TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9e72…0306

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3318.2%6 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+333.8%+$166.9
Théo Hernández: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.3
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: France 2 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spain vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$1,150
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.97
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$245.7
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$366.18
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$170.27
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 3 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+400%+$200
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3221.9%7 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+115.3%+$461.22
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+486.6%+$486.6
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$810
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
US forces enter Iran by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$905Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+476.5%+$4,312.79
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,007Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,007
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$200
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$44.36
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$37.44
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$51.49
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$533.55
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$194.37
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick20cpaid+212.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Judge" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$174.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon: De Minaur vs. Djokovic backed De Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.