Middle East · resolved market
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x636f780f794635820e8cafe81924ef2dd67622fc01b6b2e5e64e9cc99593a005
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,285,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,895,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,285,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 916 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 18c | 108,957$19,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,111.54 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes | 8c | 72,027$6,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,080.52 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked No | 70c | 62,039$43,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,736.64 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 13c | 53,209$7,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,094.63 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d0…db7abacked Yes | 15c | 52,378$7,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,640.77 | 136 | 17.6%24 W · 112 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4c…6d64backed Yes | 21c | 50,336$10,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,429.31 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 76c | 44,707$33,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,763.7 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Yes | 11c | 43,688$4,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,973.57 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…22fdbacked Yes | 16c | 40,422$6,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,305.89 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…3a20backed Yes | 29c | 39,934$11,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,753.2 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Yes | 23c | 37,605$8,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,701.56 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…c910backed Yes | 13c | 36,801$4,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,885.68 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +10.8wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +250.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…8c1cbacked Yes | 17c | 36,646$6,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,193.52 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…1703backed Yes | 21c | 35,605$7,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,553.66 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked Yes | 12c | 31,991$3,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,759.27 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…c5adbacked Yes | 9c | 30,393$2,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,611.87 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +6.2wins | +0.34per pick | 44cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a7b8backed Yes | 30c | 28,130$8,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,413.79 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 18c | 26,031$4,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,575.27 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 22c | 25,727$5,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,615.99 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 18c | 25,594$4,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,727.3 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…3d56backed Yes | 10c | 25,122$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +244.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…7997backed Yes | 30c | 22,909$6,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,861.33 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 26c | 22,804$6,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000.88 | 138 | 23.2%32 W · 106 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…ead3backed Yes | 14c | 20,699$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…6402backed No | 75c | 20,000$15,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,921.04 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e71…ba82backed Yes | 22c | 20,000$4,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,374.78 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b3…7552backed Yes | 2c | 19,688$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.65 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 12cpaid | +484.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 18c | 19,282$3,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,392.91 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d1…12a4backed Yes | 25c | 18,847$4,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,669.75 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x10e1…aa05backed Yes | 22c | 18,244$3,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,990.65 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 72c | 18,003$12,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040.62 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 26c | 17,304$4,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,437.47 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 21c | 16,870$3,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,551.62 | 196 | 39.8%78 W · 118 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Yes | 25c | 16,266$4,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,014.5 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c66…44f3backed No | 72c | 15,900$11,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,378.19 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 18c | 15,393$2,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,751.86 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x384d…8099backed Yes | 19c | 15,286$2,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,866.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 14c | 14,532$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.54 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 18c | 13,816$2,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.47 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb2…af7bbacked No | 72c | 13,355$9,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,686.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes | 41c | 13,154$5,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,352.36 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +5.0wins | +0.33per pick | 40cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…3c6dbacked Yes | 28c | 13,100$3,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,658.92 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +8.4wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +48%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 67c | 13,000$8,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,250 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked No | 78c | 12,884$10,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,815.27 | 166 | 38.6%64 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…7a0cbacked Yes | 32c | 12,700$4,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,038 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8597…daeebacked No | 76c | 12,545$9,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,986.66 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef32…265cbacked Yes | 33c | 11,978$3,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,978.13 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0799…725cbacked Yes | 27c | 11,419$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7711…650fbacked Yes | 3c | 11,360$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…9ea3backed Yes | 2c | 10,902$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.17 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +317.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1f…7828backed Yes | 16c | 10,418$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.57 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed Yes | 25c | 10,281$2,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,593.46 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 11c | 10,252$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.7 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 160 | 41.9%67 W · 93 L | +12.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 30c | 10,000$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009.87 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6413…ab24backed Yes | 19c | 9,963$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.12 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked Yes | 26c | 9,412$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.1 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5297…7b99backed Yes | 1c | 9,344$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.56 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | -11.1wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +123.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…3ce5backed Yes | 20c | 8,944$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd87d…52f9backed Yes | 14c | 8,936$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.18 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 73c | 8,892$6,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,367.56 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed Yes | 24c | 8,804$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.08 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 8,800$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed No | 75c | 8,770$6,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162.05 | 241 | 49.4%119 W · 122 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed No | 65c | 8,736$5,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,069.49 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff99…5602backed Yes | 24c | 8,438$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…2385backed Yes | 6c | 8,357$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.68 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f8…15ecbacked Yes | 9c | 8,354$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9536…369bbacked Yes | 15c | 8,333$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe234…304abacked Yes | 11c | 8,289$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.64 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…0109backed Yes | 17c | 8,218$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.35 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed No | 78c | 8,214$6,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.5 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 77c | 8,121$6,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.76 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2132…7657backed Yes | 27c | 8,014$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.89 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e4…b74dbacked Yes | 2c | 8,000$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 9c | 7,878$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.52 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…7640backed Yes | 18c | 7,700$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.99 | 206 | 17%35 W · 171 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 17c | 7,631$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.64 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…c630backed Yes | 23c | 7,543$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.37 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4def…f8e8backed Yes | 18c | 7,403$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.52 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 8c | 7,281$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.7 | 126 | 34.9%44 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x265e…6e4fbacked Yes | 11c | 7,175$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…4e6bbacked Yes | 14c | 7,142$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…fbb0backed Yes | 18c | 7,124$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.63 | 142 | 28.2%40 W · 102 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46c9…7636backed Yes | 25c | 7,075$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 20c | 7,025$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.75 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 69c | 6,832$4,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.26 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…e19fbacked Yes | 24c | 6,400$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.92 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae86…6e6abacked Yes | 27c | 6,400$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 12c | 6,367$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.69 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes | 18c | 6,363$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.78 | 284 | 38.7%110 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes | 22c | 6,309$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.97 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed Yes | 1c | 6,172$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.54 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 12c | 6,109$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.57 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1890…20ebbacked No | 76c | 6,054$4,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 13c | 6,002$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.62 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed Yes | 13c | 5,719$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked No | 67c | 5,677$3,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.41 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +131%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…fb1dbacked Yes | 9c | 5,594$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…944dbacked Yes | 24c | 5,594$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +812.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?this page
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?No won
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?No won
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?No won
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?No won
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?No won
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?No won
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.