TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,841,367
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,875,016

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,841,367 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 566 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes1c145,835$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.6912229.5%36 W · 86 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes2c140,345$2,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,993.38326.3%2 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+124.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Yes0c125,620$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.3413929.5%41 W · 98 L+0.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8393…f0aebacked Yes0c119,135$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.661926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick18cpaid-27.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c115,553$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.221978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes0c105,819$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.0523237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Yes1c80,835$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.1730251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes1c72,916$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.418827.3%24 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes2c71,693$1,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,618.288521.2%18 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid+33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x064d…a0e4backed Yes1c65,338$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.781216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-73.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c61,595$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.251550%0 W · 155 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes1c60,556$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.653525.7%9 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid+115.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x542c…f12bbacked Yes1c60,347$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.841513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-47.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x205b…dd3cbacked Yes3c60,001$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.986139.3%24 W · 37 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe7af…1fa6backed Yes2c55,070$1,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2317…c891backed Yes3c44,444$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.3211842.4%50 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadb1…4998backed Yes0c41,970$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x820d…ccd1backed Yes0c41,940$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd31d…5140backed Yes0c41,930$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b23…1f88backed Yes0c41,920$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6c7…5f25backed Yes0c41,900$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2db…5ae5backed Yes0c41,890$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3aa…1666backed Yes0c41,880$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cf2…3e69backed Yes0c41,870$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b12…b743backed Yes0c41,850$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89bf…fe33backed Yes0c41,830$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6424…812cbacked Yes0c41,810$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x145d…0b41backed Yes0c41,790$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfa6…a0a5backed Yes0c41,790$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab26…422dbacked Yes0c41,780$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x445b…417cbacked Yes0c41,760$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8094…c3cdbacked Yes0c41,650$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a8c…b47dbacked Yes0c41,640$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x805a…43a2backed Yes0c41,640$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01ef…d534backed Yes0c41,590$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7419…a96abacked Yes0c41,590$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f15…d749backed Yes0c41,560$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab4…a455backed Yes0c41,500$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ab…4b64backed Yes0c41,370$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x559c…d926backed Yes0c41,360$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dd3…db71backed Yes0c41,360$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf71…02d0backed Yes0c41,350$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b0b…7112backed Yes0c41,350$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb802…a0eabacked Yes0c41,340$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c43…1832backed Yes0c41,300$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ec7…da2dbacked Yes0c41,280$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e11…2ec7backed Yes0c41,260$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda5d…0475backed Yes0c41,240$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb4b…d14bbacked Yes0c41,240$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38a6…35c8backed Yes0c41,120$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19c8…a491backed Yes0c41,040$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ab…3cacbacked Yes0c40,980$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9912…13ccbacked Yes0c40,980$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb11b…3912backed Yes0c40,950$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf44…2244backed Yes0c40,930$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0e3…befcbacked Yes0c40,850$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5400…b8a7backed Yes0c40,840$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe987…ad63backed Yes0c40,840$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3292…273cbacked Yes0c40,830$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3847…f4e8backed Yes0c40,710$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x420b…c700backed Yes0c40,680$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x443b…2d00backed Yes0c40,650$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bad…21cbbacked Yes0c40,410$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7918…d9f9backed Yes0c40,390$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdac3…ab46backed Yes0c40,390$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56b2…060ebacked Yes0c40,380$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5288…fb55backed Yes0c40,290$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75fc…c03ebacked Yes0c40,290$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b04…6ebabacked Yes0c40,280$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bd8…0392backed Yes0c40,270$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c7…75bebacked Yes0c40,220$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe27…6f94backed Yes0c40,130$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes2c40,079$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.63185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-84.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaff6…694ebacked Yes0c40,050$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x513b…df4abacked Yes0c40,030$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd309…031cbacked Yes0c39,960$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9b28backed Yes0c39,960$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fb7…f7d0backed Yes0c39,926$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.26200%0 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7331…65e6backed Yes0c39,920$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd833…6205backed Yes0c39,900$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25dd…5c93backed Yes0c39,890$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9b7…a157backed Yes0c39,890$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x102e…6a99backed Yes0c39,860$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa358…ac82backed Yes0c39,830$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x531c…0339backed Yes0c39,790$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6725…56d1backed Yes0c39,740$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe259…54f0backed Yes0c39,700$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc85b…1295backed Yes0c39,650$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f3a…4e07backed Yes0c39,630$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab5b…490fbacked Yes0c39,620$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe982…35fdbacked Yes0c39,610$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcab2…5a70backed Yes0c39,570$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6426…9d56backed Yes0c39,560$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa746…68e9backed Yes0c39,540$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x395e…2886backed Yes0c39,400$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a3…c63ebacked Yes0c39,370$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40b2…2d02backed Yes0c39,280$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae87…817ebacked Yes0c39,260$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5775…8557backed Yes0c39,250$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ac…2952backed Yes0c39,220$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.