NBA · resolved market

Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9abf9bd04f8853b341ceb26cf3d003ec1edb1483c4a856bc043dd4213b7235f

Rebuilt 50 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 15, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $12,404,981
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $8,345,905

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,404,981 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 754 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes	4c	308,507$13,526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,525.52	283	41.7%118 W · 165 L	+9.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x883e…31dfbacked Yes	3c	283,824$8,912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,911.57	49	10.2%5 W · 44 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff48…b0ecbacked Yes	5c	230,992$10,966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,966.36	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes	2c	213,457$3,776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,776.39	85	21.2%18 W · 67 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Yes	3c	206,808$5,259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,258.7	297	38.7%115 W · 182 L	-10.6wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ef0…20cbbacked Yes	2c	203,094$3,796 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,796.12	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeba4…0d55backed Yes	5c	173,888$8,658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,658.03	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0fc…9ad5backed Yes	6c	172,528$9,991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,991.19	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7320…28b4backed Yes	4c	153,520$6,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,037.61	126	57.1%72 W · 54 L	+11.4wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Yes	2c	152,512$2,502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,502.13	139	29.5%41 W · 98 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa526…8d8dbacked Yes	2c	152,438$3,808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,807.62	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes	3c	146,299$4,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,180.47	32	6.3%2 W · 30 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+124.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x126b…a516backed Yes	4c	138,034$4,987 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,986.61	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-2.7wins	-0.13per pick	41cpaid	-58%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe88…05cfbacked Yes	4c	125,363$4,478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,478.08	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dfb…dffabacked Yes	1c	121,222$1,406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,406.06	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	17cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x542c…f12bbacked Yes	4c	103,482$3,902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,901.72	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbed1…f3a5backed Yes	2c	94,347$1,597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,596.56	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes	2c	91,406$2,228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,228.19	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-84.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Yes	6c	89,565$5,277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,276.89	64	35.9%23 W · 41 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Yes	3c	84,060$2,352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,351.82	475	35.8%170 W · 305 L	+41.1wins	+0.09per pick	27cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Yes	2c	76,439$1,467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,466.68	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	4c	73,251$2,844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,844.01	98	4.1%4 W · 94 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb540…b343backed Yes	4c	73,055$3,109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,109.11	39	5.1%2 W · 37 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	10cpaid	-79.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8393…f0aebacked Yes	4c	72,766$3,251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,251.44	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	18cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1439…5051backed Yes	2c	65,408$1,307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,306.76	32	6.3%2 W · 30 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+107.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Yes	3c	63,956$1,875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,874.79	1,277	2.3%29 W · 1,248 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-84%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf981…01edbacked Yes	4c	62,173$2,602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,601.82	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes	1c	61,639$666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$666.38	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-77%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1872…ae0fbacked Yes	6c	60,372$3,662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,662.05	67	58.2%39 W · 28 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes	3c	60,294$2,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,007.76	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+115.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8aa…ae12backed Yes	3c	59,790$1,887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,887.17	78	29.5%23 W · 55 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d1…8f86backed Yes	2c	57,811$981 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980.68	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab68…1bb1backed Yes	2c	55,000$1,097 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,097	159	11.9%19 W · 140 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3aaa…7f26backed Yes	4c	54,772$2,409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,409.31	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88fb…7b86backed Yes	6c	53,000$3,339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,339	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa39a…26b5backed Yes	4c	52,000$2,288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,288	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2316…7693backed Yes	4c	52,000$2,236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,236	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c56…a9b1backed Yes	5c	52,000$2,548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,548	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3356…0d8fbacked Yes	5c	52,000$2,704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,704	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc889…3dd3backed Yes	4c	52,000$2,184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,184	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc9dc…6390backed Yes	4c	52,000$1,872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,872	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbcfb…2070backed Yes	4c	52,000$2,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,080	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0784…9436backed Yes	4c	52,000$2,236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,236	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a48…b418backed Yes	4c	52,000$1,976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,976	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98b0…5b9bbacked Yes	2c	51,000$1,122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,122	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5324…ba9bbacked Yes	2c	51,000$1,173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,173	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	3c	50,714$1,355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,355.22	61	13.1%8 W · 53 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed Yes	1c	50,028$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630.24	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	+2.9wins	+0.09per pick	21cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6367…e938backed