Middle East · resolved market
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9778aa7639001067d7ddfc3212a678c764352b3ade5a6130100468ecaa46abef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $979,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $996,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $979,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 915 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 76c | 39,013$29,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,202.69 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 77c | 36,958$28,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,631.72 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c17…83c8backed No | 66c | 34,723$23,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,644.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…9728backed No | 72c | 31,101$22,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,765.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 11c | 25,868$2,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,909.2 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff6…72aebacked Yes | 35c | 23,313$8,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,158.05 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312b…cafebacked No | 46c | 22,880$10,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,442.87 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed No | 37c | 18,408$6,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,579 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +110%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 49c | 15,960$7,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,214.55 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…1076backed Yes | 68c | 15,435$10,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,526.73 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 50c | 14,869$7,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,364.93 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked No | 63c | 14,362$9,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250.97 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 44c | 12,655$5,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,087.4 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 13c | 12,191$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,562.36 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…c8c8backed Yes | 36c | 10,900$3,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,896.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +140.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8597…daeebacked No | 76c | 9,451$7,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.18 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed No | 18c | 8,896$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,322.3 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 50c | 8,815$4,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,450.7 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 71c | 7,316$5,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.02 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 37c | 7,120$2,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,514.06 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 41c | 6,444$2,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,617.5 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…c364backed No | 39c | 6,181$2,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,796.49 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed No | 47c | 6,130$2,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,254.38 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 12c | 6,102$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,350.49 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…b491backed No | 44c | 5,620$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.57 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79eb…f471backed Yes | 15c | 5,464$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.86 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x506d…6654backed No | 66c | 5,456$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bc…026cbacked Yes | 73c | 5,419$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,959.53 | 99 | 30.3%30 W · 69 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 52c | 5,302$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,771.7 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 26c | 5,196$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,829.64 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…4c71backed No | 23c | 4,940$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,813.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +244.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 44c | 4,559$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.41 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 14c | 4,156$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,554.96 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc012…6180backed No | 43c | 4,125$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…6c5dbacked Yes | 18c | 4,112$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.66 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 35c | 3,959$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570.63 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 61c | 3,956$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.28 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 35c | 3,906$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,548.79 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 40c | 3,863$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.7 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…fd20backed Yes | 49c | 3,861$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c55…fbfbbacked No | 65c | 3,725$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed No | 14c | 3,709$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180.11 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +169.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked No | 37c | 3,381$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.81 | 177 | 55.4%98 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…26b1backed Yes | 65c | 3,380$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.12 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 55c | 3,373$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.09 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde6f…4a7bbacked No | 19c | 3,364$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,721.1 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcba0…97bfbacked Yes | 47c | 3,335$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.63 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…4597backed No | 18c | 3,333$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,733.06 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +18.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 62c | 3,270$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,036.65 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 43c | 3,031$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.53 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 13c | 3,010$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,604.13 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef8d…5ca3backed No | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +154.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22b6…34cabacked Yes | 68c | 2,989$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…0fe5backed Yes | 74c | 2,977$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.33 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad2…54bdbacked Yes | 69c | 2,911$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…72bebacked Yes | 39c | 2,708$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed No | 22c | 2,651$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.08 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f82…5716backed No | 59c | 2,647$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…5758backed No | 38c | 2,631$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes | 65c | 2,617$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.09 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x922f…69d4backed Yes | 69c | 2,561$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…1587backed No | 34c | 2,500$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.29 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6df…cfa0backed Yes | 30c | 2,460$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.38 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…5f1cbacked Yes | 70c | 2,402$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.46 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed No | 5c | 2,400$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 7cpaid | +413.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed No | 76c | 2,340$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.77 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…d0d9backed Yes | 65c | 2,334$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.11 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…a50ebacked No | 67c | 2,224$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 60c | 2,192$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.03 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 2,053$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf72d…9bd8backed Yes | 14c | 2,041$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9a…68ecbacked Yes | 51c | 2,034$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed No | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.99 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed No | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.99 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked No | 37c | 1,932$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecef…b593backed No | 61c | 1,917$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.87 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f5…b7e4backed Yes | 30c | 1,896$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x937e…db42backed No | 40c | 1,871$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.77 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 12c | 1,830$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.99 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…71b9backed Yes | 53c | 1,750$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…bed0backed Yes | 27c | 1,742$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.69 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 79c | 1,691$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.28 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x504d…98dcbacked Yes | 79c | 1,647$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…5d25backed Yes | 72c | 1,633$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.58 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,599$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.24 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f3…d930backed Yes | 38c | 1,596$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +135.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 13c | 1,593$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.85 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 64c | 1,555$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.65 | 112 | 8.9%10 W · 102 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3201…6634backed Yes | 65c | 1,507$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.38 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 73c | 1,506$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.82 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 24c | 1,500$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.57 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 22c | 1,500$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.91 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac28…b1a5backed No | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 17c | 1,491$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.67 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed Yes | 71c | 1,480$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.47 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 75c | 1,480$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.44 | 169 | 61.5%104 W · 65 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d93…f70abacked Yes | 48c | 1,456$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2633…8816backed No | 55c | 1,449$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 26c | 1,447$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.09 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x298d…fb9ebacked Yes | 42c | 1,414$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.