TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x60a8…7d37

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
335
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst Tweets at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT11854.2%64 W · 54 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 118 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+155.5%+$17.81
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.76
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+147.4%+$170.42
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.25
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.41
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.99
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$14.07
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.2
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.46
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.98
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.49
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.66
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$4.56
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+92.2%+$18.98
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.92
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$30.63
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.01
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+122.1%+$17.15
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+84.8%+$34.85
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+101%+$60.23
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+112.4%+$88.76
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.56
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+54%+$208.13
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$6.04
Showing 25 of 118 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT4944.9%22 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.77
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+621.7%+$326.4
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$22.32
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$261.71
Will Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$12.3
Will there be 15+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$15.04
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.73
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$69.76
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$51.64
Will 9+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.22
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$5.95
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.38
Will 4+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.22
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
United States to score first vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$14.79
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.5
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.86
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.92
World Cup: Scoreless Team?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$4.43
Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.53
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$11.9
Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. France: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+81.7%+$10.1
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.79
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.49
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$9.38
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.2
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$7.04
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.59
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.95
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$59.73
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$55.43
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+396.5%+$135.73
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+204.9%+$50.79
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+99%+$135.94
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.43
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.86
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.86
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.13
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.72
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.66
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.98
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.06
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.99
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-33.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$15.86
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$5.96
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$79.61
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.77
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$20.83
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$83.29
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$8.83
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$486.46
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.38
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $74 on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.27
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.63
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.94
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.7
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$62.12
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.81
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.03
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+174%+$59.43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+110.8%+$19.87
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+50%+$67.48
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.15
Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3.89
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+177%+$39.4
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$9.93
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.23
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+400.7%+$58.35
Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.56
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.83
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$17.95
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.37
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.47
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.24
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.71
Starmer out by June 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.79
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+88.4%+$31.65
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$47.22
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$11.45
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$76.06
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$13.7
All 21 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.17
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.83
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$23.34
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.71
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.27
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.3
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.17
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.84
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+119.9%+$133.18
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.27
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.63
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$15.94
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.09
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+393.5%+$80.26
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$25.19
All 15 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.67
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$14.36
Will Duke Buckner place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$6.95
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.35
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.18
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$23.96
Will Jordan Herrera be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.09
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.1
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+177.1%+$61.99
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.82
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+165.9%+$27.45
Will Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$2.99
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.18
All 14 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-63.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.69
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.91
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$7.29
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.47
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.17
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+136.4%+$48.61
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.36
Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 61m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$5.18
Will "Backrooms" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.83
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.43
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.22
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.74
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.3
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-39.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukrainelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-67.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+105.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-36.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Ghools Esports vs Team Liquid Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$3.7
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+150%+$24.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.