TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,529,406
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,143,886

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,529,406 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,500 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07e7…a343backed Yes0c7,221,434$26,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,084.972615.4%4 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick10cpaid-75.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f2…7862backed Yes1c3,337,419$24,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,829.52120%0 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb893…3399backed Yes0c2,941,948$5,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,883.9728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x616f…e996backed Yes0c1,567,530$3,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,135.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Yes1c1,294,398$7,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,061.475020%10 W · 40 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-44.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c1,191,306$3,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,770.051978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes0c979,997$4,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,790563.6%2 W · 54 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-94.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1857…c0cebacked Yes0c846,900$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.97260%0 W · 26 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes0c829,995$2,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,489.99214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-90.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2ba…74d8backed Yes1c413,933$3,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,885.33100%0 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb41a…3a25backed Yes0c400,616$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.34110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cdd…a653backed Yes1c399,765$2,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,798.351216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-51.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bba…9b86backed Yes1c381,506$2,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,007.53110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd152…f201backed Yes1c313,754$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x034a…f561backed Yes0c273,953$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f04…eafdbacked Yes1c270,275$1,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,891.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d5…186ebacked Yes1c260,735$1,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,825.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+37.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd12…4d19backed Yes1c260,611$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,824.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcff…3318backed Yes1c260,391$1,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,822.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1653…192fbacked Yes1c260,391$1,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,822.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16c3…726bbacked Yes0c250,245$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44fb…843cbacked Yes0c247,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c204,982$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.95462.2%1 W · 45 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick1cpaid-88.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes1c196,043$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.22427.1%3 W · 39 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-84.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a0b…f32bbacked Yes1c183,982$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.8720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb4a…33a8backed Yes1c183,982$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.8720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4520…3590backed Yes1c183,933$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.5330%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x854a…686bbacked Yes1c183,888$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.2120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc774…9751backed Yes1c183,888$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.21333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid-34.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes1c179,134$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.9535.7%3 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick5cpaid-56.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43ca…2f6fbacked Yes1c167,621$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.3520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x271e…cf56backed Yes0c151,495$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.99333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick13cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee38…597bbacked Yes0c151,135$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd064…33a2backed Yes0c150,040$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.08425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf81…913abacked Yes0c149,065$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick29cpaid+52.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5f…b66cbacked Yes0c145,230$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.46450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfa2…76a8backed Yes0c144,350$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick29cpaid+52.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c134,948$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.7911337.2%42 W · 71 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6da6…00dfbacked Yes0c130,440$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6805…6852backed Yes1c101,354$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.75560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde83…dbbbbacked Yes1c101,239$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.67540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd225…5320backed Yes1c101,214$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb929…b81abacked Yes1c101,214$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c6f…12aabacked Yes1c101,214$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64f6…e409backed Yes1c101,097$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.6820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c18…80d7backed Yes1c101,097$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.68540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec53…e599backed Yes1c101,051$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.361145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d3…4165backed Yes1c100,860$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.0230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe32…2e23backed Yes1c100,836$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.8530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc26…52ccbacked Yes1c100,811$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.68933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-34.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa09f…e133backed Yes0c99,301$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe85e…7058backed Yes0c96,260$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe593…659abacked Yes0c95,140$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48ac…fbbebacked Yes0c90,590$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85b7…dd2abacked Yes0c89,035$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3a2…0743backed Yes1c86,711$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.9820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x237f…c28abacked Yes1c86,634$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.4430%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa166…bf2fbacked Yes1c86,560$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.9220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc07b…0c57backed Yes1c86,560$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.9220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27e6…4736backed Yes1c86,560$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.9220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a38…4f47backed Yes1c86,153$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.0720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2625…64c1backed Yes1c85,178$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.2420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc66d…ec9abacked Yes1c85,043$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4865…ebd2backed Yes0c81,155$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x527f…d279backed Yes0c75,670$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.34540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8958…2fc9backed Yes1c75,226$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97f4…a1cabacked Yes0c74,410$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ff…fa88backed Yes0c74,390$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47fa…e51abacked Yes1c72,727$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-71.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd178…f0abbacked Yes0c72,385$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.7720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb993…606abacked Yes0c72,080$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d6d…bbf5backed Yes0c70,160$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.3220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x296f…22b6backed Yes0c69,240$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ef…c52ebacked Yes0c68,975$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec38…7d12backed Yes0c68,310$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.62540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc21a…c9fcbacked Yes0c68,070$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d92…8cf9backed Yes0c67,930$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a1a…5f5bbacked Yes0c67,495$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.99333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-58.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb465…de6dbacked Yes0c67,001$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-62.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b12…f7f9backed Yes0c65,160$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d84…8cefbacked Yes0c65,150$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ba…6d87backed Yes1c63,636$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9027…1b5ebacked Yes0c63,395$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+34.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe19…55c8backed Yes0c62,850$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32f9…88b4backed Yes0c62,490$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222e…d8eebacked Yes0c62,385$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3be4…3b4bbacked Yes0c62,055$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3675…6a99backed Yes0c61,280$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a79…bec4backed Yes0c60,750$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf9f…2537backed Yes0c60,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef30…dd93backed Yes0c59,510$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe07f…e6d8backed Yes0c59,260$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb0…cdc9backed Yes0c59,230$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2696…c069backed Yes0c59,000$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-42.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdc0…9064backed Yes0c58,950$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0425…e26dbacked Yes0c58,400$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe825…47cfbacked Yes0c58,305$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe64e…c883backed Yes0c58,190$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1949…bb7bbacked Yes0c58,080$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45c1…cb27backed Yes0c58,055$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.