TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,077,508
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,038,095

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,077,508 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,560 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb41a…3a25backed Yes1c7,274,494$44,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,066.08110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07e7…a343backed Yes1c6,380,240$38,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,382.432615.4%4 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick10cpaid-75.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Yes0c929,757$3,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,769.0380146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Yes1c749,464$4,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,637.955020%10 W · 40 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-44.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes0c713,058$3,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,292.098827.3%24 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4f2…7862backed Yes1c599,996$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.98120%0 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x463e…664ebacked Yes1c599,917$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.5170%0 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c556,353$2,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,290.061978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Yes0c414,019$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,806.0830251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b65…c4b2backed Yes1c323,868$1,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,943.212133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-43.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd152…f201backed Yes1c314,898$2,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,523130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes0c254,175$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.93350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Yes0c253,468$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.4172241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x883e…31dfbacked Yes0c221,957$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.994910.2%5 W · 44 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c189,500$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469462.2%1 W · 45 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick1cpaid-88.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Yes0c187,394$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.0713929.5%41 W · 98 L+0.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1857…c0cebacked Yes0c148,615$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.24260%0 W · 26 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes1c136,549$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.55427.1%3 W · 39 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-84.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac04…a8ccbacked Yes1c133,619$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47a5…2e7cbacked Yes1c120,750$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c100,541$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.031550%0 W · 155 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c99,923$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.0211337.2%42 W · 71 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df1…bf04backed Yes0c99,508$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.0350%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bba…9b86backed Yes1c96,616$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.02110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8393…f0aebacked Yes0c86,000$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2581926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick18cpaid-27.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes1c84,555$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.77535.7%3 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick5cpaid-56.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Yes1c80,404$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006435.9%23 W · 41 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes0c80,400$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.86820.6%14 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid-30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59cb…e1cebacked Yes0c80,100$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.490%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bf0…6215backed Yes1c70,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420150%0 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1167…f35abacked Yes1c67,776$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x840e…26f8backed Yes1c67,015$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Yes0c66,999$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15925836.8%95 W · 163 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6367…e938backed Yes0c66,664$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.994734%16 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+44.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x67c1…e532backed Yes1c65,050$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadb7…4550backed Yes1c64,810$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d9f…3f0cbacked Yes1c64,598$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b77…0387backed Yes1c63,125$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e33…6699backed Yes1c62,090$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07b4…188dbacked Yes1c62,078$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.6220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cf6…90a7backed Yes1c61,659$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e76…6950backed Yes1c60,351$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0474…10eebacked Yes1c60,331$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac3b…3f7cbacked Yes1c60,277$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf31a…1676backed Yes1c60,148$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.89250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed Yes0c59,997$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.993330.3%10 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick21cpaid-12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x81fd…4c64backed Yes1c59,726$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02fd…9f73backed Yes1c59,584$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dee…c8fcbacked Yes1c59,546$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f40…3401backed Yes1c59,206$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe574…c8c1backed Yes1c59,202$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5109…7669backed Yes1c59,138$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc288…3480backed Yes0c58,817$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.711926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-48.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99b1…7bbebacked Yes1c58,671$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02fb…804abacked Yes1c58,620$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc2…1108backed Yes1c58,533$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb74f…78a7backed Yes1c58,333$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99c6…0d19backed Yes1c58,150$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72a4…218cbacked Yes1c57,927$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39aa…faf0backed Yes1c57,820$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfcc…b303backed Yes1c57,793$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47fe…6073backed Yes1c57,765$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8271…2c76backed Yes1c57,699$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71fa…1cbdbacked Yes1c57,574$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd849…f6ffbacked Yes1c57,519$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd41f…6643backed Yes1c57,355$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd91…eb0cbacked Yes1c57,334$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x712b…2277backed Yes1c57,333$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1da9…1f4bbacked Yes1c57,288$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd501…3ebabacked Yes1c57,271$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…39d1backed Yes1c57,248$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6783…b69bbacked Yes1c57,047$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x550f…5694backed Yes1c57,029$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8fb…2013backed Yes1c56,880$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+92.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe186…0ca7backed Yes1c56,843$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07b2…27d5backed Yes1c56,681$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b31…1924backed Yes1c56,579$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b9c…c5e3backed Yes1c56,566$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa539…2d93backed Yes1c56,489$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x387f…9757backed Yes1c56,437$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7e…8ffebacked Yes1c56,366$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x819e…cb77backed Yes1c56,333$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ef…cd6fbacked Yes1c56,330$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe94c…874dbacked Yes1c56,190$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ca…ca3abacked Yes1c56,184$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a78…ac7cbacked Yes1c56,165$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc46c…67dfbacked Yes1c56,083$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x967e…8ed3backed Yes1c56,079$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf1d…d4dfbacked Yes1c55,997$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f83…338fbacked Yes1c55,931$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf08c…7a2cbacked Yes1c55,835$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e7…420fbacked Yes1c55,780$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x916d…6d8bbacked Yes1c55,772$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2d…59c1backed Yes1c55,764$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dfc…6ec3backed Yes1c55,686$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf4d…1368backed Yes1c55,593$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3077…02b3backed Yes1c55,555$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.77100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9769…b519backed Yes1c55,400$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42e…5c98backed Yes1c55,388$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17b6…6b82backed Yes1c55,384$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.