Yes	3c	45,407$1,414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,413.62	47	34%16 W · 31 L	+5.7wins	+0.12per pick	22cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a25…b1d6backed Yes	5c	44,277$2,241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,241.43	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	67cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1fc…0ec1backed Yes	4c	40,874$1,536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,535.7	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4feb…dd3bbacked Yes	5c	40,303$1,996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,996.24	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Yes	2c	37,566$596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$596	245	54.7%134 W · 111 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Yes	5c	34,948$1,836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,836.04	57	36.8%21 W · 36 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes	2c	33,740$679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$679.43	1,409	40.2%567 W · 842 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2023…2d55backed Yes	3c	31,727$857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$857.12	38	7.9%3 W · 35 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-80.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x203b…acd1backed Yes	4c	30,076$1,124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,123.89	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.23per pick	33cpaid	+76.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d67…1fa5backed Yes	5c	28,869$1,501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500.56	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-36%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked Yes	1c	28,649$422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$421.59	93	38.7%36 W · 57 L	+10.0wins	+0.11per pick	28cpaid	+91.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b2a…25d5backed Yes	1c	28,570$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.94	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-70.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e44…dfd8backed Yes	6c	28,367$1,824 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,823.56	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	+5.4wins	+0.12per pick	40cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xca4b…0b9ebacked Yes	6c	27,189$1,547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,546.71	49	30.6%15 W · 34 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf0…6215backed Yes	4c	26,607$1,099 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,099.08	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5033…45bfbacked Yes	2c	26,603$612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$611.87	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f8c…4b7dbacked Yes	1c	26,223$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.9	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fad…e4eabacked Yes	3c	25,658$727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$726.83	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a1d…31d4backed Yes	1c	25,021$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e0c…0c56backed Yes	2c	23,918$547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$547	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd117…7de1backed Yes	6c	23,912$1,371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,370.52	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbf9…3beabacked Yes	3c	23,748$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$649.91	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa54…3fc9backed Yes	5c	23,558$1,071 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,071.42	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52eb…757abacked Yes	5c	23,051$1,064 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,064.42	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+178%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc280…de71backed Yes	2c	22,899$519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$518.59	36	11.1%4 W · 32 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-71.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd3…7b26backed Yes	5c	22,626$1,048 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,048.25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf69c…e43dbacked Yes	1c	22,561$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.29	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes	5c	21,806$986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$985.98	232	37.1%86 W · 146 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf5…6638backed Yes	3c	21,747$607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$607.33	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bbc…b525backed Yes	5c	20,911$957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$957.4	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…3eeabacked Yes	4c	20,533$843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$842.68	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b92…046ebacked Yes	6c	20,118$1,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,109.81	161	40.4%65 W · 96 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Yes	5c	20,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	84	34.5%29 W · 55 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ed…e60abacked Yes	2c	19,782$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.75	153	16.3%25 W · 128 L	-10.3wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Yes	5c	19,702$1,034 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,033.75	84	51.2%43 W · 41 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeba5…040bbacked Yes	6c	19,651$1,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,220	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+2.3wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6307…2b67backed Yes	2c	18,400$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.2	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed Yes	2c	18,362$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.9	220	39.1%86 W · 134 L	+14.0wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e34…90d9backed Yes	3c	18,103$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07e7…a343backed Yes	1c	17,090$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.08	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	10cpaid	-75.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf747…f842backed Yes	3c	16,966$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.6	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefa8…c82bbacked Yes	3c	16,064$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.8	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec24…58c0backed Yes	7c	15,615$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x67b0…6aecbacked Yes	1c	14,995$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.41	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.24per pick	9cpaid	+75.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes	3c	14,757$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.87	42	7.1%3 W · 39 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-84.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1dee…2ab7backed Yes	1c	14,734$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.93	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-48.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc43e…0141backed Yes	7c	14,690$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x930b…2479backed Yes	7c	14,596$997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$997.46	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef60…0e7cbacked Yes	6c	14,297$920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$920	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0986…4b34backed Yes	2c	13,783$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.07	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Yes	2c	13,772$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.99	63	39.7%25 W · 38 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2efb…80e1backed Yes	5c	13,442$642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$642	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?this page
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes won
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event