Middle East · resolved market
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5bd4b831f180564aef6a119e1f94a5d574344e25a546b7a1f14aec7cc6e2d83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $701,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $559,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $701,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 10c | 29,655$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,963.54 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…c910backed Yes | 6c | 28,913$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +10.8wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +250.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x67d0…db7abacked Yes | 12c | 20,425$2,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461.69 | 136 | 17.6%24 W · 112 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked No | 76c | 20,206$15,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,849.54 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e71…ba82backed Yes | 24c | 20,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 20c | 16,752$3,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,268.84 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 4c | 15,600$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.04 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8647…74a9backed Yes | 11c | 11,406$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127b…afa7backed Yes | 0c | 10,484$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 9cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Yes | 14c | 10,173$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.18 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4def…f8e8backed Yes | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.8 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked Yes | 15c | 9,997$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.15 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x302f…dc90backed Yes | 9c | 9,229$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b66…3a93backed Yes | 9c | 9,000$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +251.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…8c1cbacked Yes | 9c | 8,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f8…15ecbacked Yes | 4c | 7,703$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2132…7657backed No | 74c | 7,619$5,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.92 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Yes | 4c | 7,606$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.24 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 5c | 7,555$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.97 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…1703backed Yes | 9c | 6,920$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.3 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd87d…52f9backed Yes | 4c | 6,196$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.44 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 8c | 6,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 13c | 5,700$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 222 | 27%60 W · 162 L | +17.8wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…135dbacked Yes | 17c | 5,548$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.13 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +123.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 33c | 5,471$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed Yes | 14c | 5,439$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.03 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6deb…eb68backed Yes | 13c | 4,961$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x285e…f38cbacked Yes | 14c | 4,718$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.37 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4c…6d64backed Yes | 23c | 4,467$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.06 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 3c | 4,441$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.94 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91b…93bdbacked No | 77c | 4,358$3,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.92 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a3…9a72backed Yes | 5c | 4,255$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.85 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +146.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 68c | 4,215$2,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.92 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7711…650fbacked Yes | 7c | 4,000$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05df…882dbacked Yes | 12c | 4,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 10c | 3,965$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.06 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…9ffdbacked Yes | 29c | 3,827$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.26 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 5c | 3,805$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.02 | 85 | 14.1%12 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 13c | 3,722$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.45 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1f…7828backed Yes | 6c | 3,711$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.12 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6413…ab24backed Yes | 17c | 3,324$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.57 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 3,112$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf92…32e6backed Yes | 3c | 3,077$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 16c | 3,027$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.93 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00b…5c3cbacked Yes | 5c | 3,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 5cpaid | +485%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…9627backed Yes | 19c | 2,850$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10af…de20backed Yes | 4c | 2,692$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b3…7552backed Yes | 1c | 2,552$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 12cpaid | +484.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 30c | 2,545$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.95 | 208 | 23.1%48 W · 160 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0c…24d7backed Yes | 18c | 2,531$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…dbb9backed Yes | 35c | 2,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.85 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…3d56backed Yes | 4c | 2,393$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +244.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed No | 78c | 2,262$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.89 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 8c | 2,222$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.76 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…fbb0backed Yes | 15c | 2,200$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 142 | 28.2%40 W · 102 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…33c0backed Yes | 27c | 2,176$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 88 | 29.5%26 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…0dfebacked Yes | 2c | 2,150$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 165 | 7.3%12 W · 153 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…20a3backed Yes | 16c | 2,126$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.12 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…0f72backed Yes | 12c | 2,123$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.75 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Yes | 10c | 2,009$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.23 | 153 | 38.6%59 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x333a…bd76backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +514.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8196…ab69backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…31f2backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Yes | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64a9…7311backed Yes | 15c | 1,984$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda5…c82abacked Yes | 22c | 1,957$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked Yes | 32c | 1,859$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.8 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c66…44f3backed No | 77c | 1,842$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.39 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 69c | 1,831$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.88 | 306 | 35.9%110 W · 196 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,800$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.77 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,797$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 10c | 1,793$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.76 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…7997backed Yes | 30c | 1,737$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.95 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…feddbacked Yes | 6c | 1,567$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 210 | 34.3%72 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed Yes | 16c | 1,539$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.69 | 154 | 34.4%53 W · 101 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x793d…8720backed Yes | 3c | 1,529$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…acfcbacked Yes | 11c | 1,528$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.93 | 290 | 27.9%81 W · 209 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 6c | 1,510$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 281 | 26.3%74 W · 207 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…afe9backed Yes | 11c | 1,485$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.38 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…54c2backed No | 69c | 1,474$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.94 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 8c | 1,467$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.7 | 221 | 7.2%16 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d4…597fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,465$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,455$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 80c | 1,453$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.26 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 10c | 1,430$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.97 | 59 | 13.6%8 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd324…b23cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,395$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,300$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked No | 75c | 1,226$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.21 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 30c | 1,219$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.7 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 79c | 1,200$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed Yes | 30c | 1,198$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.17 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1834…051ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 112 | 31.3%35 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…b65fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,150$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.26 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6e…0f70backed Yes | 15c | 1,100$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 19c | 1,073$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d6…e410backed Yes | 5c | 1,010$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…13a7backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x265e…6e4fbacked Yes | 7c | 999.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?this page
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?No won
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?No won
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?No won
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No won
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?No won
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?No won
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.