Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35ee37f5e0c01e8958d9a47614bd6143b6ccad874c8dab18460fdc8f57ae7d8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $269,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $193,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbf9…b9ccbacked Yes | 0c | 17,515$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca6e…46f2backed Yes | 3c | 13,464$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.66 | 481 | 6.7%32 W · 449 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d7…2ffbbacked Yes | 1c | 8,546$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.96 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 11c | 7,256$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.06 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…b4e2backed Yes | 20c | 6,142$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.77 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes | 22c | 5,030$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.55 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,006$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…af59backed Yes | 5c | 5,000$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 364 | 11%40 W · 324 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes | 12c | 4,229$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.51 | 223 | 25.1%56 W · 167 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 13c | 4,121$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.96 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes | 19c | 4,068$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.67 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked Yes | 11c | 3,885$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.28 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 11c | 3,775$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.42 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 4c | 3,748$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.31 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 26c | 3,666$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.65 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 9c | 3,562$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.64 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30cf…704abacked No | 80c | 3,400$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Yes | 11c | 3,208$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.37 | 538 | 17.3%93 W · 445 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,204$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 456 | 8.3%38 W · 418 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…e714backed Yes | 5c | 3,000$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 16c | 2,586$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.33 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 4c | 2,550$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 514 | 10.5%54 W · 460 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056d…3b69backed Yes | 16c | 2,313$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.74 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…2050backed Yes | 16c | 2,240$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.44 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 4c | 2,075$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.26 | 1,196 | 8.7%104 W · 1,092 L | +31.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…7f72backed Yes | 23c | 2,000$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.91 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 5c | 1,988$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 11c | 1,913$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.08 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 79c | 1,885$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.53 | 217 | 32.3%70 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 9c | 1,686$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.28 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 14c | 1,636$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.57 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc99e…3853backed Yes | 13c | 1,624$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.43 | 197 | 22.8%45 W · 152 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 4c | 1,575$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7505…2978backed Yes | 13c | 1,559$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.72 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 11c | 1,519$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.49 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…eb72backed Yes | 25c | 1,423$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.19 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 23c | 1,370$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.83 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633f…0e01backed Yes | 18c | 1,214$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.91 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4a…fc9bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,212$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.12 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 5c | 1,204$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 798 | 11.3%90 W · 708 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…5ab4backed Yes | 9c | 1,191$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.2 | 80 | 2.5%2 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes | 20c | 1,141$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.99 | 499 | 19%95 W · 404 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8965…00b7backed Yes | 6c | 1,078$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,071$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.49 | 274 | 17.5%48 W · 226 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…98edbacked Yes | 17c | 1,054$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.19 | 334 | 22.2%74 W · 260 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7de…537abacked Yes | 12c | 1,002$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.42 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…db70backed Yes | 17c | 999.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.01 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4f…c2f1backed Yes | 19c | 942.86$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.83 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +18.0wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 17c | 932.51$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.02 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 8c | 926.44$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.14 | 89 | 15.7%14 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…5519backed Yes | 18c | 900$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.9 | 159 | 29.6%47 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…3a33backed Yes | 27c | 835.5$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.69 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…22a4backed Yes | 12c | 816.39$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…4a62backed Yes | 12c | 809.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.92 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x713b…f43cbacked Yes | 32c | 800$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.8 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…c831backed Yes | 10c | 750$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes | 11c | 669$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.39 | 437 | 19.7%86 W · 351 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736e…ae9cbacked Yes | 36c | 667.77$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.19 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -61%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c5…e133backed Yes | 24c | 633.65$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…26e8backed Yes | 15c | 620.34$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.49 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a5…fccdbacked Yes | 2c | 607.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 19c | 597.03$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.37 | 245 | 24.9%61 W · 184 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…ccccbacked Yes | 23c | 576.56$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.1 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed Yes | 28c | 561.57$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.5 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 20c | 547.36$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.94 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe43d…3978backed Yes | 12c | 514.58$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4c…22c0backed Yes | 8c | 504.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…8360backed Yes | 13c | 500$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Yes | 11c | 499.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 846 | 16.4%139 W · 707 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed Yes | 18c | 498.69$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.56 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x271a…a02cbacked Yes | 15c | 497.54$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…5fedbacked Yes | 15c | 472.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe178…0c26backed Yes | 10c | 449.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe823…2a61backed Yes | 24c | 410.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…078abacked Yes | 12c | 408.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35dd…75f3backed Yes | 15c | 400$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf67b…ca70backed Yes | 34c | 382.38$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…645cbacked Yes | 30c | 364.58$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.55 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…ae4ebacked Yes | 17c | 358.56$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa430…93dbbacked Yes | 19c | 333.47$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x213c…ab63backed Yes | 24c | 311.39$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.71 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 33c | 306.07$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.57 | 350 | 24%84 W · 266 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes | 17c | 304.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 144 | 27.1%39 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…63d0backed Yes | 7c | 300.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 282 | 11%31 W · 251 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 207 | 23.7%49 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2e…5e69backed Yes | 15c | 293.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 431 | 26.2%113 W · 318 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 13c | 289.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…968dbacked Yes | 18c | 284.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…2ec7backed Yes | 18c | 282.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb816…9e90backed Yes | 10c | 273$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…cc81backed Yes | 38c | 261.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 41.3%69 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6c…8ce4backed No | 78c | 253.8$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308a…eed3backed Yes | 5c | 250$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4e…128ebacked Yes | 23c | 237.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes | 16c | 231.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc0…2041backed Yes | 9c | 200.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 24c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f26…1f12backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 173 | 35.3%61 W · 112 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.