NBA · resolved market
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025 NBA Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf04411511f74ed05240b53c97bb578244f3058f8846997d47324f23021d7e0c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,569,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,685,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,569,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 384 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07e7…a343backed Yes | 0c | 1,342,475$2,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,684.38 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 1c | 765,348$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040.39 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 502,262$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.07 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…65e8backed Yes | 0c | 286,464$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.38 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x763b…f5cebacked Yes | 2c | 285,210$4,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,954.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 1c | 284,421$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,559.79 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Yes | 1c | 283,354$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.45 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f4…bc4fbacked Yes | 1c | 211,720$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.65 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…f3a5backed Yes | 1c | 209,342$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.53 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 1c | 125,391$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.48 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 1c | 112,317$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.36 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99ef…ed62backed Yes | 1c | 104,315$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…9ae9backed Yes | 1c | 103,568$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes | 1c | 103,246$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.76 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6219backed Yes | 0c | 99,999$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…9c9abacked Yes | 1c | 88,772$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 1c | 88,264$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.08 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbe…3f2cbacked Yes | 1c | 75,133$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…2198backed Yes | 1c | 74,197$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e49…5eebbacked Yes | 1c | 67,281$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…8f86backed Yes | 1c | 61,105$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.24 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 0c | 60,467$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.14 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Yes | 1c | 59,786$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.3 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed Yes | 1c | 59,261$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.03 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bba…9b86backed Yes | 1c | 59,000$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4252…88cdbacked Yes | 1c | 57,622$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c2…2cfbbacked Yes | 1c | 52,311$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…b02dbacked Yes | 1c | 49,999$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed Yes | 1c | 44,405$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.84 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 42,180$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.54 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Yes | 1c | 37,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2330…c0acbacked Yes | 1c | 36,111$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Yes | 1c | 34,836$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.34 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef6d…3d58backed Yes | 1c | 32,935$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e94…56a3backed Yes | 1c | 32,669$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 1c | 31,250$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.7 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af7…28a1backed Yes | 1c | 31,248$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.23 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ba…74d8backed Yes | 1c | 31,210$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.09 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1857…c0cebacked Yes | 0c | 29,949$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.67 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…dc27backed Yes | 1c | 28,871$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7764…dc84backed Yes | 1c | 27,445$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.12 | 57 | 7%4 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 1c | 26,833$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.62 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d85…8393backed Yes | 0c | 26,333$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -80%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84d…ecd0backed Yes | 1c | 26,111$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1d…7cfebacked Yes | 0c | 26,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb609…2710backed Yes | 0c | 26,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418a…3de4backed Yes | 1c | 25,454$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…c036backed Yes | 1c | 24,376$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.39 | 73 | 0%0 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fb…7400backed Yes | 0c | 24,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa238…8b8dbacked Yes | 0c | 22,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 21,607$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.73 | 213 | 0.5%1 W · 212 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91d…a524backed Yes | 1c | 20,980$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.84 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089f…5f77backed Yes | 1c | 20,927$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f07…727fbacked Yes | 1c | 20,886$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd865…f834backed Yes | 1c | 20,833$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2854…098fbacked Yes | 1c | 20,773$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee8…7004backed Yes | 1c | 20,739$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…8421backed Yes | 1c | 20,549$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…e959backed Yes | 1c | 20,541$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0871…96a2backed Yes | 1c | 20,483$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.81 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…1fc7backed Yes | 1c | 20,379$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0935…b9e4backed Yes | 1c | 20,342$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eef…936dbacked Yes | 1c | 20,246$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77d…407bbacked Yes | 1c | 19,930$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…e97cbacked Yes | 1c | 19,842$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf451…c1c6backed Yes | 1c | 19,730$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49a4…d8f7backed Yes | 1c | 19,721$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…3bd9backed Yes | 1c | 18,669$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Yes | 1c | 18,279$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.36 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ef…5a69backed Yes | 1c | 18,056$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf667…2459backed Yes | 1c | 17,919$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb641…60cfbacked Yes | 1c | 17,806$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…428dbacked Yes | 1c | 17,304$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaccc…4242backed Yes | 1c | 16,783$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2356…7aa0backed Yes | 1c | 15,899$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb351…11c8backed Yes | 1c | 15,846$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ea…a00dbacked Yes | 1c | 14,786$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb87d…4eb8backed Yes | 1c | 14,778$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x834c…a3cdbacked Yes | 1c | 14,693$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…31e2backed Yes | 1c | 14,227$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0008…df53backed Yes | 0c | 14,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf922…aec8backed Yes | 1c | 13,200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…b9d4backed Yes | 1c | 13,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 12,936$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 155 | 0%0 W · 155 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb64e…a19dbacked Yes | 1c | 12,612$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9c…7be7backed Yes | 1c | 12,360$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5f…2e9abacked Yes | 1c | 12,300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c8…8affbacked Yes | 1c | 12,297$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5f…e009backed Yes | 1c | 12,023$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd8…787cbacked Yes | 1c | 12,018$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.12 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab4c…35b7backed Yes | 1c | 12,010$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…4bbebacked Yes | 1c | 11,983$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…7bd0backed Yes | 1c | 11,969$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…82a6backed Yes | 1c | 11,949$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.36 | 71 | 19.7%14 W · 57 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb968…a1d7backed Yes | 1c | 11,947$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73ea…efc9backed Yes | 1c | 11,947$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7974…8e84backed Yes | 1c | 11,947$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cf…86c0backed Yes | 1c | 11,947$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…b3bcbacked Yes | 1c | 11,947$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025 NBA Finals?this page
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes won
- Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.