TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,646,893
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,013,399

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,646,893 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 4,009 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07e7…a343backed Yes1c4,583,576$29,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,483.022615.4%4 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick10cpaid-75.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes20c1,498,059$297,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297,388.7328341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x075e…0798backed Yes1c1,454,835$16,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,167.5630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a69…f99abacked Yes1c1,222,913$11,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,734.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked No78c961,806$751,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209,947.21060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa47f…1ef8backed Yes20c771,327$155,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155,283.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe88b…4ee1backed Yes1c586,792$5,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,867.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa11…ffd0backed Yes1c586,734$5,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,867.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Yes1c574,922$4,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,749.2913929.5%41 W · 98 L+0.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff48…b0ecbacked Yes4c546,120$20,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,190.791421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-41.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec02…8a96backed Yes1c468,188$4,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,265.440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes3c435,269$11,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,453.381978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Yes1c404,165$4,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,582.630251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Yes15c390,450$59,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,847.3315044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78a1…c92bbacked Yes30c338,000$99,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,709.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed Yes1c336,340$2,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,354.387647.4%36 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe818…4bb3backed Yes15c335,441$50,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,123.921040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb361…c104backed Yes18c302,510$55,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,537.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98b1…d855backed Yes14c283,341$40,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,724.18922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes1c255,850$2,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,048.78827.3%24 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6ba…c0eebacked Yes10c241,748$23,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,893.81425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-66.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2b…525abacked Yes16c236,490$38,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,651.734528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb540…b343backed Yes18c218,272$39,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,411.38395.1%2 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick10cpaid-79.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Yes1c201,416$1,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,588.515020%10 W · 40 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-44.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed No75c201,200$150,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,493.1614052.1%73 W · 67 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5814…aeabbacked Yes1c196,046$2,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,076.0340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes18c174,040$31,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,355.686631.8%21 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x883e…31dfbacked Yes4c155,980$6,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,356.214910.2%5 W · 44 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce77…35d5backed Yes16c142,298$22,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,673.97333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+58.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1857…c0cebacked Yes1c139,795$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.2260%0 W · 26 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba5d…bc10backed Yes29c135,537$39,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,977333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes1c129,971$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.07427.1%3 W · 39 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-84.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d23…aa99backed Yes28c120,402$33,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,374.912147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc46a…4272backed Yes1c117,931$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8070…3decbacked Yes1c117,931$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2841…f64dbacked Yes1c117,875$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f00…901cbacked Yes1c117,875$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Yes3c115,546$4,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,002.15736.8%21 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f2…7862backed Yes1c110,674$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.71120%0 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeba4…0d55backed Yes4c110,245$4,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,637.7260%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Yes2c105,000$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,66027731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd95…0004backed Yes1c103,821$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Yes20c101,516$20,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,418.416435.9%23 W · 41 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5f4…bc4fbacked Yes16c101,417$15,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,719.611526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-62.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Yes20c100,670$19,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,778.299851%50 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes1c94,772$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.723350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45c7…1e62backed Yes1c91,667$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-71%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf020…a576backed Yes1c88,595$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.1715724.2%38 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd152…f201backed Yes1c85,813$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46af…cd69backed Yes17c79,353$13,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,683.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bba…9b86backed Yes1c79,071$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.91110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes8c78,253$6,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,636.526820.6%14 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid-30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes1c77,143$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.57326.3%2 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+124.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e74…71bbbacked Yes26c72,632$18,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,808.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1439…5051backed Yes1c71,499$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.49326.3%2 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+107.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e38…eb70backed Yes13c70,611$8,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,989.91205%1 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick22cpaid-85.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Yes18c65,184$11,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,827.1113133.6%44 W · 87 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yes17c64,557$10,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,995.1996447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c71…5176backed Yes13c62,837$8,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,250.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes30c62,550$18,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,580.331747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc701…f932backed Yes20c62,175$12,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,524.265250%26 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fe…41d1backed Yes17c59,750$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00050%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa19…fb67backed Yes2c58,590$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.741353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+418.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe218…182ebacked Yes10c58,101$5,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,83520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed No79c56,572$44,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,737.553764.9%24 W · 13 L+6.2wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+25.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x04a3…ca3abacked Yes1c55,165$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+38.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Yes3c55,037$1,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,616.3910058%58 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed3d…1052backed Yes1c54,520$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5423…9d4cbacked Yes1c54,407$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.3440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes7c53,192$3,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,515.06984.1%4 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-61.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad4d…1562backed Yes6c53,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,18010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda2f…f56bbacked Yes1c52,946$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ca7…2e81backed Yes1c52,892$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3959…2af9backed Yes1c52,886$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd723…eb6abacked Yes1c52,780$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1152…f181backed Yes1c52,744$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0585…369cbacked Yes1c52,704$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc91c…aadebacked Yes1c52,556$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea75…d7c3backed Yes1c52,480$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d4e…bfd1backed Yes1c52,459$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb8…e533backed Yes1c52,449$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf5…f05dbacked Yes1c52,311$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05a5…dde1backed Yes1c52,123$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab28…8bedbacked Yes1c52,092$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6036…db9fbacked Yes1c52,071$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b1a…ac8bbacked Yes1c52,063$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc66c…764abacked Yes1c52,049$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95e0…3de6backed Yes1c51,860$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1c8…503ebacked Yes1c51,674$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84a6…9de6backed Yes1c51,584$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfae…2f18backed Yes1c51,572$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20e2…d634backed Yes1c51,503$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89ae…f47ebacked Yes1c51,501$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ea…45c4backed Yes1c51,447$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe82…2930backed Yes1c51,436$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa254…81a9backed Yes1c51,391$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a0e…479ebacked Yes1c51,254$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes18c51,203$9,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,114.542,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x025e…27adbacked Yes1c51,194$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a11…f2afbacked Yes1c51,097$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.