NBA · resolved market
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc28a6a59080f7ed26620bfe111ce0bac356057cdd182a252f26632a0524aaa09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,061,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,926,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,061,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,073 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff48…b0ecbacked Yes | 9c | 668,487$63,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,202.16 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yes | 13c | 287,469$35,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,947.66 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 12c | 201,280$24,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,501.72 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 9c | 201,200$18,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,937.49 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Yes | 15c | 186,882$27,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,992.76 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 11c | 182,030$19,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,767.92 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x883e…31dfbacked Yes | 13c | 135,841$16,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,998.12 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc76c…2343backed Yes | 16c | 122,567$19,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,944.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Yes | 14c | 100,449$13,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,780.63 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39fe…41d1backed Yes | 13c | 100,448$13,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,114.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Yes | 4c | 97,800$3,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,641.82 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes | 11c | 90,394$9,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,787.17 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb540…b343backed Yes | 12c | 81,699$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.78 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 11c | 81,479$9,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,367.82 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 12c | 68,017$8,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,191.35 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x390d…350bbacked Yes | 3c | 60,022$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.52 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbb…78aabacked Yes | 14c | 58,000$8,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,004 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0c…8c50backed Yes | 14c | 58,000$8,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eff…9374backed Yes | 14c | 58,000$8,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,352 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89df…2971backed Yes | 14c | 58,000$8,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,352 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53b…0500backed Yes | 14c | 58,000$8,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,062 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd1…7b3fbacked Yes | 13c | 57,000$7,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,524 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e54…dea7backed Yes | 13c | 57,000$7,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,182 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec2b…4d62backed Yes | 13c | 57,000$7,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,182 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2597…502ebacked Yes | 11c | 56,000$6,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79eb…bac4backed Yes | 11c | 56,000$5,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,936 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb677…c760backed Yes | 11c | 56,000$5,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,936 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccb…eef3backed Yes | 12c | 56,000$6,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,720 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a28…0593backed Yes | 11c | 56,000$6,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…fc79backed Yes | 11c | 56,000$6,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,384 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…1c24backed Yes | 11c | 56,000$6,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,384 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a29…0edabacked Yes | 11c | 56,000$6,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,048 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a69…3352backed Yes | 11c | 56,000$6,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,384 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…5c15backed Yes | 11c | 55,500$5,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,827.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d22…5d15backed Yes | 10c | 55,500$5,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,772 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8312…c136backed Yes | 9c | 55,000$5,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Yes | 16c | 53,773$8,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,478 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc9…5f89backed Yes | 7c | 53,000$3,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,763 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6be…cdb9backed Yes | 7c | 53,000$3,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,604 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 8c | 47,930$4,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,057.56 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Yes | 9c | 43,665$3,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,797.76 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 11c | 36,308$4,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,030.33 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -77%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Yes | 10c | 34,715$3,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,624.36 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 11c | 33,969$3,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,785.19 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Yes | 9c | 24,503$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.71 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 5c | 22,429$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.89 | 164 | 36.6%60 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Yes | 16c | 22,046$3,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,575.68 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Yes | 3c | 21,325$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.26 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes | 4c | 20,209$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.77 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 12c | 19,782$2,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.12 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf0…6215backed Yes | 13c | 18,414$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.74 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Yes | 13c | 18,160$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.64 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Yes | 11c | 17,193$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.63 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d6…f3bdbacked Yes | 9c | 17,042$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 8c | 16,974$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.84 | 98 | 4.1%4 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Yes | 12c | 16,487$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.4 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Yes | 1c | 16,293$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.95 | 100 | 18%18 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e95…d070backed Yes | 13c | 15,766$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.78 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 6c | 15,101$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.21 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 11c | 15,018$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.86 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df0…48f0backed Yes | 12c | 14,611$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.28 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Yes | 11c | 14,096$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 11c | 13,612$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.59 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6037…7e95backed Yes | 15c | 13,395$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Yes | 12c | 12,942$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.62 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 9c | 12,767$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.97 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa120…ff9dbacked Yes | 8c | 12,650$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Yes | 11c | 12,279$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.79 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Yes | 11c | 12,230$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.32 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 12c | 12,000$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.67 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 9c | 11,787$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.95 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes | 10c | 11,764$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.16 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 9c | 11,697$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.22 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes | 12c | 11,571$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f7…00f9backed Yes | 12c | 10,694$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Yes | 11c | 10,599$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.51 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 10,317$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.04 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…821cbacked Yes | 10c | 10,281$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed Yes | 11c | 10,275$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.19 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…f71bbacked Yes | 13c | 10,047$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…13b6backed Yes | 9c | 10,000$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.7 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Yes | 10c | 9,586$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 13c | 9,531$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.06 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fca…7477backed Yes | 9c | 9,461$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.29 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…6e56backed Yes | 11c | 9,435$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Yes | 12c | 8,870$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.95 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 16c | 8,868$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.08 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…d02cbacked Yes | 13c | 8,825$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9389…711cbacked Yes | 12c | 8,736$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.56 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x776d…2088backed Yes | 12c | 8,146$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 12c | 8,075$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.36 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 11c | 8,000$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…c903backed Yes | 9c | 7,804$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ed…52d3backed Yes | 12c | 7,334$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 9c | 7,300$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.79 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…e311backed Yes | 14c | 7,107$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4395…5b90backed Yes | 12c | 7,055$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +174.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1686…e51fbacked Yes | 7c | 7,050$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 11c | 7,036$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.46 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Yes | 2c | 7,000$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?this page
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes won
- Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.