Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30bb03ab42bf4e4c2a4f4d1f7abfd0fee4d9610e2904d1615fb6e2c453cd4d98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes | 34c | 7,024$2,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,384.34 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…b4e2backed Yes | 2c | 6,856$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.06 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 2c | 5,254$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.06 | 1,196 | 8.7%104 W · 1,092 L | +31.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…8983backed Yes | 2c | 4,588$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.13 | 124 | 21.8%27 W · 97 L | +11.8wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 4c | 4,088$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed Yes | 3c | 3,842$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.55 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 31c | 3,732$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.74 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 35c | 2,735$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.31 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,585$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.56 | 456 | 8.3%38 W · 418 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…e714backed Yes | 2c | 2,569$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c79…50c4backed Yes | 40c | 2,567$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 4c | 2,325$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 514 | 10.5%54 W · 460 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 63c | 2,132$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.08 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 25c | 2,115$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.77 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda6…2095backed Yes | 30c | 2,046$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.11 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 30c | 1,755$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.39 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 19c | 1,550$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.63 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 49c | 1,509$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.05 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f00…487fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,500$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 280 | 16.4%46 W · 234 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Yes | 33c | 1,480$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.95 | 461 | 37.5%173 W · 288 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked Yes | 36c | 1,436$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.05 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,339$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 1,331$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 17c | 1,323$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.78 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,224$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.35 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbb…f7ffbacked No | 75c | 1,217$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.64 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 36c | 1,204$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.7 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 27c | 1,117$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.77 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4f…c2f1backed No | 33c | 1,091$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.54 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +18.0wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,085$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.05 | 274 | 17.5%48 W · 226 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0489…ddf7backed No | 70c | 1,049$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.72 | 199 | 27.6%55 W · 144 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…1086backed Yes | 3c | 914.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 130 | 8.5%11 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…5519backed Yes | 39c | 871.58$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.62 | 159 | 29.6%47 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes | 6c | 800$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 327 | 16.8%55 W · 272 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe823…2a61backed Yes | 13c | 793.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…8345backed Yes | 18c | 755.63$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.72 | 151 | 36.4%55 W · 96 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 59c | 739.6$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.59 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes | 7c | 712.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 292 | 27.7%81 W · 211 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd936…8318backed Yes | 42c | 699.99$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…b9ccbacked Yes | 3c | 699.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 3c | 691.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 114 | 18.4%21 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 71c | 674.56$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.56 | 221 | 60.2%133 W · 88 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 3c | 620.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 217 | 32.3%70 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc0…2041backed Yes | 53c | 581.7$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.14 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 39c | 549.02$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.36 | 325 | 29.2%95 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633f…0e01backed Yes | 32c | 544.98$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.66 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 3c | 538.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 230 | 19.1%44 W · 186 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed Yes | 4c | 519.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 199 | 33.2%66 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 71c | 516.04$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.94 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…26e8backed Yes | 29c | 500.31$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.13 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 72c | 500$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.26 | 226 | 10.6%24 W · 202 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x770a…9e6dbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 2c | 498.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…e92abacked Yes | 15c | 488.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 18c | 470.52$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.35 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes | 32c | 464.73$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.77 | 499 | 19%95 W · 404 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 47c | 461$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.22 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed Yes | 22c | 445.13$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.95 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa230…1cdbbacked Yes | 7c | 400$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd00f…1ba0backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 40c | 370.79$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.6 | 112 | 24.1%27 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5381…1ec5backed Yes | 26c | 348.08$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f8…97b3backed No | 51c | 302.74$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.73 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30cf…704abacked Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes | 36c | 274.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 348 | 33.3%116 W · 232 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…cc81backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 41.3%69 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…bc09backed Yes | 69c | 258.82$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.15 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes | 40c | 252.43$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.09 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf77…1488backed Yes | 14c | 249$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 70c | 237.65$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aed…0b9dbacked Yes | 9c | 228.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x254a…bc44backed Yes | 66c | 227.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…2f8abacked Yes | 26c | 220.52$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d7…e3b7backed No | 73c | 205.14$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 316 | 24.7%78 W · 238 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e6…98e7backed Yes | 9c | 202.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes | 30c | 200$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 173 | 35.3%61 W · 112 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x544a…dbe1backed Yes | 7c | 199.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 17c | 191.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 10c | 190.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed No | 50c | 184.51$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.87 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked No | 71c | 180$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 23c | 175.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d6…51dcbacked No | 69c | 173.83$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe133…6994backed Yes | 35c | 172$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 104 | 32.7%34 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7c…4c7cbacked No | 67c | 155.81$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.81 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…146cbacked Yes | 33c | 154.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af6…a114backed Yes | 72c | 152.77$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +125.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d73…75a0backed Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…f88ebacked Yes | 30c | 149.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 52c | 148.24$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.58 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4c…22c0backed Yes | 60c | 143.75$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.65 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes | 30c | 137.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 216 | 14.8%32 W · 184 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2e…4f3dbacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…594bbacked No | 76c | 131.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b30…068abacked Yes | 15c | 131.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 329 | 17%56 W · 273 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes | 29c | 128.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 246 | 17.5%43 W · 203 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7649…0cd2backed Yes | 21c | 112.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…a865backed Yes | 40c | 105.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…7ed9backed No | 72c | 104.46$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.