NBA · resolved market
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbba16a21398862877d2ba91d7221be625b4514066580c91c6acbc32b03fe7997
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,194,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,970,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,194,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,613 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07e7…a343backed Yes | 0c | 4,396,375$12,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,153.43 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…65e8backed Yes | 0c | 2,726,164$3,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,926.16 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8db…e9b2backed Yes | 0c | 2,428,685$4,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,857.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 1,230,006$4,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,012.4 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdd…a653backed Yes | 1c | 1,187,089$6,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,685.52 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed Yes | 1c | 1,001,143$7,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,008 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00da…7684backed Yes | 1c | 778,902$4,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,673.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…7e06backed Yes | 0c | 641,453$2,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565.79 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 0c | 571,367$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327.89 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1857…c0cebacked Yes | 0c | 492,055$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.1 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 0c | 441,997$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.3 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe30f…1a2dbacked Yes | 1c | 404,798$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…6ba3backed Yes | 1c | 404,798$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb07…b709backed Yes | 1c | 399,496$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c40…8074backed Yes | 1c | 398,882$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…882ebacked Yes | 1c | 392,758$2,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,341.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…d0ddbacked Yes | 1c | 389,502$2,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…5409backed Yes | 1c | 389,413$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5466…020bbacked Yes | 1c | 389,371$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…5b17backed Yes | 1c | 389,369$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3924…fafcbacked Yes | 1c | 389,369$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…a008backed Yes | 1c | 389,357$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd811…fad3backed Yes | 1c | 389,341$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a9…c8a1backed Yes | 1c | 389,292$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb4…f4cbbacked Yes | 1c | 389,292$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555e…5270backed Yes | 1c | 389,264$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83f7…d54abacked Yes | 1c | 389,264$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f1…4a67backed Yes | 1c | 389,264$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ade…7dd1backed Yes | 1c | 389,227$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…f93abacked Yes | 1c | 389,127$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa764…650abacked Yes | 1c | 389,127$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc53…7586backed Yes | 1c | 389,070$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f74…e9e0backed Yes | 1c | 389,029$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…faf8backed Yes | 1c | 389,029$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb60b…dc9bbacked Yes | 1c | 389,029$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aee…dbc2backed Yes | 1c | 389,007$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7574…45f3backed Yes | 1c | 388,983$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8c…f38cbacked Yes | 1c | 388,970$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3980…bef3backed Yes | 1c | 388,963$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4a…4879backed Yes | 1c | 388,945$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f6…d8aebacked Yes | 1c | 388,809$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…c289backed Yes | 1c | 388,797$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79e0…d001backed Yes | 1c | 388,773$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4d…e5ffbacked Yes | 1c | 388,773$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0220…5622backed Yes | 1c | 388,755$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d5…8145backed Yes | 1c | 378,237$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe12f…cd10backed Yes | 1c | 378,232$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d33…65ebbacked Yes | 1c | 378,232$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9321…10a4backed Yes | 1c | 373,315$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c3…78f2backed Yes | 1c | 373,233$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…1b28backed Yes | 1c | 373,209$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…4897backed Yes | 1c | 373,185$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x265d…e58abacked Yes | 1c | 373,185$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00a…599cbacked Yes | 1c | 373,135$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…dbfabacked Yes | 1c | 372,482$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe744…6839backed Yes | 1c | 372,300$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa739…4ef9backed Yes | 1c | 372,274$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…3cd8backed Yes | 1c | 372,193$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e12…b8fdbacked Yes | 1c | 372,193$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd6…30b2backed Yes | 1c | 372,144$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1999…003bbacked Yes | 1c | 372,057$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf8…b61ebacked Yes | 1c | 367,439$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30d…db68backed Yes | 1c | 367,411$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a6…eb74backed Yes | 1c | 366,920$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe58b…d052backed Yes | 1c | 366,914$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8d…ad74backed Yes | 1c | 366,869$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdd…65babacked Yes | 1c | 366,841$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…0daebacked Yes | 1c | 366,841$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…3ddebacked Yes | 1c | 366,785$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7108…629cbacked Yes | 1c | 366,685$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…ded9backed Yes | 1c | 366,685$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf89…27febacked Yes | 1c | 366,660$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9357…d5f0backed Yes | 1c | 366,660$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…93a0backed Yes | 1c | 366,660$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46be…d673backed Yes | 1c | 366,633$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…0c1abacked Yes | 1c | 366,465$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc39…1b5abacked Yes | 1c | 366,465$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…f39ebacked Yes | 1c | 366,443$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…2756backed Yes | 1c | 366,396$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…4d30backed Yes | 1c | 366,316$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…cdf1backed Yes | 1c | 366,292$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c0…0814backed Yes | 1c | 359,638$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.19 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd081…adc4backed Yes | 1c | 359,391$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.96 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd152…f201backed Yes | 1c | 336,366$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…664ebacked Yes | 0c | 300,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 0c | 299,950$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.8 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf147…6553backed Yes | 1c | 260,335$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 0c | 249,116$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.67 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…f1f7backed Yes | 0c | 217,768$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…1f56backed Yes | 0c | 215,768$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0975…e32abacked Yes | 0c | 213,000$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 211,331$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.99 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeede…4287backed Yes | 1c | 201,013$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 1c | 199,998$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes | 0c | 196,435$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.93 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a37…91aabacked Yes | 1c | 189,884$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…252fbacked Yes | 0c | 154,331$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ba…74d8backed Yes | 1c | 151,999$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.99 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8187…37acbacked Yes | 0c | 127,305$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3077…02b3backed Yes | 0c | 111,109$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.44 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?this page
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes won
- Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.