Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa296e0d75344e8fbbbd3b4333b0e90f8c23ba96b656d4e8d3fde72b3538e8a02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b05…8983backed Yes | 1c | 4,050$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 124 | 21.8%27 W · 97 L | +11.8wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed No | 66c | 4,029$2,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.15 | 686 | 15.7%108 W · 578 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…b4e2backed No | 30c | 4,026$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810.32 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked No | 39c | 3,512$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.98 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,770$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.19 | 274 | 17.5%48 W · 226 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…e714backed Yes | 47c | 2,722$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.71 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…a0d9backed Yes | 25c | 2,436$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc0…2041backed Yes | 48c | 2,134$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.37 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 16c | 2,067$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.87 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f00…487fbacked Yes | 20c | 2,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 280 | 16.4%46 W · 234 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 8c | 1,800$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 514 | 10.5%54 W · 460 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 23c | 1,758$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.39 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 60c | 1,648$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.89 | 706 | 16.4%116 W · 590 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 28c | 1,638$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.3 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…5519backed Yes | 1c | 1,600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 159 | 29.6%47 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30cf…704abacked No | 80c | 1,600$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35dd…75f3backed Yes | 61c | 1,476$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.37 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c79…50c4backed Yes | 18c | 1,456$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…078abacked No | 70c | 1,261$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.17 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 35c | 1,037$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.96 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4f…c2f1backed No | 41c | 964.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.56 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +18.0wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 39c | 837.49$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.66 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…dcdebacked Yes | 13c | 805.17$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.29 | 212 | 22.2%47 W · 165 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…f36abacked Yes | 14c | 791.77$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 192 | 29.2%56 W · 136 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes | 23c | 773.95$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.05 | 437 | 19.7%86 W · 351 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…2f8abacked No | 69c | 770.06$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.42 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 13c | 679.93$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.94 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…8345backed Yes | 41c | 670.65$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.39 | 151 | 36.4%55 W · 96 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f28…7d8ebacked Yes | 50c | 649.68$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.96 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 43c | 646.82$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.47 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 22c | 604.56$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.43 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 56c | 600.06$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.03 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes | 30c | 600$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 292 | 27.7%81 W · 211 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 23c | 561.13$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.7 | 217 | 32.3%70 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 60c | 526.92$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.44 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…848dbacked No | 42c | 501.64$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.99 | 609 | 7.7%47 W · 562 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 43c | 500.12$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.87 | 226 | 10.6%24 W · 202 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x770a…9e6dbacked Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c17…ab38backed Yes | 58c | 467$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 21c | 415.76$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.75 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 51c | 384.44$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.32 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5758…e2d8backed Yes | 18c | 333.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf2…fcecbacked Yes | 61c | 325.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked No | 66c | 320.35$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.13 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd936…8318backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Yes | 24c | 296.35$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.12 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes | 12c | 292.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 246 | 17.5%43 W · 203 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed No | 43c | 278.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.48 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes | 30c | 275.53$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.33 | 316 | 24.7%78 W · 238 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 33c | 270$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.44 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b0…af3cbacked Yes | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f8…97b3backed No | 74c | 258.05$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.9 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 55c | 239.49$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.88 | 221 | 60.2%133 W · 88 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 36c | 237.65$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.53 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Yes | 48c | 231.73$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.16 | 461 | 37.5%173 W · 288 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf49f…2661backed Yes | 7c | 228.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…0f0ebacked No | 47c | 210.55$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.54 | 173 | 35.3%61 W · 112 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 32c | 201$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…052abacked Yes | 56c | 200$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 28c | 190$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 112 | 24.1%27 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked No | 58c | 169.93$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.2 | 348 | 33.3%116 W · 232 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…cc81backed Yes | 60c | 167.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 41.3%69 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9e…fa03backed Yes | 60c | 164$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 58c | 150.3$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 58c | 150$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked Yes | 60c | 148$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.7 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…a865backed Yes | 58c | 133.9$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.89 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…0e7ebacked No | 36c | 130$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fe…7e71backed Yes | 66c | 111.07$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.31 | 210 | 34.8%73 W · 137 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 63c | 109.02$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 39c | 105$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 798 | 11.3%90 W · 708 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed5…72a6backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 124 | 29%36 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ab…273dbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 204 | 32.4%66 W · 138 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7369…59a1backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4381…6bd6backed Yes | 66c | 99.94$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.13 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…fe98backed No | 40c | 92.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…7d37backed Yes | 48c | 92.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e23…49a5backed Yes | 52c | 89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5381…1ec5backed No | 31c | 86.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.62 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861e…44eabacked Yes | 73c | 82.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…ff7bbacked Yes | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 73 | 16.4%12 W · 61 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a3…df40backed No | 42c | 78.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 116 | 24.1%28 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes | 66c | 74.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 216 | 14.8%32 W · 184 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9f…461ebacked No | 40c | 72.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +31%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2c…b7f7backed Yes | 65c | 70$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…0e52backed Yes | 70c | 62.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4615…5ccbbacked Yes | 62c | 62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3949…4c45backed Yes | 61c | 61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…2947backed Yes | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 56c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c04…6587backed Yes | 63c | 56.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 470 | 32.6%153 W · 317 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes | 55c | 51.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x857a…bcbbbacked Yes | 66c | 51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 40c | 51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…4434backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e97…b933backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.