24.7%38 W · 116 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 8c | 488$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89d2…7a0cbacked Yes | 8c | 469.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…a0d3backed Yes | 7c | 457.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 279 | 9.7%27 W · 252 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…8ac0backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Yes | 8c | 450$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d67…1fa5backed Yes | 15c | 440$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…4997backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 235 | 13.2%31 W · 204 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 16c | 406.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f4…6137backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x286a…7136backed Yes | 13c | 399.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…e411backed Yes | 16c | 398$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Yes | 8c | 396.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 389 | 48.8%190 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…c02fbacked Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 16.9%12 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab2…94b9backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…d32cbacked Yes | 14c | 366$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 147 | 37.4%55 W · 92 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 389 | 24.4%95 W · 294 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29a…3122backed Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 166 | 37.3%62 W · 104 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde27…92c0backed Yes | 15c | 349.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4765…ca11backed Yes | 10c | 343.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 116 | 12.9%15 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…8232backed Yes | 15c | 342$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 255 | 10.6%27 W · 228 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd475…825dbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…17fcbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 30.9%30 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 7c | 323$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 512 | 28.9%148 W · 364 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…6412backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 365 | 30.7%112 W · 253 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f2…ed60backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df0…7939backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…f72ebacked Yes | 7c | 291.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 250 | 18.4%46 W · 204 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cf…1380backed Yes | 13c | 288.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…34c0backed Yes | 8c | 287.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 360 | 23.6%85 W · 275 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…1462backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 311 | 19.3%60 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496b…f9c6backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0c…bb86backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Yes | 13c | 284.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 348 | 44.3%154 W · 194 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…af91backed Yes | 18c | 276$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 5c | 272.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x151a…7889backed Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 7c | 260.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb241…902cbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 23.6%17 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…9e02backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3a…d724backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf759…faa7backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c71…a716backed Yes | 15c | 233.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 72 | 18.1%13 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9d…1b00backed Yes | 14c | 231.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9afe…7b07backed Yes | 8c | 225$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4953…bd5ebacked Yes | 16c | 218.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 81 | 19.8%16 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…cf44backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 187 | 23.5%44 W · 143 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f7…27b7backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 176 | 38.1%67 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a5…740ebacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb069…0e1cbacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb6…3c97backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…1d1ebacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5daa…d619backed Yes | 8c | 212.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 188 | 29.3%55 W · 133 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Sweden?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 2 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 3 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 3 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 3 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 0 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 2 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 3 Sweden?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.