UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07bad03186e32ce41e7c6fb8c8ef2cfc49df7a662a0649e8d3914053b4f33a0c

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Rafael Fizievof Rafael Fiziev, Manuel Torres
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,279,429
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,358,122

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,279,429 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 610 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Rafael Fiziev	50c	367,601$183,393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184,208.24	74	54.1%40 W · 34 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Manuel Torres	50c	223,084$111,542 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111,542	134	52.2%70 W · 64 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Manuel Torres	50c	140,880$70,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70,440.07	200	48.5%97 W · 103 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Manuel Torres	49c	120,717$59,284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59,283.64	36	50%18 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8660…93edbacked Rafael Fiziev	50c	99,097$49,549 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49,548.59	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+53.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Manuel Torres	49c	77,065$37,762 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,762.2	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8c…e275backed Manuel Torres	51c	53,392$27,079 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,078.79	72	47.2%34 W · 38 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Manuel Torres	51c	50,000$25,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,499.86	162	44.4%72 W · 90 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Rafael Fiziev	49c	45,000$22,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,950	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d6e…5cfdbacked Manuel Torres	51c	40,000$20,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,399.98	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+52.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Rafael Fiziev	50c	26,974$13,487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,486.95	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0584…de3ebacked Rafael Fiziev	49c	20,229$9,912 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,316.8	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.27per pick	53cpaid	+54.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Rafael Fiziev	62c	20,181$12,543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,638.22	152	38.2%58 W · 94 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Rafael Fiziev	49c	20,157$9,877 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,280.06	291	51.9%151 W · 140 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dc6…9889backed Rafael Fiziev	50c	20,000$9,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,099.81	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Rafael Fiziev	42c	19,932$8,331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,600.95	180	32.8%59 W · 121 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7a4…e371backed Manuel Torres	50c	19,000$9,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,500	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed Manuel Torres	49c	18,699$9,163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,162.63	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Manuel Torres	49c	15,000$7,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,349.87	371	52.8%196 W · 175 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Manuel Torres	52c	13,462$7,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,000	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7966…6f94backed Manuel Torres	50c	12,000$5,970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,970	72	38.9%28 W · 44 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Manuel Torres	49c	11,388$5,580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,579.92	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Rafael Fiziev	48c	10,000$4,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,200	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Manuel Torres	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbddd…3d9abacked Rafael Fiziev	50c	10,000$4,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,040	91	48.4%44 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadec…3c7bbacked Manuel Torres	1c	9,942$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.42	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef50…e3bdbacked Manuel Torres	50c	9,857$4,928 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,928.3	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Rafael Fiziev	51c	9,832$5,014 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,817.76	56	32.1%18 W · 38 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Rafael Fiziev	49c	9,774$4,742 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,032.54	156	41%64 W · 92 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Manuel Torres	50c	8,888$4,444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,444	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Rafael Fiziev	75c	7,742$5,775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,967.13	69	63.8%44 W · 25 L	+11.8wins	+0.17per pick	47cpaid	+24%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Rafael Fiziev	45c	7,713$3,494 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,218.74	331	32%106 W · 225 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Manuel Torres	51c	7,150$3,632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,632.2	539	56.6%305 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed Rafael Fiziev	50c	7,034$3,517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,517.23	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Manuel Torres	51c	7,000$3,570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,569.97	300	39.3%118 W · 182 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Rafael Fiziev	50c	6,811$3,435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,376.8	288	49.7%143 W · 145 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4db0…d3eabacked Manuel Torres	49c	6,095$3,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,009.55	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Rafael Fiziev	50c	5,500$2,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,750	91	64.8%59 W · 32 L	+8.4wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a1c…9867backed Rafael Fiziev	51c	5,382$2,745 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,637.35	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2deb…2b13backed Rafael Fiziev	61c	5,098$3,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,997.6	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda34…01a8backed Rafael Fiziev	49c	5,040$2,454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,586.13	55	40%22 W · 33 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+13%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Rafael Fiziev	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,550	100	41%41 W · 59 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Manuel Torres	55c	5,000$2,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,749.98	277	43%119 W · 158 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Manuel Torres	49c	4,971$2,436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,435.63	291	33.7%98 W · 193 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Rafael Fiziev	49c	4,927$2,414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,512.79	121	34.7%42 W · 79 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfed2…4671backed Rafael Fiziev	51c	4,722$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,322.45	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	+5.0wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Rafael Fiziev	45c	4,509$2,019 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,490.14	223	48.4%108 W · 115 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Manuel Torres	2c	4,185$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.35	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+65.