Middle East · resolved market
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11395254d664f77f4a463fe28a3feb6dda06b1a396f63def47787bd650a00ce6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $525,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $474,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $525,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb076…07d3backed Yes | 0c | 110,590$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…1703backed Yes | 9c | 15,000$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.79 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed Yes | 4c | 10,758$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.57 | 126 | 29.4%37 W · 89 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…c5b6backed Yes | 7c | 10,391$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.3 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 7c | 9,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.01 | 170 | 18.2%31 W · 139 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 7c | 8,628$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.54 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 3c | 8,002$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.32 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 1c | 7,146$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 58 | 8.6%5 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 1c | 6,891$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.19 | 266 | 19.2%51 W · 215 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a7b8backed Yes | 7c | 6,154$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…78ddbacked Yes | 2c | 5,657$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.24 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dc…a9c8backed Yes | 6c | 5,035$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 4,703$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 6c | 4,663$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.89 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…11c5backed Yes | 3c | 4,449$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe03…f14fbacked Yes | 8c | 4,335$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.02 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed Yes | 4c | 4,121$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.53 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca76…2e0cbacked Yes | 4c | 4,097$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dab…840bbacked Yes | 7c | 3,182$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…6a11backed Yes | 1c | 2,731$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 6c | 2,518$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.2 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d14…ee01backed Yes | 1c | 2,463$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…7640backed Yes | 5c | 2,201$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.45 | 206 | 17%35 W · 171 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 6c | 2,119$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.16 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 6c | 2,094$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.67 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,026$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.15 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -60%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 225 | 29.8%67 W · 158 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8a…1589backed Yes | 6c | 1,985$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…b65fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,930$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.53 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,928$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032a…cf07backed Yes | 1c | 1,811$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 1,778$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.92 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 7c | 1,777$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.91 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…9627backed Yes | 6c | 1,735$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,584$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.08 | 183 | 38.3%70 W · 113 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…bd03backed Yes | 7c | 1,513$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +14.8wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 7c | 1,460$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.43 | 288 | 27.8%80 W · 208 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,425$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…5513backed Yes | 4c | 1,300$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 5c | 1,250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.43 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 1c | 1,170$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 85 | 14.1%12 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes | 28c | 1,143$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…8790backed Yes | 1c | 1,124$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x177d…0867backed Yes | 1c | 1,084$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.49 | 341 | 43.4%148 W · 193 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 185 | 31.9%59 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 988.74$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed Yes | 10c | 949.32$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a9…7311backed Yes | 1c | 927.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…1e57backed Yes | 3c | 900.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…ceb2backed Yes | 13c | 900$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Yes | 6c | 848.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed Yes | 5c | 834.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27da…d24abacked Yes | 6c | 799.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes | 5c | 792.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 4c | 768$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 103 | 9.7%10 W · 93 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b3…77d6backed Yes | 6c | 736.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…56f8backed Yes | 7c | 735.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0693…a4dfbacked Yes | 1c | 711.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…186bbacked Yes | 10c | 707.37$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…d337backed Yes | 7c | 685.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73d7…11b2backed Yes | 5c | 521.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2021…d379backed Yes | 4c | 476.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f98…dbcabacked Yes | 6c | 413.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 5c | 403.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 203 | 6.4%13 W · 190 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…0669backed Yes | 13c | 400$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…19dcbacked Yes | 6c | 360.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…7fa1backed Yes | 7c | 350$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +9.6wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +79%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5144…37c9backed Yes | 6c | 333.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2cb…43eebacked Yes | 6c | 325.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ae…217abacked Yes | 6c | 314$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xded8…d5ebbacked Yes | 5c | 299.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +150.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff9…bbb4backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4907…cdc2backed Yes | 5c | 279.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x395e…34e2backed Yes | 5c | 261.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b10…a6a2backed Yes | 6c | 258.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…3ff6backed Yes | 7c | 242.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fa…1a63backed Yes | 5c | 209.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 9c | 206.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 131 | 6.1%8 W · 123 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…7d37backed Yes | 7c | 205.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 5c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 118 | 16.1%19 W · 99 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc6…7306backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…8a6abacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +378%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x840e…b9edbacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 216 | 31.9%69 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…2aafbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa821…0bc8backed Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…6262backed Yes | 12c | 199.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 147 | 15%22 W · 125 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x663f…724abacked Yes | 6c | 173.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…1c4bbacked Yes | 10c | 137.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x302f…dc90backed Yes | 10c | 124.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?this page
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?No won
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?No won
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?No won
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?No won
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No won
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?No won
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.