Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Sweden?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfff25043ea48e6e1cd3e7866d9bf64af7fd7a357809dfe6be4fe797229dca7a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $214,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 5c | 52,808$2,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,726.23 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1b…41a4backed Yes | 7c | 15,406$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 7c | 12,534$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.38 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Yes | 7c | 6,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…66adbacked Yes | 7c | 4,286$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…69afbacked Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 180 | 28.3%51 W · 129 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac35…ad85backed Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked Yes | 7c | 2,793$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.52 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 7c | 2,750$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…9627backed Yes | 7c | 2,571$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf381…40c2backed Yes | 7c | 2,150$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 180 | 27.8%50 W · 130 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3748…d0b8backed Yes | 5c | 2,111$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 3c | 2,085$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.96 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…719bbacked Yes | 7c | 2,032$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.21 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 7c | 2,014$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,009$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.48 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…569cbacked Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…8232backed Yes | 3c | 1,994$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 255 | 10.6%27 W · 228 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 7c | 1,857$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa318…77cfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,666$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 110 | 9.1%10 W · 100 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e72…0306backed Yes | 7c | 1,492$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…c922backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f61…8687backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 11.1%15 W · 120 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…7e0dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 23.5%23 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51cf…106cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 21.6%33 W · 120 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc08a…92a4backed Yes | 7c | 1,370$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.87 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…584fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,300$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc876…9903backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 124 | 30.6%38 W · 86 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bda…ac9bbacked Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd475…825dbacked Yes | 4c | 994.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…2053backed Yes | 5c | 848$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…d815backed Yes | 4c | 805.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…1becbacked Yes | 7c | 790$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 5c | 774.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 510 | 45.3%231 W · 279 L | +21.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d8…6e1fbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 145 | 31.7%46 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c1…54f6backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 303 | 21.5%65 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…799cbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 254 | 37.4%95 W · 159 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af6…842ebacked Yes | 7c | 699.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf81…43e6backed Yes | 7c | 699$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 4c | 694.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…41debacked Yes | 6c | 691.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea96…693abacked Yes | 7c | 688.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 7c | 688$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…67e2backed Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c71…a716backed Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 18.1%13 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe512…5751backed Yes | 5c | 560.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Yes | 3c | 543.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 5c | 538.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Yes | 5c | 505.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 240 | 28.8%69 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6189…d6ebbacked Yes | 5c | 450$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 360 | 23.6%85 W · 275 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…f598backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 5%5 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…e2b0backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 459 | 32.5%149 W · 310 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…2106backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 206 | 26.2%54 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…f72ebacked Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 250 | 18.4%46 W · 204 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…bb21backed Yes | 5c | 392.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 308 | 18.5%57 W · 251 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 7c | 366$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…a0d3backed Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 279 | 9.7%27 W · 252 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecab…e8d4backed Yes | 6c | 350.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 7c | 349.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Yes | 7c | 314.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf310…9f74backed Yes | 5c | 294.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 5c | 291.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 5c | 288.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb221…a639backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 20%25 W · 100 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…f569backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 12.2%11 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…735ebacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e48…e8e6backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac9…92d3backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 226 | 22.1%50 W · 176 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…559cbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00dd…5215backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 136 | 15.4%21 W · 115 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f74…f047backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc2…b720backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e0…7c9abacked Yes | 4c | 250$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…9e02backed Yes | 7c | 249.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6592…2767backed Yes | 7c | 228.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 137 | 18.2%25 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7098…da1dbacked Yes | 6c | 214.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…2da7backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5daa…d619backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 188 | 29.3%55 W · 133 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f7…27b7backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 176 | 38.1%67 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935a…9146backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…17bfbacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e4…fe5bbacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea4…8b22backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf648…8d02backed Yes | 7c | 211.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…bb74backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c80…6ff1backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 284 | 39.1%111 W · 173 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9200…eaaabacked Yes | 7c | 191.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf7…b7e6backed Yes | 7c | 185.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.15per pick | 34cpaid | +32%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7263…d771backed Yes | 7c | 171.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 7c | 167.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab8…1920backed Yes | 7c | 153.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Sweden?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 2 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 3 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 3 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 3 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 0 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 2 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 3 Sweden?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.