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Manuel Torres	49c	4,081$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,999.69	145	51%74 W · 71 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed10…d2e5backed Manuel Torres	51c	4,033$2,057 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,056.58	226	61.9%140 W · 86 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Rafael Fiziev	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-4.5wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa569…08dfbacked Manuel Torres	49c	4,000$1,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,959.99	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf38d…eb9abacked Rafael Fiziev	49c	3,884$1,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,984.11	54	61.1%33 W · 21 L	+6.9wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc4f…4652backed Manuel Torres	52c	3,847$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000.44	63	54%34 W · 29 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e60…3badbacked Rafael Fiziev	50c	3,815$1,926 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,888.85	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd72…b6c6backed Manuel Torres	49c	3,072$1,505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,505.34	51	51%26 W · 25 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Rafael Fiziev	41c	3,000$1,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,760	159	33.3%53 W · 106 L	-8.9wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Rafael Fiziev	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,470	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Manuel Torres	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.21per pick	38cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Manuel Torres	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,529.99	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Rafael Fiziev	52c	2,800$1,458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,342	128	45.3%58 W · 70 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Rafael Fiziev	69c	2,794$1,934 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$860.2	274	48.2%132 W · 142 L	+12.7wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Manuel Torres	51c	2,769$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	161	58.4%94 W · 67 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Rafael Fiziev	51c	2,758$1,407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,351.42	10	90%9 W · 1 L	+4.4wins	+0.44per pick	46cpaid	+104.4%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Rafael Fiziev	51c	2,603$1,328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,275.5	136	36.8%50 W · 86 L	-7.3wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f5d…80a3backed Rafael Fiziev	51c	2,549$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,249.02	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+67.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Rafael Fiziev	63c	2,518$1,577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$941.49	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Manuel Torres	50c	2,515$1,257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,257.3	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Manuel Torres	52c	2,500$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	252	51.2%129 W · 123 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Rafael Fiziev	73c	2,292$1,665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$626.61	139	51.1%71 W · 68 L	+10.2wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7650…fac1backed Rafael Fiziev	51c	2,100$1,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,029	61	72.1%44 W · 17 L	+8.6wins	+0.14per pick	58cpaid	+25.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Rafael Fiziev	51c	2,076$1,059 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,017.24	74	52.7%39 W · 35 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Rafael Fiziev	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	91	47.3%43 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…0119backed Rafael Fiziev	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f14…a4ebbacked Manuel Torres	50c	1,932$966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$966	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed Rafael Fiziev	79c	1,886$1,495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390.81	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.9wins	+0.17per pick	47cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Rafael Fiziev	43c	1,853$797 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,056.02	154	44.2%68 W · 86 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Manuel Torres	55c	1,811$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x335d…8c00backed Rafael Fiziev	45c	1,794$806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$988.35	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa81c…3d28backed Manuel Torres	50c	1,747$874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$873.55	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.30per pick	55cpaid	-68.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Rafael Fiziev	51c	1,700$867 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$833	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Rafael Fiziev	45c	1,679$758 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$921.05	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Manuel Torres	57c	1,670$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	66cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Manuel Torres	50c	1,668$834 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$833.78	150	48.7%73 W · 77 L	+4.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Manuel Torres	50c	1,656$828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$828	68	45.6%31 W · 37 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec92…6b59backed Manuel Torres	29c	1,600$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+27%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bd2…fa7fbacked Rafael Fiziev	45c	1,547$697 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$850.02	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.55per pick	45cpaid	+121.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Manuel Torres	50c	1,500$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	115	54.8%63 W · 52 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed Rafael Fiziev	50c	1,500$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Rafael Fiziev	50c	1,500$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750	355	64.5%229 W · 126 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xded6…f649backed Rafael Fiziev	51c	1,348$688 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$660.72	94	51.1%48 W · 46 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Manuel Torres	51c	1,265$649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$649	261	40.6%106 W · 155 L	-9.8wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Manuel Torres	50c	1,225$613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$612.74	109	61.5%67 W · 42 L	+8.2wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3155…268ebacked Rafael Fiziev	49c	1,225$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$624.75	67	59.7%40 W · 27 L	+7.3wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed Rafael Fiziev	49c	1,224$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$624.48	58	63.8%37 W · 21 L	+9.7wins	+0.17per pick	47cpaid	+43.2%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Manuel Torres	49c	1,200$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588	50	50%25 W · 25 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x465e…bf90backed Manuel Torres	48c	1,186$569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569.3	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-5.6wins	-0.15per pick	54cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Rafael Fiziev	51c	1,176$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$576.47	102	53.9%55 W · 47 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Rafael Fiziev	51c	1,176$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$576.47	39	41%16 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7927…10fabacked Rafael Fiziev	52c	1,158$601 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$557.07	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)this page
Fight to Go the Distance?No won
O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
Will Manuel Torres win by KO or TKO?No won
Will Rafael Fiziev win by KO or TKO?Yes won
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
Will the fight be won by submission?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event