Middle East · resolved market
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa488ab1e9bc72914b695c398c0027bd4edc1679d6ff949c1861fa33b2c9ae4d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,530,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,156,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,530,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 477 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0fda…8405backed Yes | 0c | 133,300$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 7c | 91,764$6,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,520.98 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 4c | 56,312$2,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244.82 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Yes | 7c | 45,801$3,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,112.13 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 3c | 39,730$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.08 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 39,320$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.49 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…c910backed Yes | 7c | 30,799$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040.84 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +10.8wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +250.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 15c | 25,000$3,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,864.91 | 287 | 34.5%99 W · 188 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe234…304abacked Yes | 2c | 20,507$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.93 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b46…cd0bbacked Yes | 1c | 19,489$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…5b03backed Yes | 2c | 15,978$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.56 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes | 11c | 15,917$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.19 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f0fbbacked Yes | 1c | 15,434$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.75 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 6c | 15,085$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.38 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4f…4594backed Yes | 11c | 14,883$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.64 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5297…7b99backed Yes | 1c | 14,109$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.87 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | -11.1wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +123.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc124…bd0fbacked Yes | 1c | 12,213$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 2c | 11,687$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.42 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4c…6d64backed Yes | 12c | 11,139$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.65 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…c7e7backed Yes | 0c | 10,921$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 1c | 10,832$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.15 | 152 | 34.2%52 W · 100 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Yes | 28c | 10,752$3,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,044.67 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…6841backed Yes | 2c | 10,320$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…1703backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…8c30backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd87d…52f9backed Yes | 7c | 9,500$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.52 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 28c | 8,974$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.6 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4414…c9ffbacked Yes | 2c | 8,595$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.07 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +302.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5752…8139backed Yes | 22c | 8,415$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05df…882dbacked Yes | 2c | 8,355$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.11 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…50f6backed Yes | 0c | 8,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 1c | 7,500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.02 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67d0…db7abacked Yes | 2c | 7,345$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.1 | 136 | 17.6%24 W · 112 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 2c | 7,291$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.76 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d9…d6dbbacked Yes | 16c | 7,111$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.42 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6944…7275backed Yes | 2c | 7,068$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032a…cf07backed Yes | 0c | 7,040$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b66…3a93backed Yes | 7c | 7,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +251.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 3c | 6,972$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.11 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d37…f007backed Yes | 22c | 6,734$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ba…5707backed Yes | 2c | 6,552$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +1,740.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 4c | 6,391$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.13 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43d…8a2abacked Yes | 1c | 6,216$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.51 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +563.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb12…d1b3backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…4aeebacked Yes | 2c | 6,000$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…8c1cbacked Yes | 20c | 5,885$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.77 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…7f07backed Yes | 1c | 5,555$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.43 | 95 | 24.2%23 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6009…32acbacked Yes | 22c | 5,529$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 3c | 5,478$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.88 | 160 | 41.9%67 W · 93 L | +12.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed Yes | 1c | 5,289$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.31 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 5,210$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 23c | 5,187$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.75 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…2223backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 8c | 4,949$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.55 | 306 | 35.9%110 W · 196 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…1fc0backed Yes | 1c | 4,881$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f8…15ecbacked Yes | 10c | 4,568$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…b6adbacked Yes | 5c | 4,523$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…5f1abacked No | 59c | 4,500$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.99 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…c630backed Yes | 31c | 4,441$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.56 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd324…b23cbacked No | 69c | 4,394$3,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.29 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…5c83backed Yes | 1c | 4,359$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…4e6bbacked Yes | 23c | 4,347$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.84 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 11c | 4,326$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.9 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a7b8backed Yes | 30c | 4,267$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.75 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes | 27c | 4,200$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.67 | 173 | 59.5%103 W · 70 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9116…fe64backed Yes | 10c | 4,151$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 12c | 4,131$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.45 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 75c | 4,023$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.9 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 2c | 3,640$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.15 | 247 | 12.1%30 W · 217 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x333a…bd76backed Yes | 11c | 3,562$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.9 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +514.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6deb…eb68backed Yes | 24c | 3,533$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 6c | 3,513$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.73 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…e56cbacked Yes | 3c | 3,489$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9536…369bbacked Yes | 40c | 3,392$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.3 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x058f…4883backed No | 65c | 3,377$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.12 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1f…7828backed Yes | 12c | 3,333$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.62 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe228…1f4cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,319$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…abbbbacked Yes | 21c | 3,299$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed Yes | 8c | 3,233$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.96 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes | 7c | 3,213$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.46 | 284 | 38.7%110 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6413…ab24backed Yes | 8c | 3,158$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed Yes | 2c | 3,100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 71c | 3,044$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.43 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf807…c5dcbacked No | 76c | 3,000$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.55 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…f8f3backed Yes | 2c | 2,748$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +16.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 1c | 2,742$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 8.6%5 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…acfcbacked Yes | 5c | 2,728$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.2 | 290 | 27.9%81 W · 209 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371c…c236backed Yes | 13c | 2,706$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.55 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed Yes | 1c | 2,649$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 185 | 31.9%59 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 3c | 2,609$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.71 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db3…1d38backed Yes | 7c | 2,555$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.91 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed Yes | 1c | 2,543$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 159 | 6.9%11 W · 148 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…59aebacked Yes | 25c | 2,522$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.2 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…cc81backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed No | 76c | 2,282$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.5 | 241 | 49.4%119 W · 122 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba7…00efbacked Yes | 2c | 2,275$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 3c | 2,250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 17c | 2,222$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.74 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27a3…9a72backed Yes | 10c | 2,146$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.85 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +146.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?this page
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?No won
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?No won
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?No won
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No won
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?No won
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?No won
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.